Unilever’s planned exit from most of its tea operations will be a seismic event in global tea. It will further accelerate the key long-term trend in the competitive landscape of global tea: fragmentation. In the future, the key players in tea will be regional or national in nature, and there will be little direct competition between them.
This report comes in PPT.
Unilever – by far the largest company in global tea – has announced plans to divest most of its tea business by the end of 2021. This will include major global brands like Lipton and PG Tips, although it does intend to hold onto its share of its RTD joint venture with PepsiCo, as well as its tea operations in India and Indonesia.
Unilever’s model of selling large volumes of black tea bags through grocery channels still works in parts of the developing world, but in its core European and North American markets, tea consumption is shifting towards premium and herbal tea – two areas in which Unilever has had trouble establishing itself.
Assuming a single buyer is found for all the brands up for sale, the purchaser of Unilever’s tea brands will become the largest tea company in the world. Without RTD tea and the key Asian markets, its tea positioning will, however, be weaker than Unilever’s was. There is also a good chance the buyer will focus on cost cutting and profitability, and further shrink the footprint of Unilever’s old brands.
This shake-up will increase the prominence of regional players, whose category and/or geographic focus has positioned them better for the future. The largest players will not compete directly with each other, as companies like ITO EN, Orimi Trade and Teekanne maintain their focus on their home regions.
Numerous trends, which include the rise of e-commerce, increasing herbal tea consumption and the dominant role China plays in global growth, point to an increasingly fractured global tea landscape. In contrast to other beverage categories, like coffee, the structural factors at play in tea are towards greater fragmentation.
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