Strategy Briefing

Airlines - Exploring the Potential of New Destinations

49 pages, Feb 2017

US$1,325

Add to cart Pay by invoice

New Report Guarantee

If you purchase a report that is updated in the next 60 days, we will send you the new edition and data extract FREE!

About This Report

New Report Guarantee

If you purchase a report that is updated in the next 60 days, we will send you the new edition and data extract FREE!

This report identifies opportunities for airline expansion in two destinations – Mozambique and Tajikistan by referring to major macroeconomic scenarios derived from Euromonitor International’s Macro Model. The report also includes preliminary data on arrivals from the forthcoming Travel Forecast Model due for release in early 2017. The analysis reviews the varying degrees of business risks in these two destinations as well as their investment and tourism appeal for route network expansion.

Files are delivered directly into your account within a few minutes of purchase.

Overview

Why buy this report?

Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders. Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats. Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions.

Mozambique—Should airlines fly to Maputo?

Despite its under-development, Mozambique offers sound mid- to long-term potential opportunity thanks to the forecast boom in natural gas liquids (NGL). The EU ban on Mozambique airlines opens up opportunities for airlines to drive traffic to Qatar’s Doha hub onto Europe, Asia and beyond. The model suggests that the most probable risk for Mozambique is from an Advanced Economy slowdown due to its international openness. The worst scenario would be a global crisis but with the lowest probability.

Tajikistan—Should airlines fly to Tajikistan?

The case to fly to Tajikistan is not clear-cut, however there are some opportunities due to its strategic location and dependence on air travel. The country is attracting increased interest due to the Silk Road One Belt One Road (OBOR) initiative, unexplored gold/silver deposits and its energy potential which is forecast to boost business air travel to the country. The larger opportunity for airline players is for outbound demand that faces the most probable threat from an Emerging Market slowdown. The model suggests that Azerbaijan as a destination is more resilient.

Want to find out more about this report?

Request more information

Introduction

Scope

Overview

Key findings

GDP and consumer expenditure forecast

Population and poverty levels

High proportion of youth - short-term drag but offers potential

Business dynamics

Mozambique

Geographic location

Macro environment

Top trading partners

Natural resources production - sound long-term potential

Second largest recipient of FDI in Sub-Saharan Africa

Local players limited reach

Air connectivity is established with good international routes

Baseline tourism demand shows fair balance for tourism flows

Tourism demand forecast scenarios

Scenario impact in numbers

Measuring the scenario impact from 2020 baseline

Global crisis: Comparative impact on arrivals by country

Drivers of inbound demand

Overdependency on South Africa, but diverse source markets

Global crisis: Comparative impact on departures by country

Drivers of outbound demand

Global crisis - departures growth decomposition comparison

SWOT: Mozambique

Recommendations - Mozambique

Tajikistan

Geographic location

Macro environment

Trade partners

Investments in gold and silver deposits may help boost FDI

High dependency on air travel

International air connectivity - heavily skewed to intra-regional

Local players lead - potential to code-share with Somon or S7

Highly dependent on Russian routes

Moderate tourism market, dominated by outbound air

Drivers of inbound demand

Tourism demand forecast scenarios

S cenario impact in numbers

Measuring the scenario impact vs 2020 baseline

EM slowdown scenario: Small inbound market, exposed to volatility

EM slowdown scenario: Impact by country of origin

EM slowdown scenario: Departures key priority and worst affected

Outbound demand drivers - sensitive to GDP and exchange rates

EM slowdown scenario: Moderate resilience to EM slowdown

EM slowdown scenario: Forecast decline for outbound Russia

SWOT: Tajikistan

Recommendations - Tajikistan

Why buy this report?

Want to find out more about this report?

Request more information

Megatrends

Strategy Briefing

Airlines - Exploring the Potential of New Destinations

New Report Guarantee

About This Report

New Report Guarantee

Overview

Why buy this report?

Mozambique—Should airlines fly to Maputo?

Tajikistan—Should airlines fly to Tajikistan?

Want to find out more about this report?

Table of Contents

Introduction

Scope

Overview

Key findings

GDP and consumer expenditure forecast

Population and poverty levels

High proportion of youth - short-term drag but offers potential

Business dynamics

Mozambique

Geographic location

Macro environment

Top trading partners

Natural resources production - sound long-term potential

Second largest recipient of FDI in Sub-Saharan Africa

Local players limited reach

Air connectivity is established with good international routes

Baseline tourism demand shows fair balance for tourism flows

Tourism demand forecast scenarios

Scenario impact in numbers

Measuring the scenario impact from 2020 baseline

Global crisis: Comparative impact on arrivals by country

Drivers of inbound demand

Overdependency on South Africa, but diverse source markets

Global crisis: Comparative impact on departures by country

Drivers of outbound demand

Global crisis - departures growth decomposition comparison

SWOT: Mozambique

Recommendations - Mozambique

Tajikistan

Geographic location

Macro environment

Trade partners

Investments in gold and silver deposits may help boost FDI

High dependency on air travel

International air connectivity - heavily skewed to intra-regional

Local players lead - potential to code-share with Somon or S7

Highly dependent on Russian routes

Moderate tourism market, dominated by outbound air

Drivers of inbound demand

Tourism demand forecast scenarios

S cenario impact in numbers

Measuring the scenario impact vs 2020 baseline

EM slowdown scenario: Small inbound market, exposed to volatility

EM slowdown scenario: Impact by country of origin

EM slowdown scenario: Departures key priority and worst affected

Outbound demand drivers - sensitive to GDP and exchange rates

EM slowdown scenario: Moderate resilience to EM slowdown

EM slowdown scenario: Forecast decline for outbound Russia

SWOT: Tajikistan

Recommendations - Tajikistan

Why buy this report?

Want to find out more about this report?

Recently Viewed

Complete Catalogue

Strategy Reports

Country Reports

Recently Viewed

Complete Catalogue

Strategy Reports

Country Reports