Enjoy a 15% discount on all purchases until the 31st of March 2023 using the promo code EOFWEB22 at check out!

Services Our expert insights reveal the key consumer and industry trends shaping global services, including best-in-class innovations in technology, customer experience and sustainability to thrive in dynamic times.

Manchester Terror Attack

Euromonitor International Profile Picture
Euromonitor International Bio

On Monday 22 May 2017, there was a terrorist attack at a concert at the Manchester Arena that has left 22 people dead and 59 wounded including women and children, after a suicide bomber caused an explosion.

Echoes of Paris

The fatal attack on concert-goes bears a chilling resemblance to the November 2015 terror attacks that included a massacre at a concert at the Bataclan as part of a coordinated series of attacks across Paris in which 130 people died. France subsequently went into a state of emergency, which it is still under.

The impact of the Bataclan on inbound tourism to France led to a decline in total arrivals to the country from 84.5 million to 79.7 million, down by 6% with key source markets like the UK, Germany and Brussels all showing declines over 5% to 8%.

Potential impact on UK inbound tourism

Manchester is the UK’s third most popular city for inbound tourism demand from international visitors, recording strong growth in 2016 of 4% to reach 1,200 thousand visitors.

The forecast was UK inbound tourism is strong following the Brexit vote, which has led to a depreciation of pound sterling, with Euromonitor’s baseline growth forecast at 5.1% for 2017 and 2.8% in 2018.

The terror attack of May 22 in Manchester is expected to have a minimal negative effect on inbound demand, with Euromonitor’s Travel Forecast Model showing that arrivals to the UK could be 0.3% less in 2017 and 0.1% less in 2018 than the baseline forecast. This would lead to growth of 4.9% to arrivals of 36.7 million, compared to the original forecast of 36.8 million for 2017.

The response from the government will be critical to reassure UK residents and foreign visitors to help assuage public concerns about safety and security. Sadly, terrorism is a threat that all destinations and countries face.

Arrivals to the UK Baseline Forecast 2016-2020

Euromonitor International sends its heart-felt condolences to the families affected by the Manchester tragedy.

Interested in more insights? Subscribe to our content

Latest Insights

Loyalty and the New Normal

Nadejda Popova 16 March 2023

Shop Our Reports

Car Rental: Top Six Industry Trends

This report examines the global car rental industry, providing analysis on market sizes, brand and company shares, growth trends over the review period and…

View Report

Financial Cards and Payments in Western Europe

Electronic direct/ACH and card payments continue to take share from paper transactions in Western Europe, while mobile m-commerce continues to be the most…

View Report

Financial Cards and Payments in Latin America

Although it is not the case in Brazil, the region’s biggest market, cash is still the leading payment method in many Latin American countries. However,…

View Report
Passport Our premier global market research database with detailed data and analysis on industries, companies, economies and consumers. Track existing and future opportunities to support critical decision-making across all functions within your organisation Learn More