Competitor Strategies in Travel

February 2023

The travel industry is enjoying a robust recovery from the pandemic, but major issues, such as inflation, have begun to threaten that recovery. To address these issues, travel companies have remodelled loyalty programmes and are promoting budget-friendly brands to entice cost-conscious consumers. Travel companies are expanding heavily in Asia, which hit a milestone in January 2023 with China’s removal of inbound travel restrictions.

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Key Takeaways

Inflation drives up average cost per trip

Inflation has been a major theme throughout the travel industry’s recovery from the pandemic. High jet fuel prices, coupled with staffing challenges, have driven inflation across the industry. These rises in prices have led global travel sales to recover at a faster pace than trips.

Direct versus intermediaries in battle over distribution

Increasing direct sales is the aim for most leading players in the airlines and lodging industries in order to save on commission payments. However, intermediaries, such as Expedia and Booking.com, will remain resilient. Intermediaries will also benefit from the recovery in packaged holidays and short-term rentals, which are dominated by intermediaries.

Loyalty programmes to drive direct sales

The main tool for airlines and lodging providers to drive sales to their direct booking platforms is loyalty programmes. Marriott and IHG report that around 50% of room nights are sold via their respective loyalty schemes. Loyalty will also be key to offer efficiencies such as automation, which will become more important in the current inflationary environment.

Return of international travel

Many countries did not re-open their borders to international travel until 2022. These re-openings have led to strong growth in long-haul travel. China’s removal of most travel restrictions in January 2023 was a pivotal moment for the industry’s recovery, leading airlines to rush to rebuild services to the market.

Economic headwinds for travel companies

The challenging global economic outlook for 2023 could slow the travel industry’s recovery. Inflation has been very high in many key travel markets for over a year. While consumers proved willing to pay high prices in 2022 after staying home for two years, high prices are likely to become a bigger deterrent in 2023.

Scope
Key takeaways
US carriers dominate global airline spending
Airlines see strong growth, but inflation remains a threat
Travel restrictions contribute to fragmentation in Asia and Eastern Europe
Chinese airlines set to return to prominence
Inflation drives up cost of global airfares
International travel drives full-service airlines’ recovery
Airbnb leads global lodging
Strong recovery post pandemic for lodging
Inflation to force lodging providers to look for efficiencies
Short-term rentals ahead of the global lodging recovery curve
Lodging a fragmented market, except in North America
Despite globalisation, developed markets dominate most key players’ revenues
Key players rely on few core brand, despite expanding brand portfolios
Loyalty programmes help global chains increase share and online direct sales
Global rankings predicted to see only minor changes
Airbnb surges in travel intermediary rankings
Intermediaries enjoy strong post-lockdown recovery
Short-term rentals drive growth for intermediaries
Business intermediaries struggle to recover sales
Travel intermediaries focus on customer loyalty
Package holidays outpace overall intermediaries growth
Key takeaways

Travel

Travel encompasses several categories including tourism flows, lodging, travel modes, in-destination spending and booking.

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