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Dairy in Bulgaria

October 2020

Value sales of butter and spreads rely on butter, as Bulgarian consumers generally perceive butter as both healthier and tastier than other spreads. Therefore, butter is most popular, despite higher average unit prices. In fact, low domestic production and consumers’ lack of confidence in the quality of domestically produced products has raised butter prices in Bulgaria to well above the EU average. Bulgarians tend to equate the Deutsche Markenbutter brand with high quality, allowing Fude + Serr

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Overview:

Understand the latest market trends and future growth opportunities for the Dairy industry in Bulgaria with research from Euromonitor International's team of in-country analysts – experts by industry and geographic specialisation.

Key trends are clearly and succinctly summarised alongside the most current research data available. Understand and assess competitive threats and plan corporate strategy with our qualitative analysis, insight and confident growth projections.

If you're in the Dairy industry in Bulgaria, our research will help you to make informed, intelligent decisions; to recognise and profit from opportunity, or to offer resilience amidst market uncertainty.

The Dairy in Bulgaria report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volume and value sizes, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent research methodology, conducted in-country

This report answers:

  • What is the market size of Dairy in Bulgaria?
  • Which are the leading brands in Dairy in Bulgaria?
  • How are products distributed in Dairy in Bulgaria?
  • How is the rise of e-commerce and/or the expansion of modern grocery retail impacting traditional retail?
  • What are the key health and wellness concerns driving, or challenging, sales in Dairy?
  • How significant are vegan and vegetarian dietary requirements in determining sales growth in Bulgaria?
  • How has COVID-19 impacted consumer demand? To what extent have lockdown, home seclusion and stockpiling boosted sales? Will the longer term economic repercussions of the pandemic stimulate or suppress future growth?
  • Where is future growth expected to be most dynamic?
  • How significant will values-based claims, such as sustainability and ethical labelling, be in supporting future growth and brand equity?

Dairy in Bulgaria - Category analysis

Butter and Spreads

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Increased home cooking during lockdown drives demand for cheaper products
Price sensitivity helps to restore consumer interest in maligned margarine
Consumer preferences diversify, alleviating the decline of cooking fats in 2020

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Health awareness will drive sales of butter during the forecast period
Bulgarian companies will dominate cooking fats over the forecast period
Private label will gain from wider availability over the forecast period

CATEGORY DATA

Table 1 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 2 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 3 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 4 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 5 NBO Company Shares of Butter and Spreads: % Value 2016-2020 Table 6 LBN Brand Shares of Butter and Spreads: % Value 2017-2020 Table 7 Distribution of Butter and Spreads by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 8 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 9 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 10 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 11 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Cheese

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

COVID-19 undermines premiumisation trend in unprocessed cheese in 2020
New products and private label growth boost unprocessed cheese in 2020
Lockdown stimulates demand for processed cheese in 2020

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Domestic companies set to remain dominant in cheese over forecast period
Private label will gain from price sensitivity over the forecast period
Processed cheese will benefit as busier lifestyles resume over the forecast period

CATEGORY DATA

Table 12 Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 13 Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 14 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 15 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 16 Sales of Spreadable Processed Cheese by Type: % Value 2015-2020 Table 17 Sales of Unprocessed Cheese by Type: % Value 2015-2020 Table 18 NBO Company Shares of Cheese: % Value 2016-2020 Table 19 LBN Brand Shares of Cheese: % Value 2017-2020 Table 20 Distribution of Cheese by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 21 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 22 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 23 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 24 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Drinking Milk Products

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Bulgarian staple fresh milk ensures buoyancy for drinking milk products in 2020
COVID-19 heightens health consciousness, stimulating growth of lower fat products
Price sensitivity changes consumer preferences and favours private label in 2020

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Health consciousness to shape consumer preferences over the forecast period
Consumer preferences to diversify over the forecast period
Private label to benefit from Bulgarian production and reasonable prices

CATEGORY DATA

Table 25 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 26 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 27 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 28 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 29 NBO Company Shares of Drinking Milk Products: % Value 2016-2020 Table 30 LBN Brand Shares of Drinking Milk Products: % Value 2017-2020 Table 31 Distribution of Drinking Milk Products by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 32 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 33 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 34 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 35 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Other Dairy

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Increased home cooking during lockdown boosts demand for cream in 2020
Danone Serdika AD maintains its lead in other dairy in 2020
Ferrero SpA holds second place, despite adverse 2020 conditions for chilled snacks

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Forecast period will see the growth of cream taper off as normality returns
Fromage frais and quark can expect steady growth over the forecast period
Return to busy lifestyles will favour chilled snacks during the forecast period

CATEGORY DATA

Table 36 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 37 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 38 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 39 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 40 Sales of Cream by Type: % Value 2015-2020 Table 41 NBO Company Shares of Other Dairy: % Value 2016-2020 Table 42 LBN Brand Shares of Other Dairy: % Value 2017-2020 Table 43 Distribution of Other Dairy by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 44 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 45 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 46 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 47 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Consumption of enduringly popular yoghurt and sour milk products increases in 2020
Danone will maintain its lead of fragmented yoghurt and sour milk products in 2020
Tightening budgets support the growth of private label in 2020

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Danone to benefit from increasing brand loyalty over the forecast period
Private label to gain from partnership with local producers during the forecast period
Health awareness to exert stronger influence during forecast period

CATEGORY DATA

Table 48 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 49 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 50 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 51 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 52 Sales of Flavoured Yoghurt by Flavour: Rankings 2015-2020 Table 53 NBO Company Shares of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products: % Value 2016-2020 Table 54 LBN Brand Shares of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products: % Value 2017-2020 Table 55 Distribution of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 56 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 57 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 58 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 59 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Packaged Food in Bulgaria - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

COVID-19 impact on packaged food
COVID-19 country impact
Company response
Retailing shift
Foodservice vs retail split
What next for packaged food?

FOODSERVICE

Sales to Foodservice
Foodservice operators try to be flexible Decline in tourist numbers hits foodservice volume sales hard Home delivery does not compensate for loss of business in foodservice
Consumer Foodservice
Consumer foodservice is highly dependent on foreign tourists and is decimated in 2020 by lack of visitors All consumer foodservice affected by COVID-19 but certain types of outlets suffer more than others VAT rate reduced to alleviate losses in consumer foodservice
Category Data
Chart 1 Packaged Food Value Sales Growth Scenarios: 2017-2024 Chart 2 Packaged Food Impact of Drivers on Value Sales: 2016-2024 Table 60 Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 61 Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 62 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 63 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025

MARKET DATA

Table 64 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 65 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 66 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 67 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 68 GBO Company Shares of Packaged Food: % Value 2016-2020 Table 69 NBO Company Shares of Packaged Food: % Value 2016-2020 Table 70 LBN Brand Shares of Packaged Food: % Value 2017-2020 Table 71 Penetration of Private Label by Category: % Value 2015-2020 Table 72 Distribution of Packaged Food by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 73 Distribution of Packaged Food by Format and Category: % Value 2020 Table 74 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 75 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 76 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 77 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT

GLOBAL INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT

DISCLAIMER

SOURCES

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This report originates from Passport, our Dairy research and analysis database.

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