Strategy Briefing

Economy, Finance and Trade in Western Europe

56 pages, Jul 2018

US$1,325

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Western Europe is undergoing a period of uncertainty owing to the United Kingdom’s (UK) decision to leave the European Union (EU). Germany, France and the UK play a pivotal role in regional trade, which will be put to the test in a post-Brexit scenario. Investment in infrastructure is a critical component of government expenditure, resulting in major economies facing unsustainable public debt. Protectionist measures from the USA have caused many markets to seek more reliable trade partners.

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Overview

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Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders. Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats. Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions.

Western Europe’s steady recovery from recession

Western Europe continues to be renowned for its affluence, political stability, and ease of doing business. However, rapid economic growth of the sort apparent in Asian economies, particularly China, is no longer visible in Western Europe. The region has recovered from an overall slump in growth, caused by the European debt crisis starting in 2010, that had the highest impact on Greece, Spain and Portugal. The combined real GDP of the region is expected to grow by 2.4% in 2018.

Financial services and manufacturing have the highest economic contributions

Financial intermediation and real estate has the most significant contribution to the region’s economy, with London, Paris and Frankfurt recognised as prominent financial centres. The impact of Brexit is resulting in uncertainty overshadowing the sector. Germany has a dominant manufacturing industry that results in a high volume of trade in machinery and electrical equipment.

Uncertainty regarding Brexit

With the UK referendum in 2016 setting up the country’s exit from the EU, negotiations are ongoing for a post-Brexit scenario. Since the UK represents one of the most important trading partners within Western Europe, the general uncertainty surrounding Brexit is likely to damage consumer and business confidence.

High dependence on intra-EU trade has its own risks

Western Europe has a high reliance on trade with countries in the EU, exposing it to subdued demand from the region. With the USA also resorting to protectionist measures under the Trump administration, Western European countries are exploring trade opportunities with emerging markets in Asia Pacific and Africa.

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Introduction

Scope

Key findings

Regional Economic Overview

Western Europe on a path to recovery after recessionary phase

Services comprise the majority of Western Europe’s gross value added

Western Europe records high GDP per capita despite recent struggle

Majority of remittances come from within the EU

Foreign direct investment channelled to business-friendly markets

Western Europe has successfully maintained its currency stability

Impact of a eurozone crisis on the German economy

Impact of a No-Deal Brexit on the UK economy

Impact of a global downturn on the French economy

Regional Trade Profile

Trade in services is critical in sustaining Western Europe’s balance sheets

Huge industrial bases of Germany and the UK maintain busy trade flows

Western Europe needs to reduce its high reliance on intra-EU trade

Regional Government Finances

High levels of public debt a concern for key markets in Western Europe

Investment in infrastructure comprises the bulk of government spending

Country Snapshots

Austria: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Austria: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Belgium: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Belgium: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Denmark: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Denmark: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Finland: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Finland: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

France: economic structure and foreign investment overview

France: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Germany: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Germany: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Greece: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Greece: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Ireland: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Ireland: inflation, exchange rate, and export profile

Italy: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Italy: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Netherlands: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Netherlands: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Norway: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Norway: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Portugal: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Portugal: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Spain: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Spain: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Sweden: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Sweden: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Switzerland: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Switzerland: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Turkey: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Turkey: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

United Kingdom: economic structure and foreign investment overview

United Kingdom: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

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Megatrends

Strategy Briefing

Economy, Finance and Trade in Western Europe

New Report Guarantee

About This Report

New Report Guarantee

Overview

Why buy this report?

Western Europe’s steady recovery from recession

Financial services and manufacturing have the highest economic contributions

Uncertainty regarding Brexit

High dependence on intra-EU trade has its own risks

Want to find out more about this report?

Table of Contents

Introduction

Scope

Key findings

Regional Economic Overview

Western Europe on a path to recovery after recessionary phase

Services comprise the majority of Western Europe’s gross value added

Western Europe records high GDP per capita despite recent struggle

Majority of remittances come from within the EU

Foreign direct investment channelled to business-friendly markets

Western Europe has successfully maintained its currency stability

Impact of a eurozone crisis on the German economy

Impact of a No-Deal Brexit on the UK economy

Impact of a global downturn on the French economy

Regional Trade Profile

Trade in services is critical in sustaining Western Europe’s balance sheets

Huge industrial bases of Germany and the UK maintain busy trade flows

Western Europe needs to reduce its high reliance on intra-EU trade

Regional Government Finances

High levels of public debt a concern for key markets in Western Europe

Investment in infrastructure comprises the bulk of government spending

Country Snapshots

Austria: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Austria: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Belgium: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Belgium: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Denmark: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Denmark: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Finland: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Finland: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

France: economic structure and foreign investment overview

France: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Germany: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Germany: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Greece: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Greece: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Ireland: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Ireland: inflation, exchange rate, and export profile

Italy: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Italy: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Netherlands: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Netherlands: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Norway: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Norway: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Portugal: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Portugal: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Spain: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Spain: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Sweden: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Sweden: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Switzerland: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Switzerland: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

Turkey: economic structure and foreign investment overview

Turkey: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

United Kingdom: economic structure and foreign investment overview

United Kingdom: inflation, exchange rates, and export profile

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