Edible Oils in Western Europe

January 2022

Edible oils recorded strong growth in 2020, with Coronavirus (COVID-19) seeing consumers cooking a lot more at home than usual due to lockdowns and foodservice closures. With these measures continuing into 2021, growth remained above normal levels, although this was also heavily influenced in value terms by the rising prices in Turkey, the region’s biggest market. Further growth is expected over the forecast period after a slight dip in sales in 2022, as the pandemic hopefully eases.

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Key findings

Strong growth seen as the pandemic hits the region

The region as a whole, as well as most of its countries, saw stronger retail value sales growth in 2020, as consumers were cooking and eating more at home due to lockdowns and foodservice closures. Although growth slowed in 2021, Western European countries were still being impacted by measures designed by control the spread of the COVID-19 virus in the region, helping to keep demand above pre-pandemic levels across Western Europe.

Price rises drive growth in Turkey

The overall edible oils industry was heavily influenced in 2021 by the strong growth recorded in Turkey, the region’s biggest market. Rising prices for sunflower oil, which dominates sales in the Turkish market, due to recent devaluation of the local currency against the US dollar, as well as a poor sunflower harvest in 2020, resulted in very strong growth in this category in 2021.

Palm oil losing favour

Palm oil continued to see declining sales in Western Europe in 2021. This type of edible oil is widely deemed to be unhealthy due to its high level of saturated fat, with packaged food manufacturers often now advertising the absence of palm oil as a key selling point. Palm oil’s sourcing process is also increasingly perceived as having a negative environmental impact.

Positive CAGR expected for edible oils

Sales of edible oils are expected to record positive volume growth throughout the forecast period, but will see a one-off slight dip into negative territory in real value terms in 2022, with some consumers, hit by the pandemic’s economic impact, forced to look for options offering the best value for money, such as the ever popular private label lines, in the short-term period. However, even private label is increasingly also exploring the higher-quality and organic areas of the market in edible oils in Western Europe.

Scope
Key findings
Western Europe the global leader for per capita consumption
Positive growth expected for most of the forecast period
Turkey sees supercharged growth for sunflower oil in 2016-2021
Downward pressure on prices hits olive oil performance in Italy
Palm oil declining in most countries where it is present
High price rises in Turkey helping to drive value growth
Modern grocery retailers dominate edible oils sales in Western Europe
E-commerce share grows in the pandemic but remains small
Private label gains share in the UK over 2016-2021
Anadolu Group gains a lot of regional share over 2016-2021
Turkish companies tend to be single-market players
Turkish sunflower oil brands moving up the rankings
Growth to slow after the spikes seen in 2020 and 2021
Turkish growth to slow as sunflower oil price movements normalise
Private label lines increasingly focusing on quality and health
Austria: Market Context
Austria: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Belgium: Market Context
Belgium: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Denmark: Market Context
Denmark: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Finland: Market Context
Finland: Competitive and Retail Landscape
France: Market Context
France: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Germany: Market Context
Germany: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Greece: Market Context
Greece: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Ireland: Market Context
Ireland: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Italy: Market Context
Italy: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Netherlands: Market Context
Netherlands: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Norway: Market Context
Norway: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Portugal: Market Context
Portugal: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Spain: Market Context
Spain: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Sweden: Market Context
Sweden: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Switzerland: Market Context
Switzerland: Competitive and Retail Landscape
Turkey: Market Context
Turkey: Competitive and Retail Landscape
UK: Market Context
UK: Competitive and Retail Landscape
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