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Strategy Briefing

Global Economic Forecasts: Q1 2017

Feb 2017

US$1,325

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About This Report

New Report Guarantee

If you purchase a report that is updated in the next 60 days, we will send you the new edition and data extract FREE!

Despite the risk of stronger trade and immigration restrictions and greater policy uncertainty after Donald Trump took the Presidential office, the reaction of financial markets has been more optimistic than expected. In this context, we have revised the world GDP growth forecast up to 3.3% in 2017 and 3.4% in 2018. However, the global economy remains vulnerable to Trump potentially changing the rules of the game at a time when it is already fragile.

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Overview

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Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders. Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats. Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions.

Global Economy

Europe has witnessed the growing strength of populist anti-EU parties, especially in France and Italy

This increases risks of possible EU exits and negative shocks to financial markets and private sector confidence.

China is confronting excessive credit growth and a difficult economic rebalancing process

Meanwhile, Russia and Brazil are struggling to grow due to a lack of tangible stimulus for domestic demand, and ongoing structural problems. Along with deteriorating international trade environment and deceleration in capital inflows, this extends the risk of a major slowdown across emerging economies.

The two main global risk scenarios remain an Advanced Economies stagnation and an Emerging Markets slowdown

Each of these scenarios would cause a decrease in the global real GDP growth to around 2.5% in 2017 and to 1.8% in 2018.

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overview

Global Economy

Executive Summary

GDP Forecasts – Revisions Over Last Quarter

Inflation Forecasts - Revisions Over Last Quarter

Interest Rate Forecast

Major Forecast Revisions

The US

General Outlook

Pessimistic and Optimistic Scenarios

Consumer Spending , Confidence and Labour Markets

Wages and Disposable Income

Business Investment, Sentiment and the Stock Market

Interest Rates and Inflation

The Eurozone

General Outlook

Pessimistic and Optimistic Scenarios

Consumer Confidence and Spending

Business Conditions and Investment

Financial Markets and Monetary Policy

The UK

GDP Components and Outlook

Pessimistic and Optimistic Scenarios

Income and Consumption

Exchange Rate and Inflation

Japan

GDP and Inflation

Pessimistic and Optimistic Scenarios

Foreign Trade

Labour Market

China

General Outlook

Pessimistic and Optimistic Scenarios

Output and Economic Activity

Financial Markets and Private Sector Sentiment

Russia

GDP Growth and Production

Pessimistic and Optimistic Scenarios

GDP Components

Income and Inflation

Brazil

GDP, Inflation and Interest Rate

Pessimistic and Optimistic Scenarios

Pension Reform and Foreign Trade

India

GDP and Components

Pessimistic and Optimistic Scenarios

Inflation and Monetary Policy

Investment and Business Environment

Risk Scenarios

Global Risk Scenarios

Scenario Descriptions

Scenario News

notes

Scope and Objectives

Definitions

Why buy this report?

Want to find out more about this report?

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Megatrends

Strategy Briefing

Global Economic Forecasts: Q1 2017

New Report Guarantee

About This Report

New Report Guarantee

Overview

Why buy this report?

Global Economy

Europe has witnessed the growing strength of populist anti-EU parties, especially in France and Italy

China is confronting excessive credit growth and a difficult economic rebalancing process

The two main global risk scenarios remain an Advanced Economies stagnation and an Emerging Markets slowdown

Want to find out more about this report?

Table of Contents

overview

Global Economy

Executive Summary

GDP Forecasts – Revisions Over Last Quarter

Inflation Forecasts - Revisions Over Last Quarter

Interest Rate Forecast

Major Forecast Revisions

The US

General Outlook

Pessimistic and Optimistic Scenarios

Consumer Spending , Confidence and Labour Markets

Wages and Disposable Income

Business Investment, Sentiment and the Stock Market

Interest Rates and Inflation

The Eurozone

General Outlook

Pessimistic and Optimistic Scenarios

Consumer Confidence and Spending

Business Conditions and Investment

Financial Markets and Monetary Policy

The UK

GDP Components and Outlook

Pessimistic and Optimistic Scenarios

Income and Consumption

Exchange Rate and Inflation

Japan

GDP and Inflation

Pessimistic and Optimistic Scenarios

Foreign Trade

Labour Market

China

General Outlook

Pessimistic and Optimistic Scenarios

Output and Economic Activity

Financial Markets and Private Sector Sentiment

Russia

GDP Growth and Production

Pessimistic and Optimistic Scenarios

GDP Components

Income and Inflation

Brazil

GDP, Inflation and Interest Rate

Pessimistic and Optimistic Scenarios

Pension Reform and Foreign Trade

India

GDP and Components

Pessimistic and Optimistic Scenarios

Inflation and Monetary Policy

Investment and Business Environment

Risk Scenarios

Global Risk Scenarios

Scenario Descriptions

Scenario News

notes

Scope and Objectives

Definitions

Why buy this report?

Want to find out more about this report?

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