The most influential Megatrends set to shape the world through 2030, identified by Euromonitor International, help businesses better anticipate market developments and lead change for their industries.
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Learn moreMay 2018
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Global economy continues to perform strongly, both in advanced and emerging markets. Global real GDP expanded by 4.0% in Q4 2017. Growth was supported by higher investment activity in advanced economies, higher consumer demand in emerging markets, and a rebound in global trade. We expect global GDP to grow by 3.8-3.9% per year over 2018-2019, albeit with a gradual easing on the cards as central banks tighten monetary policy, US fiscal stimulus subsides, and China’s slowdown progresses.
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Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders. Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats. Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions.
Global real GDP expanded by 4.0% in Q4 2017, which was notably above our baseline forecasts a year ago. Growth was supported by higher investment activity in advanced economies, higher consumer demand in emerging markets, and a rebound in global trade.
As central banks tighten monetary policy, US fiscal stimulus subsides, and China’s slowdown progresses. Despite positive near-term economic prospects for the world, debt levels, financial market volatility, trade and geopolitical tensions pose a threat.
The scenario assumes escalating fears about trade wars and more populist policies, as well as concerns about overvaluation in financial markets, which could lead to a self-fulfilling sell-off in advanced economies, and through global spill-overs induce a slowdown in emerging markets. If materialised, these risks have the power to reduce global GDP growth by a cumulative 5.4% over the 3-year horizon.
Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders. Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats. Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions.