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Strategy Briefing

Global Economic Risks and Opportunities in 2017 and Beyond

28 pages, Mar 2017

US$1,325

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About This Report

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If you purchase a report that is updated in the next 60 days, we will send you the new edition and data extract FREE!

In 2017 and beyond, the global economy faces several key challenges: volatility brought about by Brexit and the election of Donald Trump in the USA; the threat of stagnation in advanced economies and ongoing fears of a Chinese hard landing. On the other hand, there are also growth hotspots, especially amongst emerging markets, which provide opportunities, and because of the level of uncertainty facing the economy, many of the risks also have potential upside scenarios.

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Overview

Why buy this report?

Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders. Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats. Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions.

2016 was a low point for the global economy

2016 marked the lowest year of economic growth since the financial crisis driven by weak performances in many major emerging and developed economies.

In 2017 growth will strengthen

Global growth will pick up in 2017 to reach 3.4%, and it will continue to strengthen slightly in the medium-term. However, it will still remain significantly below pre-financial crisis levels.

Mixed medium-term outlook for advanced economies

2017 shows a mixed performance for major advanced economies with the Trump presidency and Brexit weighing on the outlook in the medium-term.

Emerging markets to strengthen in medium-term

In the medium-term, all emerging regions will strengthen – with the exception of emerging Asia. Its growth will decelerate slightly – because of the continuing slowdown in China. Nevertheless, emerging Asia will remain the world’s fastest-growing region.

Risks are on the downside with political stability a key threat

Key risks to the global economy include: the Trump presidency, Brexit, advanced economy stagnation, weak global trade and the threat of a Chinese hard landing.

Opportunities are also present – mainly in emerging markets

Key opportunities include: the stabilisation of commodity prices, the chance of a Trump fiscal boom, India’s strong performance and the possibility that China will surprise on the upside.

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Introduction

Scope

Key findings

2016 disappoints

The global economy in 2017 and beyond

Growth Outlook

Mixed short-term picture amongst major advanced economies

In the medium-term: A reversal of fortunes

Divergence across emerging market regions

In the medium-term: Growth strengthens further

What explains the divergence in emerging markets?

Risks on the Horizon

Key risks to the global economy

Trump brings policy uncertainty

Brexit: An unknown quantity

Advanced economy stagnation

Weak global trade

China’s luck runs out

Opportunities for Growth

Key opportunities

Oil stabilises

A fiscal stimulus in the USA

India surging ahead

China surprises on the upside

Conclusion

Summary 1 outlook

Future opportunities will be found in diverse regions

Why buy this report?

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Megatrends

Strategy Briefing

Global Economic Risks and Opportunities in 2017 and Beyond

New Report Guarantee

About This Report

New Report Guarantee

Overview

Why buy this report?

2016 was a low point for the global economy

In 2017 growth will strengthen

Mixed medium-term outlook for advanced economies

Emerging markets to strengthen in medium-term

Risks are on the downside with political stability a key threat

Opportunities are also present – mainly in emerging markets

Want to find out more about this report?

Table of Contents

Introduction

Scope

Key findings

2016 disappoints

The global economy in 2017 and beyond

Growth Outlook

Mixed short-term picture amongst major advanced economies

In the medium-term: A reversal of fortunes

Divergence across emerging market regions

In the medium-term: Growth strengthens further

What explains the divergence in emerging markets?

Risks on the Horizon

Key risks to the global economy

Trump brings policy uncertainty

Brexit: An unknown quantity

Advanced economy stagnation

Weak global trade

China’s luck runs out

Opportunities for Growth

Key opportunities

Oil stabilises

A fiscal stimulus in the USA

India surging ahead

China surprises on the upside

Conclusion

Summary 1 outlook

Future opportunities will be found in diverse regions

Why buy this report?

Want to find out more about this report?

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