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Strategy Briefing

Global Prisons: Trends and Prospects

Jun 2016

US$1,325

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About This Report

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If you purchase a report that is updated in the next 60 days, we will send you the new edition and data extract FREE!

Prison trends are mixed globally, with countries falling into two camps: one, well into a period of outright declines in many prison metrics; and another, struggling to meet the needs presented by high sustained incarceration rates. These changes are affecting how prisons operate, what services they require, how they are staffed and how many inmates they hold. This briefing outlines the current challenges to the prison marketplace and where opportunities might lie in the future.

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Overview

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Prison growth tepid across all markets

Growth in new prisons has slowed markedly across the world due in part to economic headwinds in emerging economies, declining incarceration rates in many developed economies, and increasing debate calling into question the current prison structure and its aims.

Prisoner populations jump in emerging economies…

Prison rates, however, are still showing much upward movement in emerging economies, due to a raft of demographic factors such as fast-growing urbanisation rates, decline of traditional support structures and increasingly unequal economic systems.

…while dropping in developed economies

In developed economies, the opposite trend is occurring, as prison population rates are declining outright in many cases due to lower crime rates and changing policies toward rehabilitation and training instead of incarceration.

Private prison indicators slowing

In the face of increased scrutiny, private prisons across the world have reached a stage where the heady growth of the last decade has tapered significantly and where a future with outright declines is quite probable.

Prison staffing outpacing prisoners but a long way to go

Prison staffing has seen faster growth than prisoners across the world, even in developed countries with outright declines in prisoner population rates. Emerging economies, despite increased staff growth, still have a long way to go to reach rates seen in developed economies.

Population metrics point to diverging future growth

Declining average length of stay and recidivism rates in much of the developed world point to a future with continued inmate declines, while in emerging economies, prison overcrowding and stubbornly high crime rates will force the need for increased prison funding in the coming years.

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Introduction

INTRODUCTION

Scope

Key findings

Establishments

ESTABLISHMENTS

Prison growth weak worldwide

Per capita coverage dependent on prison policy

Average prison capacity starkly different worldwide

Adult prisons much larger than juvenile prisons globally

Private prisons’ sharp historic growth has tapered

Private prisons are still a very small part of the total landscape

Minimum-security facilities predominate in US prison system…

…influencing the rise of smaller prisons

Key takeaways: Prison establishments

Prison Populations

PRISON POPULATIONS

Prison population growth largely tied to country development

US continues to dominate per capita incarceration rates

Female inmate percentage increasing in emerging economies

Juvenile inmates are a small and declining share of all prisoners

Private inmate populations continue upward movement

Foreign inmate ratio increases with development

Persons awaiting trial inflate rates of imprisonment worldwide

In the US, most prisoners are housed in medium-security facilities

Key takeaways: Prison populations

Chinese prisons by far the largest globally

Private prisons hold more prisoners on average, except in the US

US inmates have incomparably long prison stays

Outside the US, most prison sentences are less than five years

Recidivism rates highest in US and UK

Prisoners are ageing around the developed world

Prison systems stretched due to persistent overcrowding

Key takeaways: Prison population ratios

Staffing

STAFFING

Prison staffing growth outpaces inmates in emerging countries

Staff per prison in emerging economies still lagging behind

Prisoner/staff ratio corresponds with country development

US: Prison staffing overwhelmingly occurs at the state level

Key takeaways: Prison staffing

Conclusions

CONCLUSIONS

Forecasts: Extremely divergent predictions for world prison growth

Three projections for global prisons in the coming years

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Megatrends

Strategy Briefing

Global Prisons: Trends and Prospects

New Report Guarantee

About This Report

New Report Guarantee

Overview

Why buy this report?

Prison growth tepid across all markets

Prisoner populations jump in emerging economies…

…while dropping in developed economies

Private prison indicators slowing

Prison staffing outpacing prisoners but a long way to go

Population metrics point to diverging future growth

Want to find out more about this report?

Table of Contents

Introduction

INTRODUCTION

Scope

Key findings

Establishments

ESTABLISHMENTS

Prison growth weak worldwide

Per capita coverage dependent on prison policy

Average prison capacity starkly different worldwide

Adult prisons much larger than juvenile prisons globally

Private prisons’ sharp historic growth has tapered

Private prisons are still a very small part of the total landscape

Minimum-security facilities predominate in US prison system…

…influencing the rise of smaller prisons

Key takeaways: Prison establishments

Prison Populations

PRISON POPULATIONS

Prison population growth largely tied to country development

US continues to dominate per capita incarceration rates

Female inmate percentage increasing in emerging economies

Juvenile inmates are a small and declining share of all prisoners

Private inmate populations continue upward movement

Foreign inmate ratio increases with development

Persons awaiting trial inflate rates of imprisonment worldwide

In the US, most prisoners are housed in medium-security facilities

Key takeaways: Prison populations

Chinese prisons by far the largest globally

Private prisons hold more prisoners on average, except in the US

US inmates have incomparably long prison stays

Outside the US, most prison sentences are less than five years

Recidivism rates highest in US and UK

Prisoners are ageing around the developed world

Prison systems stretched due to persistent overcrowding

Key takeaways: Prison population ratios

Staffing

STAFFING

Prison staffing growth outpaces inmates in emerging countries

Staff per prison in emerging economies still lagging behind

Prisoner/staff ratio corresponds with country development

US: Prison staffing overwhelmingly occurs at the state level

Key takeaways: Prison staffing

Conclusions

CONCLUSIONS

Forecasts: Extremely divergent predictions for world prison growth

Three projections for global prisons in the coming years

Why buy this report?

Want to find out more about this report?

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