Global Risk Report: 2019

Key Findings

This report introduces Euromonitor International’s Global Risk Index (GRI).

The Global Risk Index (GRI) quantifies major global macroeconomic risks and ranks them by their expected 3-year global GDP impact, conditional on a global downside shock. This allows business decision makers to rank major global risks and prioritise those that are more significant for business and financial stress-testing at the global level.

The GRI complements Euromonitor’s Country Risk Index, which plays a similar role for country level analysis.

The Global Risk Report is a partner piece to Euromonitor’s Macro Model forecasts, using global scenarios as presented in the Macro Model dashboard.

Euromonitor’s Macro Model (EMM) is a quarterly forecast model for the global economy. It is a global model, with countries simultaneously interacting through trade and aggregate demand spillovers. The EMM currently produces Real GDP Growth, Unemployment, Inflation and Interest Rate forecasts for more than 50 countries.