Home Care Quarterly Statement Q3 2020

September 2020

The Q3 2020 update indicates a minor downgrade in an otherwise growing home care industry. As the global economy enters recession, consumers are re-evaluating their expenditure priorities as a result of the changes brought about by the pandemic. Negative income effects are, however, likely to be counterbalanced by a rise in cleaning frequency, with consumption primarily driven by the apparent health threat and consumer efforts towards minimising the risk of virus transmission.

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Key findings

Q3 macroeconomic update with implications for home care

The Q3 update of August 2020 reveals a general downgrade for growth in the home care industry, as the global economy is forecast to enter its worst recession since the 1930s. At the same time, consumers worldwide are re-evaluating their cleaning and hygiene practices in the face of COVID-19. Home care products are broadly regarded as essential in the context of home hygiene; therefore, when trying to understand consumption drivers in home care, considerations around income are of secondary importance.

Preventative health as main growth driver

Faced with a clear threat to their health, consumers started to adopt new cleaning routines during 2020. This has resulted in a surge in demand for cleaning products, especially those with disinfecting properties. An increase in cleaning frequency and the expansion of cleaning routines globally were further supported by government and industry-led education campaigns. The more hygiene-centric, health and prevention-orientated mindset adopted during the pandemic is likely to persist, providing fertile soil for a strong home care performance in the coming years.

Uptake in cleaning further supported by home seclusion

Home seclusion, due to restrictions on movement during the pandemic, further supports the trend towards preventative health. As consumers spend more time at home, this generally creates more cleaning occasions. A good example is door handles. Aside from new cleaning occasions, the general cleaning frequency has increased for the same reason. Flexible working will support this development over the forecast period.

Significant growth in E-commerce

In markets with the necessary infrastructure in place, consumers migrated to e-commerce when governments announced restrictions on movement, to avoid exposing themselves to the risk of infection when visiting a physical store. A significant proportion of consumers are expected to continue purchasing at least some of their products online.

Scope
Euromonitor International and Coronavirus (COVID-19): Forecasts and analysis
Home care COVID-19 data and reporting timeline
Euromonitor International’s research and publication schedule
Key findings
Global economy will contract sharply in 2020
In our baseline view, the pandemic slows in the second half of 2020
Three scenarios examining the impact of a more severe outbreak
Our view in short
Forecast real GDP growth in 2020 under different scenarios
Home care among the best performing industries in 2020
Positive development in home care despite downgrading in Q3
Sales of products with disinfecting properties surge during 2020
New product development and do-it-yourself
A mixed performance for laundry care during COVID--19
Laundry care – home seclusion moderates growth in 2020
Overdosing commonplace during the pandemic
Dishwashing – a category driven by home seclusion and automation
Soft drivers: How we quantify COVID-19 specific effects in the IFM
Stockpiling during 2020 and increased cleaning frequency
Home seclusion expected to impact behaviour beyond restrictions
Preventative health as future growth driver in home care
Routes to disruption in home care
What are we learning about home care routines during the pandemic?
About Euromonitor International’s Industry Forecast Model
Soft drivers and the Industry Forecast Model
Growth decomposition explained
Significance and applications for growth decomposition
Key applications for Industry Forecast Models

Home Care

This is the aggregation of laundry care, dishwashing products, surface care, chlorine bleach, toilet care, polishes, air fresheners and insecticides.

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