Population growth in Kenya up to 2030 will be driven by positive, yet declining, natural change. Live births will increase every year up to 2030, despite declining birth and fertility rates, due to rises in the number of women of childbearing age. While the rapid escalation of the 40+ age cohorts reflects the ageing trend, over 77% of the population will remain under 40 years in 2030. Less than a third of the population will live in an urban area in 2030, despite a surge in urban population.
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