Packaged Food in Uzbekistan

January 2021
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Overview:

Understand the latest market trends and future growth opportunities for the Packaged Food industry in Uzbekistan with research from Euromonitor International's team of in-country analysts – experts by industry and geographic specialisation.

Key trends are clearly and succinctly summarised alongside the most current research data available. Understand and assess competitive threats and plan corporate strategy with our qualitative analysis, insight and confident growth projections.

Data and analysis in this report provides further detailed coverage dedicated to a comprehensive range of core packaged food categories.

If you're in the Packaged Food industry in Uzbekistan, our research will help you to make informed, intelligent decisions; to recognise and profit from opportunity, or to offer resilience amidst market uncertainty.

The Packaged Food in Uzbekistan report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volume and value sizes, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent research methodology, conducted in-country

This report answers:

  • What is the market size of Packaged Food in Uzbekistan?
  • Which are the leading brands in Packaged Food in Uzbekistan?
  • How are products distributed in Packaged Food in Uzbekistan?
  • How is the rise of e-commerce and/or the expansion of modern grocery retail impacting traditional retail?
  • What are the key health and wellness concerns driving, or challenging, sales in Packaged Food?
  • How significant are vegan and vegetarian dietary requirements in determining sales growth in Uzbekistan?
  • How has COVID-19 impacted consumer demand? To what extent have lockdown, home seclusion and stockpiling boosted sales? Will the longer term economic repercussions of the pandemic stimulate or suppress future growth?
  • Where is future growth expected to be most dynamic?
  • How significant will values-based claims, such as sustainability and ethical labelling, be in supporting future growth and brand equity?

Packaged Food in Uzbekistan

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

COVID-19 impact on packaged food
COVID-19 country impact
Company response
Retailing shift
Foodservice vs retail split
What next for packaged food?

FOODSERVICE

Sales to Foodservice
Reduced size of family celebrations weighs heavily on foodservice packaged food demand Demand shifts from imported products to local offerings Demand for traditional Uzbek dishes is particularly weak, but cheap fast food offerings fare better
Category Data
Table 1 Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 2 Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 3 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 4 Forecast Foodservice Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025

MARKET DATA

Table 5 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 6 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 7 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 8 Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 9 GBO Company Shares of Packaged Food: % Value 2016-2020 Table 10 NBO Company Shares of Packaged Food: % Value 2016-2020 Table 11 LBN Brand Shares of Packaged Food: % Value 2017-2020 Table 12 Distribution of Packaged Food by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 13 Distribution of Packaged Food by Format and Category: % Value 2020 Table 14 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 15 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 16 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 17 Forecast Sales of Packaged Food by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT

GLOBAL INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT

DISCLAIMER

SOURCES

Summary 1 Research Sources

Edible Oils in Uzbekistan

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Price rises in retail ensure strong current value growth
Stockpiling leads to marked increase in sunflower oil consumption
Import ban on raw materials damages local edible oils producers

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Government support for producers to help to encourage sunflower oil consumption
Olive oil to benefit from a growing middle class and wider distribution
Shrinking disposable incomes to force consumers away from imported edible oils

CATEGORY DATA

Table 18 Sales of Edible Oils by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 19 Sales of Edible Oils by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 20 Sales of Edible Oils by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 21 Sales of Edible Oils by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 22 NBO Company Shares of Edible Oils: % Value 2016-2020 Table 23 LBN Brand Shares of Edible Oils: % Value 2017-2020 Table 24 Distribution of Edible Oils by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 25 Forecast Sales of Edible Oils by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 26 Forecast Sales of Edible Oils by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 27 Forecast Sales of Edible Oils by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 28 Forecast Sales of Edible Oils by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Ready Meals in Uzbekistan

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Frozen ready meals benefits from lockdown stockpiling
Frozen pizza grows as a replacement for foodservice meals
Social media marketing behind growing demand for frozen ready meals

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Demand for shelf stable ready meals to remain low
Mashed potato the driver in the development of dried ready meals
Ready meals producers to win new consumers with new flavours

CATEGORY DATA

Table 29 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 30 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 31 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 32 Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 33 NBO Company Shares of Ready Meals: % Value 2016-2020 Table 34 LBN Brand Shares of Ready Meals: % Value 2017-2020 Table 35 Distribution of Ready Meals by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 36 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 37 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 38 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 39 Forecast Sales of Ready Meals by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Sauces, Dressings and Condiments in Uzbekistan

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Stockpiling helps tomato pastes and purées and ketchup to continue growth
Larger package sizes contributes to volume growth in retail
Retail discounts behind strong growth of herbs and spices

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Downtrading in ketchup to benefit local brands
Economic downturn to price consumers out of premium brands
Larger package sizes to be key to growth in retail sales

CATEGORY DATA

Table 40 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 41 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 42 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 43 Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 44 NBO Company Shares of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments: % Value 2016-2020 Table 45 LBN Brand Shares of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments: % Value 2017-2020 Table 46 Distribution of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 47 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 48 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 49 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 50 Forecast Sales of Sauces, Dressings and Condiments by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Sweet Spreads in Uzbekistan

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Perceived health benefits of honey drive retail purchasing during lockdown
New product offerings drive growth
Stockpiling consumers increasingly seek out larger package sizes

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Jam brands to become more accessible and affordable
Local honey producers to improve their marketing with government assistance
Nut and seed based spreads to struggle to attract new consumers

CATEGORY DATA

Table 51 Sales of Sweet Spreads by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 52 Sales of Sweet Spreads by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 53 Sales of Sweet Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 54 Sales of Sweet Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 55 NBO Company Shares of Sweet Spreads: % Value 2016-2020 Table 56 LBN Brand Shares of Sweet Spreads: % Value 2017-2020 Table 57 Distribution of Sweet Spreads by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 58 Forecast Sales of Sweet Spreads by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 59 Forecast Sales of Sweet Spreads by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 60 Forecast Sales of Sweet Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 61 Forecast Sales of Sweet Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Soup in Uzbekistan

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Soup benefits from lockdown stockpiling
Imports of dehydrated and instant soups gather pace
Familiar names help to drive curiosity about dehydrated and instant soup

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Development of retail to encourage purchases of soup
No new product launches likely in insignificant shelf stable and chilled soup
New flavours to support the growth of instant soup

Baked Goods in Uzbekistan

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

COVID-19 weighs on retail volume sales of baked goods, with more consumers baking at home
Price rises squeeze consumers
Brotmeister Nonash ZAO leads due to its strength in packaged leavened bread

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Packaged leavened and flat breads will continue to outperform their unpackaged counterparts due to lingering hygiene concerns
Modern retail development will gradually undermine dominance of artisanal baked goods
In a predominantly low-income, rural society, value-added products have limited potential for retail current value sales

CATEGORY DATA

Table 62 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 63 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 64 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 65 Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 66 NBO Company Shares of Baked Goods: % Value 2016-2020 Table 67 LBN Brand Shares of Baked Goods: % Value 2017-2020 Table 68 Distribution of Baked Goods by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 69 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 70 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 71 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 72 Forecast Sales of Baked Goods by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Breakfast Cereals in Uzbekistan

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Stockpiling lifts growth in retail current value sales of breakfast cereals
Price increases have not undermined retail volume growth, but demand remains limited to more affluent urban consumers
Cereal Partners Worldwide loses out as price competition intensifies

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Low income levels help to limit potential retail current value sales growth
Amid rising consumer awareness and broadening distribution, muesli and granola will continue to exhibit strong growth in retail current value sales
Growth opportunity for local manufacturers – if they can leverage their local knowledge

CATEGORY DATA

Table 73 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 74 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 75 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 76 Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 77 NBO Company Shares of Breakfast Cereals: % Value 2016-2020 Table 78 LBN Brand Shares of Breakfast Cereals: % Value 2017-2020 Table 79 Distribution of Breakfast Cereals by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 80 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 81 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 82 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 83 Forecast Sales of Breakfast Cereals by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Processed Meat and Seafood in Uzbekistan

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

COVID-19 leads to stockpiling
Economic impact of COVID-19 makes imported products more expensive
Economies of scale and broadening distribution lead to increased concentration

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Shelf stable seafood will suffer a post-pandemic hangover
Public investment will lead to increased domestic production and reduced imports
Demand for meat substitutes will remain very low

CATEGORY DATA

Table 84 Sales of Processed Meat and Seafood by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 85 Sales of Processed Meat and Seafood by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 86 Sales of Processed Meat and Seafood by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 87 Sales of Processed Meat and Seafood by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 88 NBO Company Shares of Processed Meat and Seafood: % Value 2016-2020 Table 89 LBN Brand Shares of Processed Meat and Seafood: % Value 2017-2020 Table 90 Distribution of Processed Meat and Seafood by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 91 Forecast Sales of Processed Meat and Seafood by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 92 Forecast Sales of Processed Meat and Seafood by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 93 Forecast Sales of Processed Meat and Seafood by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 94 Forecast Sales of Processed Meat and Seafood by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Processed Fruit and Vegetables in Uzbekistan

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

Stockpiling and an increase in home cooking will drive acceleration in retail volume sales growth
Increased female labour force participation drives demand for convenience, but home-made processed fruit and vegetables remain popular
With a growing product range and widening distribution, local player Euro Food Trade OOO poses a growing threat to international players

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Rising health awareness will help drive an acceleration in retail volume sales growth
Investment in agriculture and manufacturing will make domestic players more competitive
Demand for frozen processed fruits and vegetables will remain negligible

CATEGORY DATA

Table 95 Sales of Processed Fruit and Vegetables by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 96 Sales of Processed Fruit and Vegetables by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 97 Sales of Processed Fruit and Vegetables by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 98 Sales of Processed Fruit and Vegetables by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 99 NBO Company Shares of Processed Fruit and Vegetables: % Value 2016-2020 Table 100 LBN Brand Shares of Processed Fruit and Vegetables: % Value 2017-2020 Table 101 Distribution of Processed Fruit and Vegetables by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 102 Forecast Sales of Processed Fruit and Vegetables by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 103 Forecast Sales of Processed Fruit and Vegetables by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 104 Forecast Sales of Processed Fruit and Vegetables by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 105 Forecast Sales of Processed Fruit and Vegetables by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Rice, Pasta and Noodles in Uzbekistan

KEY DATA FINDINGS

2020 IMPACT

COVID-19 leads to stockpiling
Hygiene concerns drive shift to packaged products
Generic products dominate rice, where price competition is fierce

RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES

Demand for rice, pasta and noodles will suffer a post-pandemic hangover
Expanding population will drive retail volume growth
Dried pasta has more room for volume growth than rice, as per-capita consumption is much lower

CATEGORY DATA

Table 106 Sales of Rice, Pasta and Noodles by Category: Volume 2015-2020 Table 107 Sales of Rice, Pasta and Noodles by Category: Value 2015-2020 Table 108 Sales of Rice, Pasta and Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2015-2020 Table 109 Sales of Rice, Pasta and Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020 Table 110 NBO Company Shares of Rice, Pasta and Noodles: % Value 2016-2020 Table 111 LBN Brand Shares of Rice, Pasta and Noodles: % Value 2017-2020 Table 112 NBO Company Shares of Rice: % Value 2016-2020 Table 113 LBN Brand Shares of Rice: % Value 2017-2020 Table 114 NBO Company Shares of Pasta: % Value 2016-2020 Table 115 LBN Brand Shares of Pasta: % Value 2017-2020 Table 116 NBO Company Shares of Noodles: % Value 2016-2020 Table 117 LBN Brand Shares of Noodles: % Value 2017-2020 Table 118 Distribution of Rice, Pasta and Noodles by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 119 Distribution of Rice by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 120 Distribution of Pasta by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 121 Distribution of Noodles by Format: % Value 2015-2020 Table 122 Forecast Sales of Rice, Pasta and Noodles by Category: Volume 2020-2025 Table 123 Forecast Sales of Rice, Pasta and Noodles by Category: Value 2020-2025 Table 124 Forecast Sales of Rice, Pasta and Noodles by Category: % Volume Growth 2020-2025 Table 125 Forecast Sales of Rice, Pasta and Noodles by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025

Packaged Food

In packaged food we consider two aspects of food sales: 1) Retail sales. 2) Foodservice. Retail sales is defined as sales through establishments primarily engaged in the sale of fresh, packaged and prepared foods for home preparation and consumption. This excludes hotels, restaurant, cafés, duty free sales and institutional sales (canteens, prisons/jails, hospitals, army, etc). Our retail definition EXCLUDES the purchase of food products from foodservice outlets for consumption off-premises, eg impulse confectionery bought from counters of cafés/bars. This falls under foodservice sales. For foodservice, we capture all sales to foodservice outlets, regardless of whether the products are eventually consumed on-premise or off-premise. Foodservice sales is defined as sales to consumer foodservice outlets that serve the general public in a non-captive environment. Outlets include cafés/bars, FSR (full-service restaurants), fast food, 100% home delivery/takeaway, self-service cafeterias and street stalls/kiosks. Sales to semicaptive foodservice outlets are also included. This describes outlets located in leisure, travel and retail environments. 1) Retail refers to units located in retail outlets such as department stores, shopping malls, shopping centres, super/hypermarkets etc. 2) Leisure refers to units located in leisure establishments such as museums, health clubs, cinemas, theatres, theme parks and sports stadiums. 3) Travel refers to units located in based in airports, rail stations, coach stations, motorway service stations offering gas facilities etc. Beyond the scope of the foodservice research are captive foodservice units that serve captive populations around institutions such as hospitals, schools, and prisons. This is also known as institutional sales.

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This report originates from Passport, our Packaged Food research and analysis database.

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