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What’s Happening in Tobacco? Q3 2018

October 2018

In the latest in an ongoing series of quarterly briefings looking at major (and some minor) developments in the world of tobacco we assess the latest performance of the major multinationals, important cannabis and NPD/NGP updates, further M&A activities from Japan Tobacco Inc, the reviewed economic growth projections for the world’s key markets and what to look for in the next quarter.

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The Protocol to Eliminate Illicit Trade in Tobacco Products enters into force

The treaty known as the Protocol to Eliminate Illicit Trade in Tobacco Products, which represents the first legally binding tobacco control framework adopted under the FCTC and is agreed by 45 countries and the EU, will enter into force on 25 September. Illicit trade remains one of the major issues in the global tobacco industry. According to the latest Euromonitor data, the total volume of illicit cigarettes consumed in 2017 increased by 1.4% on a yearly basis, or over 4% excluding China.

WTO upholds Australia’s plain packaging legislation

A WTO dispute panel upheld Australia’s plain packaging laws, ruling that they are in line with global trade rules. This follows years of litigation involving Australia, on one side, and Cuba, the Dominican Republic, Honduras and Indonesia, on the other. There are indications that Honduras will appeal the decision, however, the ruling is likely to lead to accelerated implementation of plain packaging laws around the world. Euromonitor estimates show that by 2030 over one billion cigarette sticks, or 50% of world volumes, excluding China, at that point, may fall under such regulations.

In Brief

Regulatory updates 1
Regulatory updates 2
Regulatory updates 3
Regulatory updates 4
Taxation updates 1
Taxation updates 2
Prevalence updates 1
Prevalence updates 2
Market and product updates 1
Market and product updates 2
Market and product updates 3
Market and product updates 4
Mergers and acquisitions updates
New product developments 1
New product developments 2
Cannabis and tobacco updates

In Depth

PMI: Q2 results moderate the overall HY volume decline rate
BAT: CEO Nicandro Durante steps down
JTI: international business grows, while domestic one suffers
IMB: second HY volumes weaker than the first
NGP updates

Latest Macroeconomic Data

The latest Euromonitor International macroeconomic forecasts

Q4 talking points

What to look for in Q4 2018
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