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Country Report

Consumer Lending in France

Apr 2012

Price: US$900

About this Report

About this Report

Samples (FAQs about samples):

doc_pdf.png Sample Consumer Lending Market Research Report

doc_excel_table.png Sample Consumer Lending Data

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Consumer Lending industry in France with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Consumer Lending industry in France, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Consumer Lending in France market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Historic volumes and values
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Consumer Lending in France?
  • What are the major trends set to impact the market in France?
  • What capacity for consumer debt still exists in the market?
  • What’s the state of credit quality in the market?
  • Has the economic downturn reset the lender competitive landscape?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

Euromonitor’s industry reports, including Consumer Lending in France, originate from our database within our Consumer Finance market share and market size database, Passport, a platform which analyses Consumer Finance in 46 countries and globally.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Consumer credit evolves rapidly in France

Consumer lending has entered a period of fundamental change in terms of production and distribution. The behaviour of customers is changing rapidly and there has been a shift in the way French households use consumer credit. The proportion of credit granted to finance a “consumption” project, such as the purchase of home equipment or automobiles and home improvements was quite stable. In the meantime, the use of consumer credit to finance leisure activities, holidays or general consumption declined. Society's expectations of lenders' responsibilities and ethical standards are also evolving. As a result, lenders adapted their offer to these new market conditions; for instance, devising more redeemable credit products to the detriment of revolving credit.

The housing market slows down after high growth in 2010

Gross mortgage lending decreased slightly in 2011, after an exceptional year in 2010. Many French consumers made housing investments at the end of 2010, in order to continue benefiting from attractive credit conditions and state incentives, which were expected to be eliminated or reduced in 2011 (tax credit on home loan interest, “pass foncier” or Scellier programme). The zero interest loan (PTZ) was replaced by a new version (PTZ+) at the beginning of 2011. The growth in interest rates and housing prices also contributed the slow down in the number of transactions.

Consumer lending becomes increasingly competitive and concentrated

The competition has intensified in consumer lending in France. Alternative financial institutions strengthened their position in terms of the provision of credit. In response, major retail banks reviewed their positioning; re-deploying their strategies towards consumer credit, and increasingly offered innovative products and services. The trend for banks and specialised financial institutions to merge or cooperate, in order to offer complementary and extended product ranges to customers became increasingly visible over the review period. Crédit Agricole Consumer Finance (through the merger of Groupe Crédit Agricole’s Sofinco and Finaref brands) became the consumer credit leader both in France and Europe. In 2010, it dominated all areas of consumer credit: direct sales, point-of-sale financing, e-commerce and partnerships. Consumer credit is expected to be a dynamic business area in France over the forecast period. This projection is stimulating activity in terms of mergers and acquisitions.

The Loi Lagarde and EU Consumer Credit Directive redefine the landscape

New legislation aims at enhancing transparency and responsible lending while offering more protection to consumers. The Loi Lagarde aims at curbing the expansion of revolving credit, which is judged to encourage indebtedness. Consumer protection was reinforced through several measures, such as deadline extensions, the obligation of credit institutions to be more transparent and check the solvency of applicants before granting credit facilities. The EU Consumer Credit Directive is intended to break down the barriers between the different European markets. It standardises the information provided to consumers and thus encourages greater transparency from lenders. The directive harmonises APR interest rate calculations, a measure which will contribute to drive down costs and reinforce consumer protection.

Consumer lending is expected to be dynamic in France

Both mortgages/housing and consumer credit are expected to perform well over the forecast period. The French housing market is relatively stable and “healthy” compared to other Western European countries; a trend which should contribute to sustained growth in the long term. Consumer credit in France is still in its infancy, compared to other more advanced markets, such as the UK, and there remains room for expansion. Growth is anticipated to be higher than over the review period, since many players are expected to enter or intensify their sales and marketing efforts in this business area.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Consumer Lending in France - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Consumer credit evolves rapidly in France

The housing market slows down after high growth in 2010

Consumer lending becomes increasingly competitive and concentrated

The Loi Lagarde and EU Consumer Credit Directive redefine the landscape

Consumer lending is expected to be dynamic in France

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Mortgages/housing slows down in 2011 after an exceptional year in 2010

The EU Consumer Credit Directive redefines the consumer credit landscape

The impact of the Loi Lagarde on consumer credit

Overindebtedness is on the rise in France

Crédit Agricole confirms its leading position

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Consumer Lending: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Mortgages/Housing: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Consumer Credit: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Card Lending: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 10 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 11 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 12 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Consumer Credit in France - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Gross consumer credit lending continued to grow in 2011, following the marked decline in 2009. France was significantly affected by recession, which stunted the demand for consumer credit in 2009. The improvement in the economic situation in 2010 and 2011 had a positive impact on the industry. The French economy returned to growth in 2010, weathering the recession earlier than had been anticipated. France’s GDP increased by 1.5% in 2010 and 1.8% in 2011. These positive macroeconomic indicators contributed to partially restore French households’ confidence about the economy and their financial situation.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The competition in consumer credit in France continues to intensify. Alternative financial institutions multiplied their efforts to increase their presence in consumer credit and strengthen their position in revolving credit provision. For instance, major retailers like Carrefour continued to gain shares through the issuance of new co-branded cards or the conversion of store cards into credit cards.

PROSPECTS

  • Consumer credit in France is expected to remain dynamic over the forecast period. Gross lending is anticipated to grow by a 6% constant value CAGR to reach €67.3 billion in 2016, while outstanding balance is expected to rise by a 4% constant value CAGR to reach €100.2 billion in 2016.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 13 Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 16 Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Consumer Lending

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Non-performing vs others loans

Market size details:

  • Outstanding balance real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Outstanding balance real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Gross lending real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance % growth
  • Outstanding balance local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending % growth
  • Gross lending local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Outstanding balance nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Gross lending nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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