You are here: HomeSolutionsIndustriesConsumer Finance
print my pages

Country Report

Consumer Lending in Indonesia

Feb 2013

Price: US$900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Industry growth prompts government regulation in the form of new legislation

Consumer lending maintained its robust performance in 2012 thanks to the growing middle class and consumers becoming less wary about borrowing money from the bank. In response to the burgeoning growth of this industry, the government introduced new legislation in an attempt to introduce better regulation and to minimise the risk of banks lending money to consumers unable to afford to repay their loans or those likely to struggle to make the repayments. This legislation was also designed to help prevent other aspects of the economy, especially the property market, from overheating.

Some of the new legislation included the tightening of eligibility requirements on those applying for mortgages/housing loans or auto lending in 2012, and included restrictions on credit card ownership, to be effective from 2013. Such legislation is becoming more necessary in Indonesia as consumers are still generally discovering the new habit of borrowing money from financial institutions, and without adequate structures in place, the lure of access to credit may prove risky to the country’s economic stability.

Growth in mortgages/housing gross lending outperforms consumer credit

Mortgages/housing in Indonesia remains a smaller proportion of consumer lending compared to consumer credit, but once again in 2012 is set to outpace the performance of consumer credit in terms of gross lending growth. On-going urbanisation and an increasing proportion of smaller-size households – with young families increasingly living separately from their larger family units – continued to fuel demand for mortgages/housing.

Even with new government legislation in place from 15 June 2012 requiring banks to approve mortgages/housing applications only for customers who can provide a minimum 30% deposit, growth in gross lending is still expected to remain at double-digit rates, although slowing in percentage terms from 2011. A more visible impact is expected from 2012-2017 when gross lending growth is expected to stabilise at a single-digit rate.

Local banks continue to control the consumer lending scene

The consumer lending competitive landscape in Indonesia remains consolidated, with the bulk of lending coming from a few key banks. There are four key lending banks which are government-owned: Bank Mandiri, Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BRI), Bank Negara Indonesia (BNI), and Bank Tabungan Negara (BTN), which focus on mortgages/housing loans. Meanwhile, there is more variety in terms of lenders for consumer credit. A number of private banks provide auto lending as well as multi-purpose loans, as these are typically smaller values than mortgages/housing loans.

More intervention expected from the government in the future

As a relatively young industry, there is still plenty of room for growth in the consumer lending industry. Gross lending is still expected to maintain an overall high constant value CAGR throughout the forecast period, despite a gradual slowdown in growth year on year. With the industry becoming more established, more legislation is expected to be implemented by the Indonesian government in order to minimise any risks posed to the economy from overheating of related industries, such as the property market. The government will also find it crucial to curb the growth in cars, as the larger cities are already struggling to cope with traffic problems. Moreover, the government will need to remain vigilant in monitoring the activities of the lending institutions, including banks, to stop any bank from facing financial troubles that could jeopardise the economy as a whole.


Samples (FAQs about samples):

doc_pdf.png Sample Consumer Lending Market Research Report

doc_excel_table.png Sample Consumer Lending Data

Delivery: Files are delivered directly into your account within a few minutes of purchase.

Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Consumer Lending industry in Indonesia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Consumer Lending industry in Indonesia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Consumer Lending in Indonesia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Historic volumes and values
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Consumer Lending in Indonesia?
  • What are the major trends set to impact the market in Indonesia?
  • What capacity for consumer debt still exists in the market?
  • What’s the state of credit quality in the market?
  • Has the economic downturn reset the lender competitive landscape?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

Euromonitor’s industry reports, including Consumer Lending in Indonesia, originate from our database within our Consumer Finance market share and market size database, Passport, a platform which analyses Consumer Finance in 46 countries and globally.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Consumer Lending in Indonesia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Industry growth prompts government regulation in the form of new legislation

Growth in mortgages/housing gross lending outperforms consumer credit

Local banks continue to control the consumer lending scene

More intervention expected from the government in the future

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Better industry regulation

Mortgages/housing grows strongly thanks to the rise in smaller homes

Closer attention on non-performing loans

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 2 Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 3 Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 4 Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 5 Consumer Lending: Non-performing Loans 2007-2012
  • Table 6 Mortgages/Housing: Non-performing Loans 2007-2012
  • Table 7 Consumer Credit: Non-performing Loans 2007-2012
  • Table 8 Card Lending: Non-performing Loans 2007-2012
  • Table 9 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 10 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 11 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 12 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2012-2017

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Consumer Credit in Indonesia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The consumer credit industry in Indonesia continued its stellar performance in 2012, as Indonesian consumers continued to discover the concept of obtaining money to finance purchases through loans from banks or other alternative lending institutions. With the emerging middle class phenomenon and growing urbanisation, purchases of big-ticket items, ranging from vehicles to durables, is growing, and more consumers are turning to the bank to finance this purchase.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The most popular lenders of consumer credit in Indonesia are banks, especially local ones. While the competitive landscape used to be quite consolidated with just a few banks offering consumer credit, the favourable performance of the industry encouraged more banks to also offer various types of credit to consumers over the review period. Aside from banks, there are also loans, such as KKB, offered by other financial institutions, including multi-financing companies.

PROSPECTS

  • Consumer credit is expected to perform strongly over the forecast period, with a continued rise in middle class consumers fuelled by urbanisation. More consumers will have access to credit, and in turn also become more familiar with the concept of borrowing money from banks or alternative financial service providers to finance their purchases, be they houses/apartments or big-ticket items, such as refrigeration appliances or furniture. Double-digit growth in gross lending is therefore seen as achievable in the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 13 Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 14 Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 15 Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 16 Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 17 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 18 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 19 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 20 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Consumer Lending
    • Consumer Credit
      • Card Lending
      • Auto Lending
      • Durables Lending
      • Education Lending
      • Home Lending
      • Other Personal Lending
    • Mortgages/Housing

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Consumer credit by type
  • Non-performing vs others loans
  • Other personal lending by type

Market size details:

  • Outstanding balance % growth
  • Outstanding balance local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending % growth
  • Gross lending local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

my pages

Want to find out more about this report?

If you purchase a report that is updated in the next 60 days, we will send you the new edition of the report and the data extract FREE!