You are here: HomeSolutionsIndustriesConsumer Finance
print my pages

Country Report

Consumer Lending in Indonesia

Mar 2012

Price: US$900

About this Report

About this Report

Samples (FAQs about samples):

doc_pdf.png Sample Consumer Lending Market Research Report

doc_excel_table.png Sample Consumer Lending Data

Delivery: Files are delivered directly into your account within a few minutes of purchase.

Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Consumer Lending industry in Indonesia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Consumer Lending industry in Indonesia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Consumer Lending in Indonesia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Historic volumes and values
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Consumer Lending in Indonesia?
  • What are the major trends set to impact the market in Indonesia?
  • What capacity for consumer debt still exists in the market?
  • What’s the state of credit quality in the market?
  • Has the economic downturn reset the lender competitive landscape?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

Euromonitor’s industry reports, including Consumer Lending in Indonesia, originate from our database within our Consumer Finance market share and market size database, Passport, a platform which analyses Consumer Finance in 46 countries and globally.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Consumer lending in Indonesia continues its ascent in 2011

Indonesia’s consumer lending industry registered a stronger performance during 2010 than in 2009 both in terms of gross lending and outstanding balance. The acceleration of growth in consumer lending continued into 2011, according to recent announcements by the country’s national bank, Bank Indonesia. In addition, outstanding triple-figure growth was recorded in both gross lending and outstanding balance in consumer lending in Indonesia over the course of the entire review period, a situation which demonstrates the immense potential which Indonesia’s consumer lending industry holds, as well as the fact that this potential is now being fulfilled by Indonesian consumers. Many Indonesians are becoming more familiar with the concept of borrowing money from banks, and towards the end of the review period the country’s lending banks also paid more attention to consumer lending in a shift away from their traditional focus on business lending. As such, growth in gross lending soared throughout the review period.

Bank Indonesia works towards implementing policies to boost consumer lending

In its efforts to boost Indonesia’s consumer lending industry, Bank Indonesia has recently developed various policies which are intended to increase the appeal of consumer lending for both banks and consumers. One of Bank Indonesia’s more notable policies includes increasing the transparency of its base interest rate and prime lending rate. This is intended not only to engender a sense of good governance but it is also aimed at improving efficiency in the consumer lending industry. At the same time, it is also hoped that the heightened transparency will boost consumer protection by offering consumers sufficient information when applying for loans. Bank Indonesia is also progressively developing more regulations which require banks to maintain healthy ratios of consumer savings deposits to outstanding balance. These measures aim to prevent Indonesia’s consumer lending industry from becoming overheated as allowing credit too easily can lead to long-term problems for the overall economy. All in all, the regulations aim to ensure that the very strong growth currently being experienced in consumer lending does not get out of hand.

Card lending holds the highest appeal of all consumer lending categories in 2011

Of all types of consumer lending in Indonesia, card lending remained the category with the highest growth in both outstanding balance and gross lending during 2011. The solid growth recorded in card lending during 2011 was partially boosted by the ongoing development of Indonesia’s financial cards and payments industry, which has led to higher numbers of consumers becoming accustomed to the concept of using financial cards for cash withdrawal as well as for making payments. Credit card usage has boomed in the process, and this accounted for virtually all card lending during 2011 as store cards and other pay-later card types remained marginal in Indonesia during 2011. In response to the higher demand for credit cards among Indonesia’s consumers’, the country’s banks have maximised their efforts to promote the ownership and usage of credit cards by offering various benefits such as lower interest rates, while the requirements which applicants must meet in order to prove their eligibility to apply for credit cards have been relaxed. This push by Indonesia’s banks’ to promote credit cards also contributed the positive performance in card lending during 2011.

Governmental banks still dominate the consumer lending landscape

Up to 2011, Indonesia’s governmental banks continued to dominate the consumer lending landscape, accounting for a much higher proportion of outstanding balance and gross lending than finance companies and other types of non-bank lenders. Governmental banks such as BTN, Bank Mandiri and Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BRI) are actively pushing their mortgage/housing loans. Bank Pembangunan Rakyat (BPR), however, is one government bank which continues to focus mainly on business loans and has not yet begun to focus on extending credit to private consumers. The country’s private banks, meanwhile, are slightly more visible in categories such as auto lending. One trend which developed during 2011 was the advent of kredit tanpa agunan (KTA), multi-purpose loans which are classified under other personal lending. The relative ease with which consumers can obtain a KTA is balanced by the higher interest rates which are levied on these types of loans, and higher numbers of Indonesian banks are pushing their KTAs and similar products in order to maximise profits.

Strong growth to continue for consumer lending

Indonesia’s consumer lending industry is expected to continue performing strongly over the forecast period, with double-digit constant value CAGRs projected in both gross lending and outstanding balance. A slowdown in growth is likely, which is perhaps unsurprising given the soaring growth rates which were recorded over the review period. Indonesia’s banks may also become more cautious when approving loans, particularly once the size of the consumer lending industry increases to the point where banks will be able to become more selective in terms of which loan applicants receive approval.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Consumer Lending in Indonesia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Consumer lending in Indonesia continues its ascent in 2011

Bank Indonesia works towards implementing policies to boost consumer lending

Card lending holds the highest appeal of all consumer lending categories in 2011

Governmental banks still dominate the consumer lending landscape

Strong growth to continue for consumer lending

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Mortgage/housing lending gets a further boost from favourable interest rates

Auto lending continues to thrive amidst rising motorcycle and car ownership

Banks focus more on consumer lending

Trend towards overall usage of financial cards helps boost card lending

Strengthening economy whets the collective appetite for consumer lending

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Consumer Lending: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Mortgages/Housing: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Consumer Credit: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Card Lending: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 10 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 11 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 12 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Consumer Credit in Indonesia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The ongoing growth in Indonesia’s economy and the stable economic situation in the country in 2011 were based on favourable indicators including the rising exchange value of the Indonesian rupiah. This resulted in higher growth in consumer credit. Many Indonesian consumers are now more confident to borrow money in order to finance their purchases and the country’s banks are also being encouraged to continue lending money to consumers in light of the favourable economic situation which subsists in the country. The Indonesian government also encouraged growth in consumer credit by reducing interest rates in various consumer credit categories during 2010 and 2011. As such, consumer credit gross lending continued to record strong growth in 2011, although growth was slightly lower than the growth recorded in 2010.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In Indonesia, consumer credit is usually offered by banks. From 2010 onwards, the stronger economic situation has resulted in not only large banks but also smaller banks broadening their consumer lending product portfolio. A much smaller proportion of consumer credit in Indonesia is offered by other financial institutions such as multi-financing companies. Banks still dominate the consumer credit landscape in Indonesia because of the vast financial resources they have available as well as the strong support they enjoy from the Indonesian government, which considers banks to be safer institutions for the extension of consumer credit than non-bank lenders. Indonesia’s multi-financing companies typically offer auto lending as the purchasing process for cars and motorcycles is very simple and the repayment periods of these agreements are relatively short, which minimises the risk for the lenders to suffer losses.

PROSPECTS

  • Consumer credit in Indonesia has very good growth prospects for the future. Although the majority of Indonesian consumers are Muslims, for whom the charging of interest on loans is a controversial practice, there is rising acceptance of the practice of borrowing money from banks. There are clear signs that borrowing money from financial institutions is becoming a more acceptable practice in Indonesia, for example the rising number of multi-financing companies which are offering consumer credit in Indonesia. This is set to boost growth consumer credit during the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 13 Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 16 Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Consumer Lending

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Non-performing vs others loans

Market size details:

  • Outstanding balance real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Outstanding balance real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Gross lending real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance % growth
  • Outstanding balance local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending % growth
  • Gross lending local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Outstanding balance nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Gross lending nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

my pages

Want to find out more about this report?

If you purchase a report that is updated in the next 60 days, we will send you the new edition of the report and the data extract FREE!