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Country Report

Consumer Lending in Israel

Apr 2012

Price: US$900

About this Report

About this Report

Samples (FAQs about samples):

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Consumer Lending industry in Israel with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Consumer Lending industry in Israel, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Consumer Lending in Israel market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Historic volumes and values
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Consumer Lending in Israel?
  • What are the major trends set to impact the market in Israel?
  • What capacity for consumer debt still exists in the market?
  • What’s the state of credit quality in the market?
  • Has the economic downturn reset the lender competitive landscape?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

Euromonitor’s industry reports, including Consumer Lending in Israel, originate from our database within our Consumer Finance market share and market size database, Passport, a platform which analyses Consumer Finance in 46 countries and globally.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Israeli economy sees strong growth while the CPI continues to rise

The Israeli economy witnessed a recovery in real economic activity during the first half of 2011, while a continuous decline was recorded in the unemployment rate. The main driver of economic growth during 2011 was the increase registered in investment capital and the rise in exports, the result of expanding global trade. In addition to this healthy economic growth, Israel’s consumer price index witnessed a strong increase, rising by 2.2%, largely due to 3.5% increase in the price of housing materials, while the price of food increased by 4.4% and energy costs rose by 6.6%. In addition, during the first half of 2011, the interest rate in Israel reached 3.25% as the Bank of Israel accelerated the pace of interest rate hikes in order to deal with rising inflation. The growing financial confidence combined with the higher cost of living to lead many Israeli consumers to spend more during 2011, with many resorting to loans and credit options to deal with rising living costs.

Israeli protests fight the high cost of housing in Israel

During July 2011, a new group appeared on Facebook appealing to all Israelis to leave their homes and camp in tents on Rothschild Boulevard in the centre of Tel Aviv in order to protest against the high cost of housing and living expenses in Israel. This represented one of the largest housing protests ever seen in Israel and was dubbed ‘the tent protest’ by the media. Young Israelis in particular joined with the vast majority of middle class consumers to protest against what are perceived as harsh and unfair conditions in the Israeli housing market, which are leading to very high living expenses, while the cost of maintaining a mortgage is also increasing.

Local banks dominate in the face of rising competition from external banks

In order to fight the growing trend of Israelis seeking finance from external lending entities which is steering Israelis away from local banks, the leading banks in Israel decided to issue their own branded credit cards, breaking the former oligopoly maintained by local credit card companies. Israel’s major banks seek to regain their personal contact with credit card holders and create a large consumer base in order to target their consumers more effectively and discourage them from seeking consumer credit elsewhere.

New regulations in mortgages/housing lending is expected to reduce demand

House prices in Israel continued to rise at a rapid pace during the first four months of 2011 as the house price index rose by 3.8%, the culmination of a 13.7% increase over the preceding 12 months. This rise was mainly due to the widening gap between house prices and rent levels as well as the widening gap between house prices and average wage levels. The continuing rise in the volume of mortgages, and especially variable rate mortgages, caused the Bank of Israel to limit the proportion of mortgages/housing loans offered at variable interest rates to one-third of the loan amount at the beginning of May 2011.

Consumer lending in Israel is set to continue growing over the forecast period

Consumer lending is expected to continue to growing steadily over the forecast period, although this growth is expected to be slower in constant value terms than the constant value growth recorded over the review period. Growth in consumer lending is set to be boosted by the burgeoning popularity of card lending, a category which is expected to witness strong positive growth over the forecast period. Mortgages/housing lending will remain a hot topic in Israel during the forecast period as the Bank of Israel is set to continue maintaining a high degree of supervision and control over mortgages/housing lending in order to maintain sustainable and manageable levels of demand.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Consumer Lending in Israel - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Israeli economy sees strong growth while the CPI continues to rise

Israeli protests fight the high cost of housing in Israel

Local banks dominate in the face of rising competition from external banks

New regulations in mortgages/housing lending is expected to reduce demand

Consumer lending in Israel is set to continue growing over the forecast period

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

BOI limits mortgages/housing lending once again in 2011 with new regulations

The Israeli economy continues to outperform other countries

The major banks fight external banking entities by launching their own branded credit cards

2011 in Israel is marked by consumer protests and the threat of social unrest

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Consumer Lending: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Mortgages/Housing: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Consumer Credit: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Card Lending: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 10 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 11 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 12 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Consumer Credit in Israel - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The economic climate in Israel remained a hot topic throughout 2011 as the Israeli economy witnessed strong positive growth. However, on the other hand, the rising cost of living in Israel has led to much commotion within Israel as both consumers and the government have been forced to come to terms with the unfortunate realities of rapidly rising prices. In terms of Israel’s economic development, 2010 represented a turning point for the Israeli economy as the Country’s GDP increased by 4.6% in constant terms, while business sector GDP rose by 5.3% and the financial and business services industry witnessed a 4.4% increase between 2009 and 2010. In addition, private consumption expenditure increased by 4.9% and private consumption expenditure per capita rose by 3%. These figures indicate a strong upward trend in consumer financial confidence in Israel as the country’s booming economy resulted in a positive impact on private consumer expenditure during 2010. This trend continued into 2011 as the Israeli economy continued to show positive signs of growth during the first quarter, with private consumption rising by an estimated 5.2%, while the Israeli economy continued to register healthy positive growth of 4.6%.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The competitive environment in consumer credit in Israel remains highly fragmented and can be split into three different subsets of lenders. The first set includes traditional local banks, while the second includes companies which issue credit cards and the third are financial services entities such as insurance companies which offer personal loans.

PROSPECTS

  • The 5% constant value CAGR of 5% expected in consumer credit gross lending over the forecast period is expected to be lower than the 7% constant value CAGR recorded over the review period as Israeli banks will have become more cautious towards lending in terms of the types of loans offered as well as with regards to the interest rates charged.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 13 Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 16 Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Consumer Lending

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Non-performing vs others loans

Market size details:

  • Outstanding balance real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Outstanding balance real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Gross lending real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance % growth
  • Outstanding balance local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending % growth
  • Gross lending local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Outstanding balance nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Gross lending nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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