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Country Report

Consumer Lending in South Korea

Dec 2010

Price: $900

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About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Consumer Lending industry in South Korea with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Consumer Lending industry in South Korea, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Consumer Lending in South Korea market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Historic volumes and values
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Consumer Lending in South Korea?
  • What are the major trends set to impact the market in South Korea?
  • What capacity for consumer debt still exists in the market?
  • What’s the state of credit quality in the market?
  • Has the economic downturn reset the lender competitive landscape?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

Euromonitor’s industry reports, including Consumer Lending in South Korea, originate from our database within our Consumer Finance market share and market size database, Passport, a platform which analyses Consumer Finance in 46 countries and globally.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Consumer lending continues to grow

Gross lending continued rising as new demand developed across home lending, education lending, card lending and auto lending in 2010. Negative growth of household income forced lowest-income earners at a 20 percentile to seek financing to supplement household expenditure. Food prices also continued to soar, resulting from abnormally cool weather in spring. On the other hand, low interest rates that had been pursued after the financial crisis to prevent a liquidity crunch prompted people to borrow and invest in real estate and stock markets for windfall gains. Thus, low interest rates continued to serve as a catalyst for consumer lending before the government put further measures forward to boost the domestic economy.

Mortgage lending is suppressed again

Mortgage lending remains the largest element in consumer lending, accounting for almost half of total consumer lending in gross lending terms. The housing market boom between 2003 and 2007 led to a hike in house prices, and people still saw houses as a good way of accumulating wealth if the brisk housing market remained active. Many consumers took mortgage lending and existing home owners also borrowed to buy a second or even third house in the hopes of making capital gains. As mortgage lending standards eased further in late-2008, the number of speculative transactions shot up. The government intervened in September 2009 and tightened lending standards for mortgage loans, restricting the loan size according to income level and house price. Gross lending of mortgage lending was curbed, resulting in suppressed sales in 2010.

State-guaranteed micro financing is launched

Growing consumer lending poses a concern given its possible strain on the economy. The fact that the top 80% of high-income earners generate the majority of total consumer lending means that there is minimal concern over the possibility of default. However, concern stems from debts of low-income households whose household expenditure outpaces household income. They have to pay much higher interest rates to borrow from financial institutions, and they turn to underground lending when they cannot borrow from financial institutions. To prevent low-income earners from being burdened with high interest rates, the government launched a micro financing programme in 2010 to provide more affordable borrowing costs to low income earners. It remains to be seen whether the government’s helping hand realises its objectives.

Role of secondary financial institutions rises

Tightened lending standards for mortgage loans which were adopted as a control measure when the housing market showed signs of heating up, and strict credit screening of banks, drove an increasing number of consumers to secondary financing institutions. If consumers were not able to take a loan from banks due to the lack of collateral or credit quality, they moved to second-tier banks, referred to as “savings banks” in South Korea and insurance companies, despite their higher interest rate. As a result, secondary financial institutions steadily increase their exposure in mortgage lending, home lending and other personal lending. Increased borrowing from those secondary institutions may be translated into higher risk of defaults when the interest rate moves upward.

High consumer lending is unlikely to drop, and outstanding balances to rise

Although new demand for mortgage lending is expected to be increasingly controlled by government measures, demand for consumer credit is expected to continue. However, outstanding balances are expected to increase, due to economic difficulties and the expected challenges in paying back loans which customers will continue to face. It is already proven that economic growth does not create jobs as much as it used to, meaning prospects for job markets remain pessimistic. With household expenditure exceeding household income, low income families will find it difficult to repay their existing debt and may rely on financing continually. Emerging signs of the housing market slowdown also raised the possibility that the repayment capability of households with mortgages is significantly undermined by falling house prices, and defaults may eventually increase. It is therefore estimated that consumer lending will remain high unless household disposable incomes rise substantially and housing transactions are reignited.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Consumer Lending in South Korea - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Consumer lending continues to grow

Mortgage lending is suppressed again

State-guaranteed micro financing is launched

Role of secondary financial institutions rises

High consumer lending is unlikely to drop, and outstanding balances to rise

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Restriction on mortgage lending is in place again

The role of secondary financial institutions is growing

Low interest rates prompt lending

Consumer lending is essential in today’s lifestyle

The government is set to help financing needs of low-income earners

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Consumer Lending: Non-performing Loans 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Mortgages/Housing: Non-performing Loans 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Consumer Credit: Non-performing Loans 2005-2010
  • Table 8 Card Lending: Non-performing Loans 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 10 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 11 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 12 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

Mortgages/housing

Consumer credit

Auto lending

Card lending

Home lending

Durables lending

Education lending

Other personal lending

Non-performing

Gross lending

Outstanding balance

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Consumer Credit in South Korea - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Consumer credit will see continuous growth in both gross lending and outstanding balance in 2010. Gross lending is set to increase by 8% in 2010 while the record low interest rate in South Korea, which was pursued in February 2009 in the wake of the financial crisis, has been kept intact until 2010. Low interest rates helped increase consumer lending over the last two years of the review period.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Retail banks play a major role in providing consumer credit with a value share of approximately 60% in 2010. Kookmin Bank is the largest lender in consumer credit with over 1,000 branches across the nation. Its lending outstanding balance reached over Won1.7 trillion in 2010. Kookmin Bank is followed by Woori Bank, Shinhan Bank and Hana Bank among 18 retail banks.

PROSPECTS

  • Value growth of consumer credit is projected at a CAGR of 3% in gross lending over the forecast period. Most lending, except for durables lending, is expected to increase as consumer demand for financing would not be curbed unless household income rises significantly.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 13 Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 14 Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 15 Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 16 Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 17 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 19 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 20 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Consumer Lending
    • Consumer Credit
      • Card Lending
      • Auto Lending
      • Durables Lending
      • Education Lending
      • Home Lending
      • Other Personal Lending
    • Mortgages/Housing

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market Size
  • Non-performing vs Others loans

Market size details:

  • Outstanding Balance real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Outstanding Balance real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding Balance real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross Lending real (constant 2008) Prices % growth
  • Gross Lending real (constant 2008) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross Lending real (constant 2008) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding Balance % growth
  • Outstanding Balance local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding Balance per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross Lending % growth
  • Gross Lending local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross Lending per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding Balance Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Outstanding Balance Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding Balance Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross Lending Nominal (Current) Prices % growth
  • Gross Lending Nominal (Current) Prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross Lending Nominal (Current) Prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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