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Country Report

Consumer Lending in Spain

Jan 2012

Price: $900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Consumer Lending industry in Spain with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Consumer Lending industry in Spain, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Consumer Lending in Spain market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Historic volumes and values
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Consumer Lending in Spain?
  • What are the major trends set to impact the market in Spain?
  • What capacity for consumer debt still exists in the market?
  • What’s the state of credit quality in the market?
  • Has the economic downturn reset the lender competitive landscape?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

Euromonitor’s industry reports, including Consumer Lending in Spain, originate from our database within our Consumer Finance market share and market size database, Passport, a platform which analyses Consumer Finance in 46 countries and globally.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Weak economic recovery fails to revive consumption

The Spanish economy recovered slightly in 2011 and managed to grow 0.8%, which was a positive performance after the setbacks of the two preceding years. Private consumption grew 0.7%, which was not sufficient to reactivate the economy. Consumer demand was also unsuccessful due to a high unemployment rate of 20%, combined with a decline in the purchasing power of families and high levels of household debt. Financial institutions were also reluctant to provide credit as they had to increase capital requirements, and the difficulties experienced by the international financial markets due to the greater perceived risk.

Continued process of financial system reforms

The outbreak of the international financial crisis revealed the requirements of structural reforms that the Spanish economy needed. In the process of reforms carried out by the government, measures to restructure the financial environment were introduced. Whilst in 2010 these reforms were initiated, in 2011 some reforms are regulations were introduced for consumer lending, mainly to demand financial institutions to improve the level of solvency. This led to many of these institutions to accelerate their restructuring process, which could translate into the Spanish financial system to see its position and credibility improved in the international financial market, thanks to a more transparent system. A more secure system also renewed the confidence of both lending buyers and borrowers.

Real estate does not reach final adjustment

In early 2011 the housing market saw a positive improvement, as a result of the increase on home purchases, a trend not evident in the Spanish economy since 2008. However, this was spurred by the end of the tax deductions offered to home buyers on their main residence in 2011. Also influenced by the results of the real estate category, house prices fell by a further 15% compared with its peak price back in 2008. The rise of the Euribor to just over 1% hardened again the mortgage terms and given the impossibility of the purchase by households, continued to increase the number of housing stock. This entire framework shows that the final adjustment that will allow positive developments in the housing category will still take several years to happen.

War for liabilities continues, raising fears and calls for government regulation

Financial institutions were competing with each other to capture the highest possible capital offering high interest on deposits in 2011. Thus, interest rates to capture the fixed-term capital reached 5%. With interest so high in some loans, banks had to increase the price of credit to make profit in business. For this reason, this practice is considered risky as the more expensive credit becomes the harder it will be to revive consumer credit. In late 2010 the Bank of Spain warned against such practices, stating that offering high interest rates can cause decreases in the profit margins of financial institutions. Players ignored these warnings, and in early 2011 the Bank of Spain banned these practices for entities that have needed help from the “Fund for Orderly Bank Restructuring” (FROB).

Inflation picks up, causing increased interest rates

For most of 2011 inflation was around 3%, diminishing the purchasing power of consumers and lowering the confidence of many households. Moreover, with rising unemployment, many consumers feel uncertain of being able to make longer term financial commitments, such as taking out a loan or mortgage. Consequently, the total volume of loans to consumers declined in 2011. To control the rebound, the European Central Bank (whose main guidelines include having watched inflation) increased the benchmark interest rate by 0.25 percentage points to 1.25%. Consumers who already have a loan will continue to feel the pinch over most of the forecast period.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Consumer Lending in Spain - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Weak economic recovery fails to revive consumption

Continued process of financial system reforms

Real estate does not reach final adjustment

War for liabilities continues, raising fears and calls for government regulation

Inflation picks up, causing increased interest rates

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Soft economic progress will mark evolution of consumer lending

Financial reforms continue in 2011, as does their impact

Real estate does not see desired adjustment

The war for liabilities raises fears and calls for regulation

In situation of paralysed consumer credit, inflation and interest rates rebound

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Consumer Lending: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Mortgages/Housing: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Consumer Credit: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Card Lending: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 10 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 11 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 12 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Consumer Credit in Spain - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011 total consumer lending granted by financial institutions remained in a negative annual variation. However, the rate of decline stood at 7%, which represented an improvement compared with the annual rates of decline recorded after the outbreak of the financial crisis in 2008. Consumer lending has been marked by the development of the Spanish economy, which has performed better but is still recovering.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The Spanish consumer lending market has been characterised by the existence of two main channels through which consumers are able to obtain credit: retail banks and savings banks. However, in times of crisis these entities have had difficulty offering consumer lending fluently. On one hand financial institutions have had to comply with the requirements set by the financial solvency reform, and have also had to proceed with their recapitalisation. Moreover, the added difficulty of finding external funding meant financial institutions restricted the credit available to families, as a result of which families had to seek funding from other sources. These sources include the so-called “Financieras”, which grant lending in a quick and easy way but with high interest rates. Other sources appealing to households have been displaced from the loans granted by the Official Credit Institute (ICO) to lending agreements between private parties before the lack of affordable financing.

PROSPECTS

  • Projections for coming years indicate a slight recovery of the Spanish economy and also a recovery of confidence in the financial industry. However, towards the end of 2011 economic prospects became more uncertain, taking a turn for the worse, with unemployment increasing further. The consumer lending recovery is expected to begin in 2012 with growth in consumer lending not positive since 2007, with total consumer lending worth around EUR139.5 billion. This is likely to be more are result of people slowly coming back to credit more as a need than because of increased consumer confidence. In fact, by the start of 2012, economic prospects for Spain this year were becoming increasingly weaker, with many expecting and even worse year, in which case it would mean that growth rates for consumer lending would be much weaker than originally expected.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 13 Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 16 Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Consumer Lending

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Non-performing vs others loans

Market size details:

  • Outstanding balance real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Outstanding balance real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Gross lending real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance % growth
  • Outstanding balance local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending % growth
  • Gross lending local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Outstanding balance nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Gross lending nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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