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Country Report

Fruit/Vegetable Juice in Finland

Apr 2011

Price: $900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Fruit/Vegetable Juice industry in Finland with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Fruit/Vegetable Juice industry in Finland, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Fruit/Vegetable Juice in Finland market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Fruit/Vegetable Juice in Finland?
  • What are the major brands in Finland?
  • What are the flavour trends in fruit juice and vegetable juice?
  • What is the market share of smoothies in the 100% juice sector? Have there been any new product launches in the last year?
  • What is the key on-trade distribution for fruit juice and vegetable juice in Finland?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Soft Drinks market research database.

Sample Analysis

TRENDS

  • As was the case in 2009, cheaper fruit/vegetable juice product categories such as juice drinks (up to 24% juice) and nectars (25-99% juice) showed the strongest performances in 2010, while more expensive categories like 100% juice continued to struggle. This was a direct result of the economic downturn, which led many Finns to trade down to cheaper fruit/vegetable juice products. Despite the nascent economic recovery in 2010, consumers remained quite price sensitive, and the resultant demand for juice drinks, nectars and other relatively cheap products helped to sustain growth in total volume sales for the fruit/vegetable juice category as a whole.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Eckes-Granini (known as Marli Oy Ab prior to 2009) was the leading player in fruit/vegetable juice in 2010, taking an off-trade value sales share of 35%. The company’s leadership was attributable to a wide and diversified portfolio that includes popular and well-established brands such as Marli, Granini, Trip, Mehukatti and Tropic. Additionally, the company has superior knowledge of the tastes and preferences of local consumers, having been present in Finland for many years. Valio ranked second overall, claiming an off-trade value share of 23% thanks to the combined strength of its Valio, Grandi, Tropicana and Hevi Shot brands. While the company’s core business is dairy production, Valio is also quite active in fruit/vegetable juice, participating in the 100% juice, juice drinks and nectars categories with an extensive range of products. Other prominent fruit/vegetable juice players in 2010 included Kesko, Inex Partners and Lidl Suomi Ky (all private label manufacturers), VIP-Juicemaker, Skånemejerier AB, Barr (AG) Plc, Coca-Cola and Hartwall.

PROSPECTS

  • Fruit/vegetable juice looks set to show a reasonably good performance over the forecast period, though its development will continue to be hampered by increasing maturity. Total volume sales are expected to grow by 2% between 2010 and 2015, while total constant value sales are expected to grow by 3%. Volume growth will be mainly driven by rising health awareness among consumers. Growth in total volume sales will be stronger than over 2005-2010, though this comparison is skewed due to the very negative impact that the economic downturn had on fruit/vegetable juice consumption in the latter years of the review period. Nonetheless, together with new launches and marketing activities by leading players, economic recovery will be a key driver of growth in total volume and constant value sales over the forecast period. In particular, constant value sales will be boosted as rising disposable incomes encourage Finns to trade up to value added and premium products, as well as higher priced categories such as smoothies and 100% juice. Moreover, the introduction of a new ‘sugar tax’ on confectionery and soft drinks products in 2011 will bolster constant value growth, though the resultant increase in average unit prices will also hamper growth in total volume sales to some extent.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Fruit/Vegetable Juice in Finland - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • As was the case in 2009, cheaper fruit/vegetable juice product categories such as juice drinks (up to 24% juice) and nectars (25-99% juice) showed the strongest performances in 2010, while more expensive categories like 100% juice continued to struggle. This was a direct result of the economic downturn, which led many Finns to trade down to cheaper fruit/vegetable juice products. Despite the nascent economic recovery in 2010, consumers remained quite price sensitive, and the resultant demand for juice drinks, nectars and other relatively cheap products helped to sustain growth in total volume sales for the fruit/vegetable juice category as a whole.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Eckes-Granini (known as Marli Oy Ab prior to 2009) was the leading player in fruit/vegetable juice in 2010, taking an off-trade value sales share of 35%. The company’s leadership was attributable to a wide and diversified portfolio that includes popular and well-established brands such as Marli, Granini, Trip, Mehukatti and Tropic. Additionally, the company has superior knowledge of the tastes and preferences of local consumers, having been present in Finland for many years. Valio ranked second overall, claiming an off-trade value share of 23% thanks to the combined strength of its Valio, Grandi, Tropicana and Hevi Shot brands. While the company’s core business is dairy production, Valio is also quite active in fruit/vegetable juice, participating in the 100% juice, juice drinks and nectars categories with an extensive range of products. Other prominent fruit/vegetable juice players in 2010 included Kesko, Inex Partners and Lidl Suomi Ky (all private label manufacturers), VIP-Juicemaker, Skånemejerier AB, Barr (AG) Plc, Coca-Cola and Hartwall.

PROSPECTS

  • Fruit/vegetable juice looks set to show a reasonably good performance over the forecast period, though its development will continue to be hampered by increasing maturity. Total volume sales are expected to grow by 2% between 2010 and 2015, while total constant value sales are expected to grow by 3%. Volume growth will be mainly driven by rising health awareness among consumers. Growth in total volume sales will be stronger than over 2005-2010, though this comparison is skewed due to the very negative impact that the economic downturn had on fruit/vegetable juice consumption in the latter years of the review period. Nonetheless, together with new launches and marketing activities by leading players, economic recovery will be a key driver of growth in total volume and constant value sales over the forecast period. In particular, constant value sales will be boosted as rising disposable incomes encourage Finns to trade up to value added and premium products, as well as higher priced categories such as smoothies and 100% juice. Moreover, the introduction of a new ‘sugar tax’ on confectionery and soft drinks products in 2011 will bolster constant value growth, though the resultant increase in average unit prices will also hamper growth in total volume sales to some extent.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 1 Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 3 Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 4 Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 5 Leading Flavours for 100% Juice: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 6 Leading Flavours for Nectars (25-99% Juice): % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Leading Flavours for Juice Drinks (up to 24% Juice): % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 8 % Share of Smoothies in 100% Juice and Nectars (25-99% Juice): Off-trade Value 2010
  • Table 9 Chilled Vs Ambient Not From Concentrate 100% Juice: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Chilled Vs Ambient Reconstituted 100% Juice: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Company Shares of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Off-trade Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 12 Brand Shares of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Off-trade Volume 2007-2010
  • Table 13 Company Shares of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Off-trade Value 2006-2010
  • Table 14 Brand Shares of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Off-trade Value 2007-2010
  • Table 15 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 16 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 17 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 18 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Fruit/Vegetable Juice by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Fruit/Vegetable Juice in Finland - Company Profiles

Hartwall Oy Ab in Soft Drinks (Finland)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 3 Hartwall Oy Ab: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Hartwall Oy Ab: Competitive Position 2010

Olvi Oyj in Soft Drinks (Finland)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 7 Olvi Oyj: Production Statistics 2010

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Olvi Oyj: Competitive Position 2010

Valio Oy in Soft Drinks (Finland)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 Valio Oy: Competitive Position 2010

Soft Drinks in Finland - Industry Context

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Soft drinks shows a better performance as economic conditions improve

Summer heat wave boosts volume sales in several soft drinks categories

Hartwall Oy Ab and Coca-Cola Finland Oy continue to lead soft drinks

Economic conditions continue to curb on-trade demand for soft drinks

Modest improvement in soft drinks consumption expected over 2010-2015

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Slow recovery in soft drinks consumption begins in 2010

Competition in soft drinks intensifies as private label products gain ground

Packaging becomes an increasingly important competitive tool

Health and wellness remains a hugely influential trend in soft drinks

  • Table 19 Number of Overweight Boys (%)
  • Table 20 Number of Overweight Girls (%)

Per capita soft drinks consumption in Finland remains comparatively low

MARKET DATA

  • Table 21 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Channel: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Channel: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: Volume 2010
  • Table 26 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: % Volume 2010
  • Table 27 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2010
  • Table 28 Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value 2010
  • Table 29 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 31 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (as sold) by Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 34 Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (as sold) by Volume 2007-2010
  • Table 35 Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD) by Volume 2006-2010
  • Table 36 Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks (RTD) by Volume 2007-2010
  • Table 37 Company Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks by Value 2006-2010
  • Table 38 Brand Shares of Off-trade Soft Drinks by Value 2007-2010
  • Table 39 Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category and Distribution Format: % Analysis 2010
  • Table 40 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Channel: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Channel: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Channel: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks (as sold) by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 46 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 47 Forecast Off-trade Sales of Soft Drinks by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

APPENDIX

Fountain Sales In Finland

  • Table 48 Off-trade vs On-trade Fountain Sales of Soft Drinks: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Off-trade vs On-trade Fountain Sales of Soft Drinks: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Off-trade vs On-trade Fountain Sales of Carbonates: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Off-trade vs On-trade Fountain Sales of Carbonates: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Fountain Sales of Soft Drinks: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 53 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Fountain Sales of Soft Drinks: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 54 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Fountain Sales of Carbonates: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 55 Forecast Off-trade vs On-trade Fountain Sales of Carbonates: % Volume Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 12 Research Sources

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Fruit/Vegetable Juice
    • 100% Juice
      • Frozen 100% Juice
      • Not from Concentrate 100% Juice
      • Reconstituted 100% Juice
    • Juice Drinks (up to 24% Juice)
      • Frozen Juice Drinks
      • Juice Drinks Excluding Asian
    • Fruit-Flavoured Drinks (No Juice Content)
    • Nectars (25-99% Juice)
      • Frozen Nectars
      • Unfrozen Nectars

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Chilled v ambient juices
  • Flavours
  • Per cent share of smoothies
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Foodservice volume
  • Foodservice volume % growth
  • Foodservice volume per capita
  • Total volume
  • Total volume % growth
  • Total volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice value retail selling price % growth
  • Foodservice value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price % growth
  • Total value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Foodservice value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Total value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price % growth
  • Total value manufacturer selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Total value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail rtd volume
  • Retail rtd volume % growth
  • Retail rtd volume per capita
  • Foodservice rtd volume
  • Foodservice rtd volume % growth
  • Foodservice rtd volume per capita
  • Total rtd volume
  • Total rtd volume % growth
  • Total rtd volume per capita
  • Fountain on-trade volume through c-store
  • Fountain on-trade volume through c-store % growth
  • Fountain on-trade volume through c-store per capita
  • Fountain on-trade volume through foodservice
  • Fountain on-trade volume through foodservice % growth
  • Fountain on-trade volume through foodservice per capita
  • Total fountain on-trade volume
  • Total fountain on-trade volume % growth
  • Total fountain on-trade volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Foodservice value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Total value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Foodservice value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Total value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Total value manufacturer selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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