Global Overview of the Agriculture Industry

October 2023

The global agriculture industry recorded moderate positive growth in 2022, mainly driven by high commodity prices and global food inflation. Climate change, natural disasters, rising labour shortages, geopolitical tensions, rising protectionism and trade disputes are at the centre of a global agricultural slowdown, which is projected to remain during the forecast period. Governments are being pushed to increase industry protection measures and turn to technology to seek solutions.

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Key Findings
Climate fluctuations negatively impact harvests around the world

Fluctuating weather conditions in countries around the world have led to droughts, excessive rains, flooding and natural disasters which negatively affected harvests in 2022-2023. Countries in Southeast Asia and Europe have been particularly affected, with lower production of key commodities such as grains, vegetables, fruits and meat, leading to high global food inflation. Climate change is the main factor that is expected to continue to put a strain on the agriculture industry.

Emerging economies continue to lead the way in agricultural production and exports

Emerging economies such as Brazil and India continue to lead the way in agricultural production and supply of agricultural commodities to countries around the world in order to meet the growing demand for food. Brazil has emerged as the world’s winner in agricultural production due to favourable weather conditions, high labour supply, growing yields, a stable currency and stronger cooperation with key partners such as China and the US.

Turn to technology to improve efficiency, increase profits and address labour shortages

There is an increasing move towards the use of technology in the agriculture industry in order to address rising labour shortages, help farmers plan for and deal better with unpredictable weather conditions and a decline in arable land, and increase the efficiency of the production process. Despite growing innovation, there is an uneven spread of technological resources in favour of developed countries, due to higher funding and high-skilled talent pool.

Rising protectionist measures and geopolitical tensions contribute to high food inflation

The onset of the war in Ukraine in 2022 destabilised the global supply of grain and fertilisers, significantly impacting the food security of African countries and leading to higher costs of agricultural production on a global level. Coupled with poor weather conditions, an increasing number of governments have prioritised the national supply of food and enacted protectionist measures, which has led to growing geopolitical tensions, trade disputes and tense cooperation, further contributing to higher food inflation.

Scope
Key findings
Global agriculture sees a slowdown in the growth of the production value in 2022
China and India will remain the largest agriculture producers in the world from 2022 to 2027
The agriculture industry is struggling with rising costs due to inflation and the war in Ukraine
Mixed profit results due to global climate fluctuations
Brazil emerges as world’s exports winner in 2022
China seeks to reduce its reliance on agricultural imports to strengthen food security
Sustainability, agritech and growing protectionism in 2022
Macroeconomic trends
Top nine agricultural companies see stable global production value share
A gradual increase in the number of companies in the agriculture industry
Rising costs of production and lower profits likely to trigger rising concentration
Droughts, excessive rains and lower demand disrupt Chinese agricultural production
China seeks to increase domestic production and diversify imports to boost food security
Climate change and diseases negatively impact agricultural production in India
Rising protectionist measures in India due to adverse weather conditions
Global food inflation drives US agricultural profits, despite drop in production
US agriculture industry struggling amidst rising competition and labour shortages
Favorable exchange rate and rising global demand boost Brazilian exports
Brazil emerges as a winner in agricultural production and exports
Skyrocketing global edible oil prices lead to rise in palm oil production and exports
Indonesia’s agriculture industry suffers due to adverse weather conditions
Russia’s war in Ukraine fuels global food inflation
Russia faces challenges as it tries to maintain the competitiveness of its agriculture industry
France boosts its wheat production capacity amidst global shortages and high prices
New environmental regulations cause mixed reactions in France
Trade disputes and droughts negatively impact harvests and exports
Australia’s meat sector opens new opportunities for further expansion
Pakistan benefits from external support and technology transfers
Pakistan struggles to recover following devastating floods in 2022
Mexico turns to technology to overcome excessive droughts
Mexican exports suffer amidst poor weather conditions and a strong peso
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