Where Consumers Shop for Cooking Ingredients and Meals

April 2023

Sales of cooking ingredients and meals are dominated by offline retailers, mainly driven by supermarkets, small local grocers and hypermarkets. With the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, e-commerce has been thriving with increasing acceptance from broader consumer groups in generations and improvement in delivery services through ultrafast delivery. This report delves into the performance of different retail channels for sales of cooking ingredients and meals and analyses retailers’ activities.

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This report comes in PPT.

Key Findings

Inflation hits value sales in 2022 by bringing consumers back home

In 2022, while the overall industry grew by 3% in constant value terms, inflation hit the market and pushed sales growth in current terms, with a 5% increase globally. As affordability becomes a priority amid the inflation surge, consumers tend to switch to private label and seek cheaper outlets.

Convenience becomes paramount as consumers spend more time at home under hybrid lifestyles

Hybrid working environments have naturally led to healthier growth in convenient meal offerings in line with the ongoing demand for convenience, driven by cooking fatigue.

Among offline retailers, large grocery retailers dominate but small grocery sees stronger growth

The share of offline retail channels has been declining due to a continuous consumer shift to e-commerce, but the supermarkets channel is still at the forefront. Small local grocers recorded the greatest growth with strong presence in developing markets.

E-commerce continues to grow post-pandemic with the success of meal kits

E-commerce continued its strong performance in 2022, by sustaining organic growth within all categories. Developed regions are the leading space in e-commerce, backed by high urbanisation and well-established delivery infrastructure, and meal kits is the key contributor to the surge in e-commerce sales.

Consumers will continue to be price-sensitive in the near term

Amid ongoing uncertainties, discounters and warehouse clubs will gain continued traction as global consumers are more likely to focus on prices. Global consumers tend to value basic and fundamental urges in food; however, health and nutritional aspects remain the core values that consumers barely compromise while tightening their budgets.

Scope
Key findings
Inflationary boosts current value sales in 2022 beyond volume sales
Inflation and hybrid lifestyles drive value growth in 2022
Asia Pacific and Latin America lead sales growth over the review period
Retail offline dominates, but e-commerce surges facilitated by the pandemic
E-commerce gains grounds in developed regions and related categories
E-commerce thrives, driven by ready meals and meal kits mainly in developed regions
Modern grocery retailers dominate but small grocery sees growth potential
Retail offline is becoming modernised while small local grocers still dominates in Asia Pacific
Costco catches up with discounters amid toughening economic context
Convenience stores immediately recover growth patterns, backed by sales in Asia Pacific
Companies leading digital transformation succeed in maintaining their positions
Private label gains ground with the increasing number of price-sensitive shoppers
74 % of private label sales were in Western Europe and North America in 2022
Customers are switching to private label as a value-seeking strategy
Meals and soups is the winning category in e-commerce
Meal kits is the key contributor to the surge in e-commerce sales
US and China are regional leaders in e-commerce
Amazon and Alibaba take the lead while competition intensifies in the lower rankings
Ultrafast delivery will be the key in e-commerce in both developed and emerging regions
Economic uncertainty also impacts willingness to purchase
The industry is set to grow, but at a slower pace, as home cooking persists
Key takeaways
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