Where Consumers Shop for Staple Foods

April 2023

Sales of staple foods are dominated by offline retailers, mainly driven by supermarkets, small local grocers and hypermarkets. Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, e-commerce has been thriving with increasing acceptance from broader consumer groups among generations and improvement in delivery services from retailers and last-mile players. This report delves into the performance of different retail channels for sales of staple foods and analyses retailers’ activities.

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This report comes in PPT.

Key Findings

Grocery price inflation hits staple foods sales in value terms in 2022

In 2022, while the overall industry grew by 2% in constant value terms, inflation hit the market and pushed sales growth in current terms, with a 4% increase globally amid stagnating volume sales. As affordability becomes a priority amid the inflation surge, consumers tend to switch to private label and seek cheaper outlets.

In offline retailers, large grocery retailers dominate but small grocery sees stronger growth

The share of offline retail channels has been declining due to a continuous consumer shift to e-commerce, but supermarkets are still located at the forefront. Small local grocers recorded the greatest growth with their strong presence in developing markets.

E-commerce continues to grow post-pandemic with continued innovation

E-commerce continued its strong performance in 2022, by sustaining organic growth across the categories. Asia Pacific is the regional leader in e-commerce sales of staple foods; China takes the lead in absolute value sales and South Korea is the largest market in terms of the e-commerce share of staple foods.

Consumers will continue to be price-sensitive in the near term

Amid ongoing inflationary pressures, discounters and warehouse clubs will gain continued traction as global consumers are more likely to focus on prices. However, some soft drivers will still exist; hybrid working models will sustain demand for home consumption, and meat and seafood substitutes will still gain ground as more consumers cut back on meat consumption while growth slows down.

Scope
Key findings
Inflation boosts current value sales in 2022 beyond volume sales
Volume sales growth falls short of value growth in retail sales
Different categories drive the sales in respective regions across the globe
Retail offline dominates, but e-commerce continues to retain customers after the pandemic
Category largely sold in Asia Pacific leads channel shifts to e-commerce in staple foods
Channel shifts to e-commerce differ at category and regional levels
South Korea is the largest market for e-commerce shares of staple foods
Modern grocery is the main channel, but small grocery sees dramatic growth in Asia Pacific
Growth dynamic differs in the face of inflation at a regional level
Costco catches up with discounters amid a toughening economic context
D iscounters represents strong dominance in European regions
Aldi and Lidl maintain the leadership of global discounters
Private label gains ground with the increasing number of price-sensitive shoppers
Private label is burgeoning in Western Europe and North America in sales value
Private label is increasingly seen as the ideal low-cost option in staple foods
The main staple foods products are the winning category in e-commerce
Asia Pacific is the regional leader in e-commerce sales of staple foods
China drives e-commerce sales in 2022 staple foods due to restart of lockdowns
US- and China-based players take the lead in global e-commerce retailing
Inflation forecast to decline in 2023 and discounters benefit as spending is squeezed
The industry is set to grow with inflation and hybrid working
Metaverse may provide a unique way to tap into younger consumers
Key takeaways

Staple Foods

NOTE: Couscous, polenta and quinoa are excluded from staple foods.

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