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Country Report

Tobacco in Chile

Jul 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Chile with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Chile, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Chile for free:

The Tobacco in Chile market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Chile?
  • What are the major brands in Chile?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Chile?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Chile?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Chile?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Chile in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Chile?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco in Chile is set to face a hostile legal climate

The Chilean government’s pursuit of its goal to reduce the country’s smoking prevalence to 75% of current levels is leading to extreme changes in the legal climate regarding smoking and the sale of tobacco products. It is well know that the current government and its ministry of health are making extra efforts to reduce the level of public expenditure treating the tobacco related health problems of smokers through the public health system. Increases in tobacco taxes were levied during 2010 and, during the forecast period, more restriction are expected, including a total ban on smoking in public places.

Cigarette market resumes growth path

In 2009, cigarettes in Chile was subject to a significant contraction in volume sales as demand for cigarettes plummeted. However, these setbacks were overcome during 2010 as demand for cigarettes rebounded. The high levels of consumer confidence in Chile combined with the product portfolio extensions of tobacco companies across all price bands. All of these factors made possible the recovery registered in demand for cigarettes in Chile during 2010. In addition, key strategies implemented by cigarette manufacturers in order to refresh their product cycles, specifically adding value to their products and extending product ranges, attracted higher numbers of consumers by increasing the frequency of cigarette purchases.

Smoking tobacco gains momentum

Smoking tobacco in Chile is currently subject to considerable development in terms of volume sales growth. RYO tobacco and pipe tobacco are both making significant inroads into Chile. The increases in tobacco tax which were levied in Chile during 2010 and the subsequent increase in the unit prices of cigarettes led younger consumers, in particular, to sample different ways of consuming tobacco. The popularity of smoking tobacco for water pipes, RYO tobacco and pipe tobacco is increasing and Chilean consumers perceive these tobacco products as being of higher quality, more natural and therefore less harmful than cigarettes.

The fight for points of sale

The Chilean government is set to implement a raft of new measures aimed at regulating the advertising and marketing of cigarettes and tobacco products during 2011. Perhaps the most important of these is the implementation of a minimum distance between tobacco points of sale (POS) and schools. This restriction will inevitably reduce the number of outlets retailing tobacco products in Chile, increasing the importance of the remaining tobacco points of sale for tobacco manufactures. Points of sale represent a crucial element in gaining and maintaining consumer loyalty for tobacco products as POS advertising is the only avenue left open to tobacco companies for publicising the launch of new products and monitoring consumer preferences. The developing scenario in which there will be fewer points of sale for tobacco in Chile will intensify the rivalry among tobacco companies, making it even more difficult for smaller manufacturers to increase their volume sales.

Ample room remains for price increases in tobacco

The proportion of the retail price of a cigarette in Chile which is accounted for by tax is among the highest in the world. However, the retail prices of cigarettes in Chile are not as high as they are in countries with more regulated tobacco markets. During 2011, one likely development is a possible price increase as cigarette manufacturers attempt to offset the fall in demand for cigarettes. The Chilean economy currently seems to be in good shape and it is plausible to expect disposable incomes to rise in the country during the forecast period. As such, any increase in price of cigarettes seems to be on the cards as long as Chile maintains its current economic stability and strong growth trajectory.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Chile - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco in Chile is set to face a hostile legal climate

Cigarette market resumes growth path

Smoking tobacco gains momentum

The fight for points of sale

Ample room remains for price increases in tobacco

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation:

Smoking Prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2005-2010

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & Sponsorship

Point-of-sale Display Bans

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by Cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2005-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 6 Trade Statistics – Tobacco Leaf 2006-2010
  • Table 7 Production/Imports/Exports 2005-2010

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 8 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 12 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Chile - Company Profiles

British American Tobacco Chile SA in Tobacco (Chile)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 5 British American Tobacco Chile SA: Production Statistics by Factory

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 British American Tobacco Chile SA: Competitive Position 2010

Intercigar Comercial Ltda. in Tobacco (Chile)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Intercigar Comercial Ltda: Competitive Position 2010

Philip Morris Chile Comercializadora Ltda in Tobacco (Chile)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Philip Morris Chile Comercializadora Ltda: Competitive Position 2010

Cigarettes in Chile - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • According to Chilean health authorities, Chile spends more money on treating the victims of tobacco related illnesses than the amount collected in taxes from tobacco companies. Consequently, there were several clear signals during 2010 that the increasingly stringent anti-tobacco measures being enforced by the Chilean government are set to continue increasing. The Chilean authorities aim to collect as much tax revenue as possible from the sale of cigarettes, whilst simultaneously effecting a decrease in smoking prevalence. Accordingly, in July 2010 changes were implemented in Chile’s tobacco tax regime. An additional ad valorem tax of 62.3% was levied over the final retail selling price of cigarettes in Chile as well as an additional specific tax of UTM0.0000675 per stick.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • BAT Chile accounts for 98% of total volume sales in cigarettes in Chile, a category which can accurately be described as an oligopoly. However, BAT Chile was unable to use its dominance to completely stamp out competition during the review period. However, it is clear that Philip Morris has been relegated to a minor presence in cigarettes in Chile, maintaining a barely perceptible presence in high tar cigarettes, a category in which BAT Chile is not present. Furthermore, BAT Chile maintains a strong relationship with distributors and the owners of points of sale such as restaurants and small grocery retailers, offering financial and legal advice to help its retailers deal with the new and shifting legal requirements and changes in tobacco control legislation.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 11 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Changes in Chile’s tobacco control legislation over the forecast period are expected to include more stringent restrictions on smoking in public places. Nevertheless, it is expected that cigarette consumption will increase, which will be reflected in rising volume sales. Demand will be boosted by the introduction of more innovative value added products. In addition, high tar cigarettes is expected to outperform other categories as high tar cigarettes has previously been largely neglected by the major tobacco companies in Chile. Moreover, more experienced smokers are attracted to the strong flavour of high tar cigarettes, despite the fact that high tar cigarettes are considered to be more harmful to smokers’ health than lower tar varieties.

SECTOR BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 12 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slim/superslim vs regular

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 31 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 32 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in Chile - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Cigar consumption remains uncommon in Chile due to the extremely high retail prices of cigars and cigarillos making them unaffordable for the majority of Chilean consumers. As a result, there is a long history in Chile of valiant but ultimately futile attempts to introduce cigars as products with mass appeal. Cigar consumption remains largely confined to upper income consumers, with occasional use only among the vast majority of the population. Despite this, healthy retail volume and value sales growth was witnessed in cigars in Chile over the review period as a result of renewed attempts by Corporación Habanos SA to introduce its famous Cuban cigar brands to Chile’s mass consumers.

HANDMADE VERSUS MACHINE-MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured 2006-2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Importadora de Tabacos Nady Basti Ltda continued to lead cigars in Chile during 2010, accounting for 41% of total volume sales. Given that domestic production of cigars is minimal in Chile, the company imports all its products.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 13 Cigars and Cigarillos - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Given the small but increasing consumer base for cigars and cigarillos in Chile, manufacturers are expected to strengthen their distribution networks nationwide during the forecast period to include more points of sale in order to raise the awareness of cigars and diversify their consumer bases.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine Manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 53 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 54 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 55 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 56 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 57 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smoking Tobacco in Chile - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • There is very little tradition of smoking pipe tobacco in Chile, while RYO tobacco players continue to fight valiantly to achieve major volume sales. Consumers of pipe tobacco in Chile tend to be middle-aged or older males in high income segments. Meanwhile, RYO tobacco is a product mostly in demand among younger consumers who perceive regular cigarettes to be more expensive and more addictive than RYO tobacco.

The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Sociedad Comercial Petra Ltda rose to the status of the leading player in smoking tobacco in Chile in its inaugural year in the category, posting a 61% volume share. However, this new player’s leading position may come under threat imminently as smoking flavoured tobacco from the Middle East is very much a trend which could turn out to be ephemeral and there is by no means any guarantee that Sociedad Comercial Petra Ltda will be able to maintain demand for its products in Chile over the longer term. In second place, Importadora de Tabacos Nady Basti commanded a 20% volume share in 2010, down from 51% in 2009. Importadora de Tabacos Nady Basti distributes a wide range of pipe tobacco and RYO tobacco brands, including Amphora, Borkum Riff, Half & Half and Drum.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 14 Smoking Tobacco - New Product Launches

PROSPECTS

  • Smoking tobacco in Chile is expected to continue to appeal to a limited but increasing number of consumers in Chile over the forecast period. Chilean consumers tend to prefer more popular products such as cigarettes and cigars and cigarillos to smoking tobacco. However, the impact on sales of smoking tobacco of the new ban on smoking in public is likely to be limited due to the fact that the main thrust of this legislation is aimed at curbing demand for cigarettes rather than pipe tobacco or RYO tobacco.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 62 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 63 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 64 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 65 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 66 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 67 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 68 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 69 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 70 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 74 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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