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Country Report

Tobacco in Canada

Aug 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Smoking prevalence continues to fall but shisha appears to be on the rise

Smoking prevalence in Canada continued to fall as ageing consumers and growing interest in healthier lifestyles, coupled with government anti-smoking legislation and initiatives, hindered overall demand for tobacco. As reported in the latest summary of the Canadian Tobacco Use Monitoring Survey (CTUMS), in 2010 the percentage of the Canadian population aged 15 years and above that were current smokers recorded a significant decrease from 2007 when the objectives of the Federal Tobacco Control Strategy (FTCS) were renewed. At the same time, some studies show an increase in the use of shisha tobacco in Canada, especially among the younger generation, and a growing number of hookah bars, an issue which is leading to increasing calls from health experts to regulate/ban the product and practice.

Cigarillos recover as industry players exploit loopholes in Bill C-32

Retail sales of cigarillos saw something of a recovery in 2011 as industry players identified and began to exploit loopholes in the Cracking Down on Tobacco Marketing Aimed at Youth Act (Bill C-32). For example, manufacturers of cigarillos continued to produce and market flavoured cigarillos while remaining compliant with the new legislation, primarily by increasing the weight of cigarillos to more than 1.4g per stick. By increasing the weight of cigarillos, the sale and marketing of such products is deemed compliant with the new legislation.

Global manufacturers lead Canadian tobacco market

Canada’s tobacco industry remains highly consolidated, with three global manufacturers - Imperial Tobacco Canada Ltd, Rothmans Benson & Hedges Inc (as of 2008 owned by Philip Morris International) and JTI MacDonald Corp - accounting for the greatest volume shares in 2011. Despite an increasingly difficult operating environment, exacerbated by widespread contraband activities as well as numerous lawsuits filed by provincial governments, companies continue to maintain their presence in the tobacco market by more actively engaging with communities. For example, Imperial Tobacco Canada has publicly supported and entered into alliances with anti-crime organisations like Crime Stoppers and has established charity initiatives, such as the Imperial Tobacco Canada Foundation.

Convenience and forecourt retailers see opportunities outside cigarettes

Although ‘other tobacco products’ (OTP), which includes everything but cigarettes, have seen declining sales over the years, retailers, particularly convenience stores and forecourt outlets, have increasingly discovered that OTPs offer a higher return on investment (ROI) when positioned/marketed appropriately. According to retailers, although OTPs are not as widely consumed as cigarettes, they are a good source of occasional pleasure and indulgence for smokers, a trend that has seen marginal growth over the past year. Therefore, rather than looking at OTPs as part of the wider tobacco market, retailers have begun to view them as a separate and profitable category.

Overall tobacco market projected to decline over the forecast period

Retail sales of tobacco in Canada will likely continue to fall over the forecast period as overall consumption declines, driven by an ageing population and a growing trend towards healthier lifestyles. In addition, in anticipation of the government’s new policy on tobacco control, industry experts believe that existing regulations will remain and/or be tightened further to continue to lower tobacco consumption in Canada.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Canada with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Canada, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Canada for free:

The Tobacco in Canada market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Canada?
  • What are the major brands in Canada?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Canada?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Canada?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Canada?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Canada in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Canada?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Canada - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Smoking prevalence continues to fall but shisha appears to be on the rise

Cigarillos recover as industry players exploit loopholes in Bill C-32

Global manufacturers lead Canadian tobacco market

Convenience and forecourt retailers see opportunities outside cigarettes

Overall tobacco market projected to decline over the forecast period

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

LEGISLATION

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2006-2011

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2007-2011

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies (Cigarettes) 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Taxation and Duty Levies (All Other Tobacco Products) 2006-2011

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 6 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples, Ontario

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 7 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Canada - Company Profiles

Imperial Tobacco Canada Ltd in Tobacco (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 Imperial Tobacco Canada Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

National Smokeless Tobacco Co, Ltd in Tobacco (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 National Smokeless Tobacco Co Ltd: Competitive Position 2011

Scandinavian Tobacco Group Canada in Tobacco (Canada)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Scandinavian Tobacco Group Canada: Competitive Position 2011

Cigarettes in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Smoking prevalence in Canada continued to fall as ageing consumers and growing interest in healthier lifestyles, coupled with government anti-smoking legislation and initiatives, hindered overall demand for tobacco. In 2011, 16% of the Canadian population aged 15 years and above were current smokers, recording a decrease from 2007 (16.6%) when the objectives of the Federal Tobacco Control Strategy (FTCS) were renewed. Males reported smoking at 15.2% versus 16.7% for females, with marginally stronger rate of decline for female smokers. Official sources indicate that growing rates of breast cancer caused by tobacco smoking as well as a higher quit rate among younger women have resulted in declining demand from female consumers.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The Canadian cigarette category is dominated by three manufacturers – Imperial Tobacco Canada Ltd, Rothmans Benson & Hedges Inc (owned by Philip Morris International Inc since 2008) and JTI MacDonald Corp. In 2011, the three companies together accounted for 95% of total volume sales of cigarettes in Canada, with Imperial Tobacco Canada leading with a 53% share. The main competition derives from contraband sales, which industry experts estimate to be worth 15-20% of the total category.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 9 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period volume sales of cigarettes are projected to remain flat, declining slightly by a 0.1% CAGR to reach 34.7 billion sticks in 2016. Although health officials anticipate that the new health warnings on cigarette packs will deter new and current smokers, industry experts remain widely sceptical of the anticipated success as smokers often struggle to quit. According to the latest Tobacco Use in Canada: Patterns and Trends, 2012 Edition by the University of Waterloo’s Propel Centre for Population Health Impact, 10% of smokers who tried to quit in the past 12 months were still smoke-free when surveyed in 2010. Such data suggest that smokers generally find quitting extremely difficult, which would sustain overall demand for tobacco over the next five years.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price bands

  • Summary 10 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Regular vs slims vs superslims

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Cigarettes Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 31 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016

Cigars in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The cigar smoking culture in Canada has continued to fade, largely due to the ageing population and a preference for more affordable tobacco products, such as cigarettes. Given that cigars are most often consumed by older generations, the growing proportion of seniors in the population and the various health problems associated with the ageing process have left the cigars category sluggish, with limited opportunities for growth. In 2011, retail volume sales of cigars (excluding cigarillos) declined by 1% to 103 million units.

HANDMADE VERSUS MACHINE-MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-made: % Volume/Value Breakdown 2007-2011

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Skandinavisk Tobakskompagni A/S continued to lead cigars and cigarillos in 2011 with a 60% share of total volume sales. In cigars excluding cigarillos, the company held a 55% share thanks to its leading brands Old Port and Colts, which accounted for shares of 36% and 19%, respectively. These brands have also been extended to offer a wide range of flavoured cigarillos, with Colts leading volume sales with a 27% share, followed by Old Port which accounted for a 22% share of total cigarillo sales. The company also markets Café Crème cigarillos, which held a 12% volume share. These three brands gave the company first place in cigarillos with a 61% volume share in 2011. However, the restrictive operating environment created by recent legislation (Bill C-32), banning the sale and marketing of flavoured cigarillos, led to the company’s overall share of cigarillos declining over the review period.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 11 Cigars - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period volume sales of cigars (excluding cigarillos) are expected to remain relatively flat, registering a slight CAGR decline of 0.2% to reach 102 million sticks. The declining popularity of cigar smoking as a result of Canada’s rapidly ageing population and growing health concerns will likely bring down overall consumer demand, resulting in weaker volume growth over the next five years. However, industry experts anticipate that growing interest in OTPs, including cigars, as a form of pleasure or indulgence among smokers will prevent the category from seeing a sizeable dip in sales.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 54 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 55 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 56 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 57 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smokeless Tobacco in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Retail sales of smokeless tobacco fell by 2% in volume terms in 2011 to reach 281 tonnes as overall consumption remained low and relatively static over the review period. Weakening demand is primarily attributed to declining use of smokeless tobacco among mainstream smokers, a lack of product development and marketing effort from the industry as well as growing health concerns associated with the products.

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • National Smokeless Tobacco Co Ltd led smokeless tobacco in 2011 with a volume share of 80%. In particular, the company is strong in snuff, commanding a volume share of nearly 97%. It is the largest importer and distributor of the two top-selling US-style moist snuff brands in Canada – Skoal and Copenhagen – which together accounted for 79% of total volume sales of smokeless tobacco in 2011.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period smokeless tobacco is projected a volume CAGR decline of 2% to 259 tonnes by 2016. Rising retail prices, growing awareness of health issues associated with smokeless tobacco and a general decline in consumption or use of smokeless tobacco among Canadians will likely continue to drive down overall category demand. Average unit price in smokeless tobacco is expected to rise to C$891.8/kg by 2016 as a result of rising production and distribution costs. Value sales are expected to grow at a CAGR of 2% in constant terms, exceeding C$231 million by 2016.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 62 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 66 Company Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 67 Brand Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 68 Sales of Smokless Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smoking Tobacco in Canada - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Retail sales of smoking tobacco continued to decline over the review period due to a combination of factors, including stronger demand for fast and conveniently made tobacco products such as cigarettes, rising unit prices and the growing health concerns associated with smoking tobacco. Widespread urbanisation across Canada has resulted in consumers opting for the convenience of machine-manufactured cigarettes through which they can quickly satisfy their nicotine cravings. Furthermore, an increasing number of studies suggesting that smoking tobacco, particularly roll-your-own (RYO), can be more harmful than standard machine-made cigarettes have deterred consumer purchases. In 2011, volume sales of smoking tobacco reached 833 tonnes, equating to a 6% decline on the previous year.

The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The smoking tobacco category in Canada is largely dominated by three tobacco manufacturers – Rothmans Benson & Hedges, JTI MacDonald Corp and Imperial Tobacco Canada Ltd. In 2011, together they accounted for 77% of total volume sales. Rothmans Benson & Hedges Inc accounted for over half of total sales (55%), followed by JTI MacDonald and Imperial Tobacco Canada with shares of 13% and 9%, respectively.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period smoking tobacco is projected a volume CAGR decline of 5% to reach 660 tonnes by 2016. Canada’s rapidly ageing population, growing urbanisation and increasing demand for convenient, ready-made tobacco products, such as cigarettes, and rising awareness of the health risks associated with smoking tobacco will likely continue to hinder consumer demand in this particular area.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 73 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 74 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 75 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 76 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 77 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 78 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 79 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 80 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 81 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 82 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 83 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 84 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 85 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim/superslim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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