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Country Report

Tobacco in Saudi Arabia

Aug 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Saudi Arabia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Saudi Arabia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Saudi Arabia for free:

The Tobacco in Saudi Arabia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Saudi Arabia?
  • What are the major brands in Saudi Arabia?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Saudi Arabia?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Saudi Arabia?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Saudi Arabia?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Saudi Arabia in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Saudi Arabia?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco continues to witness promising growth across all categories

Despite growing health concerns and legislative restrictions, tobacco in Saudi Arabia continued to see dynamic growth in 2010. Sales were largely driven by the growing younger population, various new product launches in every category and rising disposable incomes across the country. Pipe tobacco remains the dominant category in volume terms, which is unsurprising in light of the shisha culture that is deeply embedded across the Middle East.

Cigars and premium cigarettes benefit from rising disposable incomes

Saudi Arabia remains a wealthy community which was largely spared from the effects of the global economic slowdown. Products that indicate wealth in general perform well in Saudi Arabia and cigars and premium cigarettes are no exception to this. Rising disposable incomes as well as knowledge have led to cigars and premium cigarettes seeing impressive growth. Expatriates also account for a significant proportion of cigar consumption in Saudi Arabia as cigar smoking remains a novel trend among the local population. Encouraged by this trend, companies launched new products within these categories during 2010 which were largely accepted by the general public.

Multinationals continue to lead tobacco sales

Given the restrictions which effectively ban the production of any tobacco products anywhere within Saudi Arabia, all tobacco consumed in the country is imported. Multinational companies continued to drive sales of cigarettes and cigars in 2010, while regional players dominated sales of pipe tobacco. In 2010, Philip Morris International Inc held the lion’s share of volume sales in cigarettes while Villiger Söhne AG was the leader in cigars and Nakhla Tobacco Co drove sales of pipe tobacco. Cigars and pipe tobacco are nevertheless very fragmented categories with a very high number of small players competing for volume share.

Tobacco specialists take share from supermarkets/hypermarkets

Although supermarkets/hypermarkets remained the biggest channel for tobacco in Saudi Arabia, 2010 saw the share of tobacco specialists increase, particularly in cigars and pipe tobacco. These retailers not only stock a wider variety of products but also have knowledgeable sales staff which can advise customers. This, in turn, has helped improve customer knowledge of different cigar and pipe tobacco types. Furthermore, these retailers have also helped introduce new products to the market. Such convenience and availability of information has encouraged customers to make their purchases from these tobacco specialists instead of supermarkets/hypermarkets, thus increasing the former channel’s share of sales.

Outlook for tobacco in Saudi Arabia remains optimistic

Tobacco in Saudi Arabia is expected to register healthy growth over the forecast period across all categories due to rising smoking prevalence in the country. Pipe tobacco will undoubtedly remain the largest category by volume, although the best performing category in terms of volume growth will be cigars, which will largely be due to rising disposable incomes and the fact that the category is growing from a low base. The cigarette category is also expected to record strong growth, with ultra-low tar cigarettes set to be the best performer thanks to rising health awareness which will lead to Saudi smokers seeking less harmful lower-tar cigarettes.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Saudi Arabia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco continues to witness promising growth across all categories

Cigars and premium cigarettes benefit from rising disposable incomes

Multinationals continue to lead tobacco sales

Tobacco specialists take share from supermarkets/hypermarkets

Outlook for tobacco in Saudi Arabia remains optimistic

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking Prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2005-2010

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & Sponsorship

Point-of-sale Display Bans

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by Cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2005-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 6 Production/Imports/Exports 2005-2010

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 7 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Saudi Arabia - Company Profiles

Al-Babtain Group in Tobacco (Saudi Arabia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

La Casa Cubana in Tobacco (Saudi Arabia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Yousuf MA Naghi & Sons Group in Tobacco (Saudi Arabia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Cigarettes in Saudi Arabia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Saudi Arabia has recently seen a rise in health awareness thanks to the rapidly growing health care system and increased government measures. In addition, private businesses have also sought to discourage smoking by launching awareness campaigns about the dangers of smoking; for example, some restaurants and cafés have no smoking areas or do not allow smoking inside their premises. Although such measures have not helped to bring down the number of smokers in the country, they have helped shift the focus from mid-tar to low-tar and ultra-low tar cigarettes. As a result, ultra-low tar cigarettes was the best performing category in 2010 in both volume and value terms. This category also benefited as companies added new products to their portfolios of ultra-low tar cigarettes; for example, Philip Morris International added the Gold Marlboro Touch and Gold Marlboro Smooth variants.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Philip Morris International led the category in 2010 with a 55% volume share. The company was able to maintain its leadership thanks to strong brand awareness and loyalty. Furthermore, 2010 saw new launches from the company such as Gold Marlboro Touch and Gold Marlboro Smooth.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 8 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • The category is expected to continue to perform well over the forecast period, posting both volume and constant value CAGRs of 7%, thanks to the growing younger population, the category’s primary target audience. In addition, increasing health awareness is expected to drive sales of low-tar and ultra-low tar cigarettes. These are perceived to be less harmful than higher tar variants. For this reason, companies have also shown an inclination to concentrate on ultra-low tar new product launches, as was evident from the new products introduced in 2010.

SECTOR BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 9 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slims/superslims vs regular

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 31 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 32 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in Saudi Arabia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The cigar culture remains fairly immature in Saudi Arabia. Generally, smokers do not know much about the products and cannot differentiate between the different types of cigars available. For this reason, very few tobacco specialists sell cigars. However, a few specialist cigar retailers, like La Casa Cubana, have started to offer Cuban cigars, which has helped improve customer knowledge and stimulate growth.

HANDMADE VERSUS MACHINE-MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured 2006-2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Villiger Söhne AG led cigars excluding cigarillos in 2010 with a 25% volume share, while its volume share of 35% in cigarillos gave it the leadership in that category too. The company markets the brand Villiger in Saudi Arabia.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 10 Cigars and Cigarillos - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • The category is expected to achieve a healthy volume CAGR of 9% over the forecast period, a slightly stronger performance than that of the review period. A tradition for cigar smoking is gradually developing in the country, driven by rising disposable incomes and greater knowledge about cigars, and leading to a shift towards premium cigars. Over the forecast period similar launches from leading tobacco specialists like La Casa Cubana will not only help build up consumer knowledge about different cigar types but also help drive sales growth.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine Manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 53 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 54 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 55 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 56 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smokeless Tobacco in Saudi Arabia - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • Smokeless tobacco is not available in Saudi Arabia. This situation is not likely to change over the course of the forecast period.

Smoking Tobacco in Saudi Arabia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • RYO tobacco is not popular in Saudi Arabia and has only a very small customer base. In 2010, the category continued to decline, registering drops of 7% and 5% in volume and current value terms, respectively.

THE ROLE AND EFFECT OF CANNABIS/MARIJUANA

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Nakhla Tobacco Co remained the leader in smoking tobacco in 2010 with a 62% volume share. The company was very active in terms of introducing new flavours under its Mizo and Two Apples brands. The company markets a wide range of strong brands, including El Basha, Fakhfakhina and Nakhla. The company’s brands enjoy considerable consumer loyalty and are widely distributed across the country through a variety of retail outlets, including supermarkets/hypermarkets and tobacco specialists.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • As witnessed over the review period, smoking tobacco is set to see continued robust growth over the forecast period, largely driven by pipe tobacco. Growth will be largely driven by increasing disposable incomes and the growing young population, which considers shisha smoking as part of their socio-economic status. Furthermore, shisha smoking is perceived as less harmful than smoking cigarettes, which will further stimulate growth of the category.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 62 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 63 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 64 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 65 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 66 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 67 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 68 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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