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Country Report

Tobacco in Norway

Jan 2013

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Smoking prevalence continues to fall in 2011

In 2011, smoking prevalence in Norway continued to decline. This was a result of the effective measures adopted by the Norwegian government and the Norwegian Health Directorate. These measures included a retail point-of sale display ban, a ban on smoking in public places, annual increases in excise duty, the introduction of graphic health warnings on cigarette packs and the launch of various campaigns highlighting the dangers of smoking. These restrictions also led to volume sales declines in most tobacco categories.

Introduction of self-extinguishing cigarettes and a ban on e-cigarettes

Over the review period new legislative measures were introduced. One obliged manufacturers to start producing only self-extinguishing cigarettes. Another concern was the marginal gain in share for imported e-cigarettes. In Norway, e-cigarettes have now been banned until evidence is found that they are less harmful to health than standard tobacco products.

Ongoing debate about the impact of the point-of-sale display ban

There has been much public debate in Norway with regard to the January 2010 retail point-of-sale display ban. Many industry sources report no influence on sales, although do agree that introducing new products has become more difficult and the shares of many products will freeze as consumers stick with the brands with which they are familiar. In smokeless tobacco, the ban had no effect at all due to a different distribution system. The retail point-of-sale display ban and tax increases hit cigars and smoking tobacco the most.

Swedish-style snus a rapidly developing category

Portioned Swedish-style snus is not only gaining in popularity among consumers but is also a rapidly developing category thanks to new products and better packaging. Snus is becoming popular among those trying to give up smoking but also in social settings where smoking is banned but snus still allowed.

New measures set to influence tobacco industry performance

The introduction of new restrictive measures will likely lead to a further decline in sales in many tobacco categories over the forecast period. For example, some are suggesting that only retail outlets with an alcohol licence be permitted to sell tobacco. Other suggestions include raising the minimum legal smoking age to 20, prohibiting sales of 10-stick cigarette packs, introducing higher prices, a ban on all smoking, indoors and outdoors, at public institutions, as well as in homes/cars and a ban on confectionery which resembles cigarettes. In addition, the government is also likely to consider a ban on corporate branding on tobacco packaging.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Norway with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Norway, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Norway for free:

The Tobacco in Norway market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Norway?
  • What are the major brands in Norway?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Norway?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Norway?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Norway?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Norway in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Norway?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Norway - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Smoking prevalence continues to fall in 2011

Introduction of self-extinguishing cigarettes and a ban on e-cigarettes

Ongoing debate about the impact of the point-of-sale display ban

Swedish-style snus a rapidly developing category

New measures set to influence tobacco industry performance

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislation

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation:

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2006-2011

Tar levels

Health warnings

  • Summary 2 Tobacco Warning Messages

Advertising & sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low ignition propensity (LIP) regulation

‘Reduced harm’

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2007-2011

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2006-2011 – Cigarettes
  • Table 5 Taxation and Duty Levies 2006-2011 – Cigars
  • Table 6 Taxation and Duty Levies 2006-2011 – RYO tobacco
  • Table 7 Taxation and Duty Levies 2006-2011 – Smokeless tobacco

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 8 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 9 Trade Statistics - Cigarettes 2007-2011

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 10 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 13 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 17 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 3 Research Sources

Tobacco in Norway - Company Profiles

Imperial Tobacco Norway AS in Tobacco (Norway)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Imperial Tobacco Norway AS: Competitive Position 2011

Philip Morris Norway AS in Tobacco (Norway)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Philip Morris Norway AS: Competitive Position 2011

Swedish Match Norge AS in Tobacco (Norway)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 Swedish Match Norge AS: Competitive Position 2011

Cigarettes in Norway - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Strong legislative restrictions with regard to advertising and display along with heavy taxation saw cigarettes register a further volume decline in 2011. Many consumers are leaving the category and are opting for the “healthier” option of Swedish-style snus. Due to the ban on smoking in public places cigarette consumption has fallen significantly as it is not very enjoyable smoking outside during the cold Nordic weather. The major four players in the category, British American Tobacco (BAT), Philip Morris, Swedish Match and Imperial Tobacco, are thus focusing their efforts and resources on developing new tastes and flavours in smokeless tobacco, with that category seeing 5-6 launches per year. As the cigarette category continues to decline in both volume and value terms, there has been little activity from the major players. Popular brand extensions offered in the rest of Europe have not been launched in Norway as many smokers are used to buying their favourite brands and cannot be told about new products as any kind of advertising is prohibited. Over the review period the cigarette category also witnessed a certain amount of trading down due to two significant excise increases.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • British American Tobacco Norway AS (BAT) led cigarettes in 2011 with a 61% share of retail volume sales, followed by Philip Morris Norway AS with a 28% share. Conrad Langaard AS and Imperial Tobacco Norway AS held shares of 5% each. The category is thus dominated by international manufacturers, with Conrad Langaard being the only domestic player present. Although Conrad Langaard remains independent, it strengthened its relationship with Japan Tobacco Inc and began to distribute the Salem and Camel brands in 2008.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 13 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • The cigarette category will continue to be impacted by the ban on advertising and marketing as well as the retail point-of-sale ban, with sales continuing to depend on the presence of international brands that are already familiar to consumers. Over the forecast period manufacturers will increasingly focus on smokeless tobacco, which will continue to attract cigarette smokers.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price bands

  • Summary 14 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Regular vs slims vs superslims

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 30 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Cigarettes Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 33 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 34 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 35 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 47 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 48 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016

Cigars in Norway - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Historically, cigars has been a niche tobacco category in Norway. Most consumers prefer other types of tobacco products such as cigarettes, smoking tobacco or Swedish-style snus. Most smokers of cigars and cigarillos tend to be older men. It is normal for tobacco specialists to see consumers buying just one cigar at a time. Over the New Year period sales of cigars tend to increase as it is a tradition in Norway to see the New Year in with a cigar.

Handmade Versus Machine-Manufactured Splits

  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-made: % Volume/Value Breakdown 2007-2011

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Swedish Match Norge AS led the category in 2011 with a retail volume share of 35%. The company held a share of 31% in cigars excluding cigarillos and 36% in cigarillos. Conrad Langaard, British American Tobacco Norway, Imperial Tobacco Norway and M Sørensen accounted for the bulk of the remaining shares in cigars.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 15 Cigars - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period cigars is anticipated a retail volume CAGR decline of 2%, with many Norwegians considering cigars only appropriate for special occasions. Cigarillos, thanks to wider distribution in store-based retailing channels at reasonable prices, will attract a wider range of consumers.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 54 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 55 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 56 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 57 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 58 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 59 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 60 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 62 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 63 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 64 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smokeless Tobacco in Norway - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Smokeless tobacco, in particularly Swedish-style snus, is generally more popular than smoking in Norway. Historically, many generations of Norwegians have been used to both types of tobacco. However, in recent years, snus consumption has risen as more and more people are switching from cigarettes to snus. This can be attributed to many factors, including the ban on smoking in public places. Additionally, using snus is viewed as a healthier alternative to smoking cigarettes. The variety of products and tastes/flavours offered in smokeless tobacco is also greater than in standard cigarettes. Another important factor is that snus can be bought from special fridges which give consumers more freedom of choice in that they can see what is available. Another target group for snus is those people who are trying to quit smoking, thus using snus as a transitional product. Swedish-style snus, skrå chewing tobacco and US-style chewing tobacco are the most common types of smokeless tobacco, with Swedish-style snus being by far the most popular.

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Swedish Match Norge continued to dominate smokeless tobacco in 2011 with a 70% share of retail volume sales. Imperial Tobacco Norway ranked second with a share of 23%, followed by British American Tobacco Norway in third with a 3% share. The leading brands in smokeless tobacco are international, primarily originally from Sweden.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • With consumers moving away from cigarettes, smokeless tobacco is set to benefit. White- portioned smokeless tobacco is expected to see the strongest growth, while US-style chewing tobacco will remain a marginal product.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 65 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 66 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 67 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 68 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 69 Company Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 70 Brand Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 71 Sales of Smokless Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 74 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 75 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smoking Tobacco in Norway - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Norway has a strong tradition of smoking tobacco. Historically, the leading brands in smoking tobacco were Petterøes (Philip Morris Norway) and Tiedemanns (British American Tobacco). JL Tiedemanns Tobaksfabrik is Norway’s most famous tobacco manufacturer. In 2008, the company was sold to British American Tobacco and the production of tobacco products was discontinued for a time.

The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Philip Morris Norway continued to dominate smoking tobacco in 2011 with a 70% share of retail volume sales. Its leadership can be partly attributed to its popular Petterøes brand. British American Tobacco Norway, which offers the brand Tiedemanns, ranked second with a 12% share. Conrad Langaard, Imperial Tobacco Norway and Swedish Match Norge held lower shares of between 3-7%.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Over the forecast period manufacturers of RYO tobacco and pipe tobacco, like cigarette producers, will continue to focus on adult smokers under the age of 30. Recently, the Tobacco Free Association published a new study on the use of RYO tobacco. RYO tobacco has a higher cancer risk and is more addictive as it contains almost twice as much tar and nicotine as finished cigarettes. Despite this, RYO tobacco is generally cheaper than cigarettes.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 76 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 77 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 78 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 79 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 80 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 81 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 82 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 83 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 84 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 85 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 86 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 87 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 88 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim/superslim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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