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Country Report

Tobacco in Norway

Aug 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Norway with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Norway, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Norway for free:

The Tobacco in Norway market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Norway?
  • What are the major brands in Norway?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Norway?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Norway?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Norway?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Norway in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Norway?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Smoking prevalence decreases in 2010

In 2010, the smoking prevalence among adults declined by one percentage point to reach 19%. Although a substantial part of the Norwegian population smokes, this represents a drastic reduction compared to 1973, when around one half of the population smoked daily.

Socioeconomic inequality of smokers and non-smokers

Recent research points to significant differences in the Norwegian smoking and non-smoking populations in terms of education, income, and geographic location. Norwegians with higher levels of income and education tend to abstain from smoking or smoke less. Hard core smokers tend to start earlier, have a lower level of education, live in northern Norway and earn low incomes. Health authorities may need to develop measures targeted specifically at hard core smokers because the programmes aimed at the general population do not seem to have had the desired impact on this consumer group.

Ban on the visible display of tobacco products

From 1 January 2010, the visible display of all tobacco products, complementary (cigarette paper, ashtrays, pipes) and imitation (chocolate cigarettes, etc) is prohibited in all retail outlets, including tax-free outlets, bars and restaurants. The visible display of tobacco products is also banned from non-traditional sales locations such as concerts, festivals and exhibitions. Only specialist retailers that sell primarily tobacco and tobacco-related products are excluded from the ban.

The ban has created a negative sales environment for smokers and retailers. Brand awareness appears to be frozen as consumers are not allowed to examine packages for themselves. The health authorities attribute the dramatic decline in cigarette volume sales in 2010 to the ban on the visible display of tobacco products.

Swedish-style snus is popular among younger Norwegians

The consumption of Swedish-style snus has increased dynamically during the last 10 years, especially after implementation of the ban on smoking in public. In 2010, 12% of the adult male population used snus daily, an increase of nine percentage points over 1986. The rise in snus consumption is most noticeable among 16-24-year-old males, of whom 25% use snus daily. Snuff consumption among women increased by six percentage points between 2005 and 2010 to reach 7%. The ban on smoking in public seems to have motivated Norwegians to consider alternative tobacco products that are more suitable for consumption in public settings.

Anti-smoking measures dampen cigarette sales

Retail volume sales of cigarettes suffered a strong decline in 2010. Some experts attribute the decline to the ban on the visible display of tobacco products from 1 January 2010. The ban has taken tobacco products out of the mainstream assortment of groceries, and buying cigarettes from a closed cabinet has become something of a burden and inconvenient for both the retailer and customer. Not least, when the customer finally purchases the cigarettes, the package is adorned with graphic images depicting the potential health hazards associated with smoking. The rules and regulations surrounding the purchase of cigarettes appear to serve as an effective barrier to smoking. All types of cigarettes experienced a decline in retail volume sales in 2010.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Norway - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Smoking prevalence decreases in 2010

Socioeconomic inequality of smokers and non-smokers

Ban on the visible display of tobacco products

Swedish-style snus is popular among younger Norwegians

Anti-smoking measures dampen cigarette sales

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation

Smoking Prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2005-2010

Tar levels

Health warnings

  • Summary 2 Text and Image Warnings on Cigarette Packages

Advertising & Sponsorship

Ban on retail displays

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by Cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2006-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2005-2010 – Cigars, cigarettes, and RYO tobacco
  • Table 5 Taxation and Duty Levies 2005-2010 – Smokeless tobacco

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 6 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown by Distribution Channel: Brand Examples 2010

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 7 Production/Imports/Exports 2005-2010

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 8 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 12 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 3 Research Sources

Tobacco in Norway - Company Profiles

Imperial Tobacco Norway AS in Tobacco (Norway)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Imperial Tobacco Norway AS: Competitive Position 2010

Philip Morris Norway AS in Tobacco (Norway)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Philip Morris Norway AS: Competitive Position 2010

Swedish Match Norge AS in Tobacco (Norway)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 Swedish Match Norge AS: Competitive Position 2010

Cigarettes in Norway - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2010, 12% of the 16-24-years-old population smoked regularly. The Ministry of Health and Care Services reached its goal for 2010 of decrease in smoking prevalence for 16-24-years-old by one half, from 24% in 2005 to 12% in 2010. The ministry considers smoking prevention among young Norwegians to be a top priority and it invests considerable resources to strengthen the downward trend in consumption. However, younger Norwegians appear to be migrating from cigarettes to Swedish-style snus where the rate of daily users increased by three percentage points in 2010 to reach 17%.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • British American Tobacco Norway leads cigarettes with a 62% share of retail volume sales in 2010, followed by Philip Morris Norway with a 27% share. Conrad Langaard AS and Imperial Tobacco Norway AS account for the bulk of the remaining shares. All bar Conrad Langaard, a domestic firm, are subsidiaries of multinational tobacco companies. The subsidiaries started their operations mainly by distributing brands through local distributors, taking them over once the brands had consolidated a presence in the country.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 13 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • The Norwegian government and health organisations are expected to make recommendations on how to convince hard core smokers to quit in the National Strategy for Smoking Prevention 2011-2015. There may be change in government policy, from implementing measures to influence the general population, such as display bans, to more specific tactics targeted at dedicated smokers. Research studies have discovered significant social inequalities between heavy smokers and non-smokers/light smokers, which makes the former group difficult to reach through existing programs. Hard core smokers tend to belong to less educated and lower-income groups than non-smokers or light smokers. Government organisations are evaluating which measures need to be implemented to have an impact on this group. If the government is successful in encouraging hard core smokers to give up the habit, retail volume sales of cigarettes will be negatively during the forecast period.

SECTOR BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 14 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slims/superslims vs regular

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 31 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 32 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in Norway - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In general, there is not a strong tradition of smoking cigars and cigarillos in Norway, and smokers seem to prefer other tobacco products such as Swedish-style snus, smoking tobacco, and cigarettes. Cigars are consumed primarily by older men. Although producers have tried, they have failed to attract new customers through the launch of new products such as flavoured cigars for women. In 2010, Swedish-style snus was available in many flavours and types, offering the same variety as cigars. Snuff is considered an attractive and more socially acceptable alternative to cigars.

HANDMADE VERSUS MACHINE-MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured 2006-2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Swedish Match Norge is the leading player overall. In retail volume terms, the company held a 35% share of cigar sales, and a 37% share of cigarillo sales. Conrad Langaard, British American Tobacco Norway, Imperial Tobacco Norway and M. Sørensen account for the bulk of the remaining shares in cigars. However, the leading player in cigars excluding cigarillos is M. Sørensen.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 15 Cigars and Cigarillos - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Overall, retail volume sales are expected to decline by a 1% CAGR over the forecast period. Sales of small cigars are predicted to fall by a 4% CAGR, the fastest decline, compared to a negative 1% CAGR for cigarillos, the slowest decline. Many Norwegians consider a cigar of any type to be appropriate for any special occasion. The cigarillos sold in grocery outlets are available at reasonable prices for the occasional smoker. Easy access enhances their attractiveness as tobacco specialists are harder to find and more geared to the cigar aficionado.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine Manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 53 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 54 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 55 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 56 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 57 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smokeless Tobacco in Norway - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Generations of Norwegians have enjoyed the taste of strong tobacco, both smoking and smokeless. Over 50% of the population smoked in the mid-1970s. The high number of smokers led the way for the acceptance of all types of tobacco products. Swedish-style snus, skrå chewing tobacco and US-style chewing tobacco are the most common types of smokeless tobacco, of which Swedish-style snus is by far the most popular.

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Swedish Match Norge dominates smokeless tobacco with a 71% share of retail volume sales in 2010. The company is present in US-style chewing tobacco and Swedish-style snus. Imperial Tobacco Norway is the second-ranked player with a 22% share, followed by British American Tobacco Norway with a 4% share. The leading brands of smokeless tobacco are international, primarily from Sweden.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 16 Smokeless Tobacco - New Product Launches

PROSPECTS

  • Sales of smokeless tobacco are expected to grow by a 7% retail volume CAGR over the forecast period, to record the best performance in the industry as a whole. Retail volume sales are expected to reach 1,600 tonnes in 2015. Although the projected CAGR is strong, it is much slower than the 12% review period CAGR. This can be explained by a combination of restrictive government policies to hamper sales and rising health concerns, which are likely to dampen per capita consumption growth. The new government strategy may include programmes such as raising the minimum legal age for purchasing/consuming tobacco to 21-years-old. Stricter labelling requirements may also be introduced during the forecast period, including health warnings similar to those applied to other types of tobacco products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 62 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 63 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 64 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 65 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 66 Company Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 67 Brand Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 68 Sales of Smokless Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smoking Tobacco in Norway - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Norwegians have a long tradition of smoking RYO tobacco by leading brands such as Petterøes and Tiedemanns by JL Tiedemanns Tobaksfabrik, Norway’s foremost tobacco manufacturer. However, in 2008 the company was sold to British American Tobacco Plc and the production of tobacco products was discontinued for a time. In 2010, a large portion of the smoking population continues to smoke RYO cigarettes despite the greater availability of machine-manufactured cigarettes.

THE ROLE AND EFFECT OF CANNABIS/MARIJUANA

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Philip Morris Norway dominates smoking tobacco with a 70% share of retail volume sales in 2010. British American Tobacco Norway is a distant second with a 12% share. Conrad Langaard, Imperial Tobacco Norway, and Swedish Match Norge hold smaller shares. With the exception Conrad Langaard, all smoking tobacco players are multinationals.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 17 Smoking Tobacco - New Product Launches

PROSPECTS

  • In the forecast period, the core consumers of smoking tobacco are likely to continue to come from the same socioeconomic groups as smokers of cigarettes. Studies conducted by the Norwegian health authorities indicate a tendency for hard core smokers to belong to less advantaged socioeconomic groups in terms of income and education. Such consumers tend not to respond well to the traditional tactics employed by health authorities to motivate smokers to quit. According to the National Institute for Drug and Alcohol Research, smokers in this group tend to start smoking at an earlier age, have a local orientation, and consume more harmful tobacco products, while fewer of them are motivated to quit. In 2009, only 17% of Oslo habitants smoked compared to 31% in Finnmark, in northern Norway. Smoking tobacco, especially RYO tobacco, tends to appeal to consumers who are cost conscious and loyal to home grown brands.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 73 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 74 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 75 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 76 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 77 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 78 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 79 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 80 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 81 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 82 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 83 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 84 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 85 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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