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Country Report

Tobacco in the Philippines

Jan 2013

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco value sales continues to grow in 2011

Tobacco posted nearly 8% in current value growth in 2011. This is largely attributable to the country’s stable economic growth, and the sustainable and higher disposable income of the middle- to high-income consumers who can afford and easily adjust to the price hikes of tobacco products. Higher unit prices as a result of inflationary measures and tax increases contributed mainly to the growth in value sales despite decline in overall volume consumption.

Cigarettes volume sales decline while cigars maintains improvement

The Sin Tax Law caused another excise tax hike for cigarettes in January 2011. This, in addition to increased transport costs, significantly raised cigarette prices in all bands, which diminished volume consumption and smoking frequency particularly among low-income consumers. Cigars, on the other hand, had higher volume growth in 2011 owing to the improving disposable income of high-income cigar smokers and strong growth in tourist arrivals, an important group of customers for cigar brand manufacturers.

More cities strictly implement public smoking ban

Metropolitan Manila Development Authority officials announced that, starting 30 May 2011, lighting up or smoking cigarettes in schools, waiting sheds, bus terminals, public vehicles, hospitals and recreational areas in the Metro Manila/National Capital Region (a region composed of 16 cities) will be prohibited. In December 2011, the Pasig City municipality amended the anti-smoking ordinance with the aim of achieving a totally smoke-free city in two years. The trade press reported that violators of the newly amended anti-smoking ordinance in Pasig City will face graver sanctions and higher fines.

Civil society and health groups call for tobacco distribution to cease via law

Civil society and health groups continued to lobby, this time not only to strictly implement existing laws for tobacco control but also to call for a ban on the distribution of all tobacco products in the Philippines. The brand manufacturers argued that they could follow regulations that will restrict advertisements, public smoking, graphic labelling and the likes but will surely disagree with regulations that will ban distribution of cigarettes and other tobacco products as this will mean thousands of job losses for tobacco farmers and tobacco manufacturers’ employees. In their defence, brand manufacturers also stated that the tobacco industry is a significant contributor to the government’s revenue. Civil society and health groups, however, argued that the tobacco industry’s contribution is significantly lower than the government’s budget allocated to treat citizens suffering from tobacco-related diseases.

Slower growth of tobacco products in the forecast period

Tobacco products are expected to have lower constant value and volume CAGRs for 2011-2016 than those seen over 2006-2011. This is set to be due mainly to the expected higher average unit price, resulting from legislative pressures, higher excise tax and raw material costs, oil price hikes and unfavourable exchange rates, which will decrease consumption among middle- and low-income consumers. Cigarettes will continue to contribute the bulk of the volume, while cigars and smokeless tobacco will be among the better performing categories.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Philippines with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Philippines, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Philippines for free:

The Tobacco in Philippines market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Philippines?
  • What are the major brands in Philippines?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Philippines?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Philippines?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Philippines?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Philippines in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Philippines?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in the Philippines - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco value sales continues to grow in 2011

Cigarettes volume sales decline while cigars maintains improvement

More cities strictly implement public smoking ban

Civil society and health groups call for tobacco distribution to cease via law

Slower growth of tobacco products in the forecast period

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislation

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation:

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2006-2011

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising and sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low ignition propensity (LIP) regulation

‘Reduced harm’

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2007-2011

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2006-2011 (Cigarettes)
  • Table 5 Taxation and Duty Levies 2006-2011 (Cigars)

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 6 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 7 Trade Statistics – Tobacco Leaf 2007-2011

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 8 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in the Philippines - Company Profiles

La Suerte Cigar & Cigarette Factory in Tobacco (Philippines)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 4 La Suerte Cigar and Cigarette Factory: Competitive Position 2011

Mighty Corp in Tobacco (Philippines)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 6 Mighty Corp: Competitive Position 2011

Philip Morris Fortune Tobacco Corp in Tobacco (Philippines)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Philip Morris Fortune Tobacco Corp: Competitive Position 2011

Tabaqueria de Filipinas Inc in Tobacco (Philippines)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Tabaqueria de Filipinas Inc: Competitive Position 2011

Cigarettes in the Philippines - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The implementation of higher excise tax in January 2011 led to a significant increase in unit price which resulted in lower cigarette consumption as some consumers, particularly among the low-income group, limited the number of cigarettes smoked to save money. This and other factors such as advertising bans, smoking bans in certain municipalities and heath campaigns mainly contributed to the decline in cigarette volume sales in 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Philip Morris Fortune Tobacco Corp (PMFTC), which was a result of Philip Morris International and Fortune Tobacco Corp’s merger in 2010, dominated cigarette volumes in 2011 with a 90% share, representing significant growth from the 86% share registered in 2010. The dominance of PMFTC placed the multinationals in control of the Philippine cigarette industry.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • The government, under pressure from civil society, health organisations and other health groups, may continue to develop regulations that will prevent further increases in the smoking population and smoking prevalence. This may include adapting restricting regulations that are becoming prevalent in other countries and regions such as point-of-sale related policies. The pressure from civil society will compel the executive branch of the government to be supportive of smoking restriction policies despite its agenda to lower sin/excise tax during the pre-election period.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: price bands

  • Summary 11 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: menthol/standard

Cigarettes: filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: filter length

Cigarettes: regular vs slims vs superslims

Cigarettes: pack size

Cigarettes: pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 31 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 32 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 33 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016

Cigars in the Philippines - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The majority of cigars consumed in the Philippines are locally made while only about 12% are imported, mainly because of the competitive quality of locally produced cigars and their affordability compared to imported brands. Moreover, the volume of imported cigars declined from 2006 to 2011 and decreased significantly in 2011. Exports also declined during these periods while local production recovered from 2008 to 2011, after the declining trend from 2005-2007, signifying an increase in the local consumption.

HANDMADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-made: % Volume Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-made: % Value Breakdown 2007-2011

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Tabaqueria de Filipinas Inc had an overall leadership in cigars in 2011 with a 41% volume share, while its close competitor, La Flor de la Isabel, which is now known as Tabacalera Incorporada, ranked second with a 40% volume share. In cigars excluding cigarillos, Tabacalera Incorporada led with a share of 54% owing to its high presence in standard and large cigars, while Tabaqueria de Filipinas held the leading retail volume share in the highly patronised cigarillos category with 36%.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 12 Cigars - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • As manufacturers try to limit changes in cigars because they do not want to create confusion amongst consumers, product and packaging wise, new product developments will be few in the forecast period. The introduction of new products often helps to increase sales, but new products also have to survive the test of time in terms of consumer taste and preferences to cause a good long-term performance. As such, new product launches will be limited to one or even zero in a given year. There will also be no radical change in terms of market segment penetration of cigars due to the lack of interest of manufacturers in targeting cigarette smokers in the next five years.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 54 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 55 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 56 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 57 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 58 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 59 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 62 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 63 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smokeless Tobacco in the Philippines - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Smokeless tobacco is fairly new in the Philippines. Consumption of this product started only in 2007 when exporters from Malaysia, India and the US introduced the product. Since then, local consumption of smokeless tobacco, commonly snuff and chewing tobacco, has been mainly sourced from these countries.

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Imported brands dominate the smokeless tobacco industry in the Philippines. However, competition among brands was not apparent due to the limited market for smokeless tobacco. Smokeless tobacco tends to be imported only in small quantities by impendent importers and distributors.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Smokeless tobacco sales are likely to remain negligible in the Philippines. This is expected to remain popular only among a very small group of consumers. In addition, the likely threats to development for smokeless tobacco are: legislation, such as the advertising ban and higher excise tax; negative press releases and online information that contradicts perceptions that smokeless tobacco is less harmful than other products or not harmful; tighter restrictions on distribution; a potential advertising ban relating to points-of-sale and new media; and availability in limited distribution channels, potentially exacerbated by the reluctance of some bar and restaurants to sell the products due to misconception that smokeless tobacco can make one quit smoking thereby undermining the establishments’ cigarettes and cigars sales.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 64 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 66 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 67 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 68 Company Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 69 Brand Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 70 Sales of Smokless Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 74 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smoking Tobacco in the Philippines - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Smoking tobacco products such as roll-your-own (RYO) and make-your-own were not widely available in the country due mainly to local brand manufacturers’ concentration on cigarette and cigar production. Retailers and foodservice establishments also limited smoking tobacco distribution to products such as pipe and hookah/shisha tobacco. The most common RYO product in the country is marijuana, distribution of which is prohibited. Pipes were introduced by other Asians, particularly the Chinese, in earlier centuries and are now being smoked by upper-income consumers, hacienderos/landowners and older smokers.

The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The majority of packaged and branded smoking tobacco products were imported and made available by the exclusive licensed distributors and importers which have their own shops and foodservice establishments. Local production remained limited and/or negligible due to the concentration on cigarette and cigar production of various tobacco brand manufacturers.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • The growing interest in hookah/shisha bars, specifically among young adults, in the Philippines is likely to help increase sales and awareness for the product. However, smoking tobacco products in general are likely to remain popular only among a niche market of consumers. It is expected that the large difference in price between such products and products such as cigarettes will act as a significant obstacle to development.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 75 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 76 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 77 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 78 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 79 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 80 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 81 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 82 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 83 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 84 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 85 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 86 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 87 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim/superslim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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