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Economy, Finance and Trade: Vietnam

March 2021

Vietnam’s economic growth slowed in 2020, yet remained positive despite the pandemic-induced downturn. The manufacturing sector and exports drove the country’s GDP growth, showing indications of a strong bounceback in the post-pandemic period. Low numbers of infections and sound fiscal policies point towards the country’s rapid economic recovery, with potential for a full rebound in 2022.

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The Country Briefings series examine market potential, economic and consumer trends impacting each country and how they are set to change.

Each Country Briefing covers one of these topics:

Economy, Finance and Trade: Understanding the structure, health and potential risks of an economy are important for decision-making within an existing operating environment as well as for expansion strategies. Real GDP growth, inflation and exchange rate fluctuations will directly impact consumer market potential. Import and export trade profiles help gauge how open an economy is to trade and investment, while analysis of government finances can be used to explore macroeconomic stability and susceptibility to economic shocks.

Income and Expenditure: Insights into income, wealth and expenditure of consumers are vital in helping businesses make strategic decisions with regards to which country (or even which region within a country) to enter, which consumer segment to target, which products or services to market, and at which price point. Other factors such as the size and expansion of the middle class and income inequality are also important in helping companies gauge the potential of a country market.

Households: Global shifts in gender, ageing, migration and housing are transforming the size, location,  general make-up as well as income and expenditure of households around the globe, with diverse implications for governments and companies. Households insights can help identify the decision-making processes and consumption tastes of different household groups and types within a country, and assess household appliance and digital readiness that is key for formulating market technology and internet strategies.

Business Dynamics: A stable and competitive business environment is vital to operate efficiently and attract inward investment. Businesses can assess these factors alongside challenges such as corruption, political instability and terrorism, also gain insight into business operating environment and make strategic investment decisions. Transport infrastructure, ICT readiness and labour force dynamics will also identify potential issues with a supply chain and the level of workforce skills.

Sustainability: Insights on key sectors directly related to the environmental sustainability of a country such as energy, water, pollution, environmental resilience, forest and biodiversity and food and agriculture help businesses to make strategic decisions in relation to environmental and sustainability trends, improve brand reputation and ensure long-term operations while ultimately growing the bottom line.

The briefings cover 103 countries and identify topics of crucial interest to planners, marketers and researchers.

Economy, Finance and Trade: Vietnam



Vietnam’s economy shows resilience, as COVID-19 cases surge globally
Inflation declines, yet food prices remain elevated
Vietnam’s trade is likely to benefit in the post-pandemic period, as global value chains begin to shift
Investments drop in 2020, yet the post-pandemic outlook appears optimistic
Budget deficit and public debt are expected to rebound swiftly, following short-term deterioration in 2020



Chart 1 Economic Landscape of Vietnam: 2020 Chart 2 Real GDP Growth in Vietnam: 2010-2040 Chart 3 GDP Size and Growth: 2015-2040 Chart 4 Gross Value Added by Sector in Vietnam: 2020 Chart 5 Domestic Demand: 2015 and 2020 Chart 6 Productivity: 2015 and 2020 Chart 7 Productivity by Sector in Vietnam: 2020


Chart 8 Monetary Landscape of Vietnam: 2020 Chart 9 Inflation: 2010-2040 Chart 10 Average Inflation: 2010-2040 Chart 11 Interest Rates in Vietnam: 2010-2021 Chart 12 Exchange Rates: 2010-2020 Chart 13 Money Supply Growth and Money Velocity in Vietnam: 2015-2021


Chart 14 Foreign Trade Landscape of Vietnam: 2020 Chart 15 Exports and Export Price Index in Vietnam: 2014-2021 Chart 16 Exports by Commodity in Vietnam: 2020 Chart 17 Top 10 Export Destinations: 2020 Chart 18 Imports and Import Price Index in Vietnam: 2014-2021 Chart 19 Imports by Commodity in Vietnam: 2020 Chart 20 Top 10 Import Origins: 2020


Chart 21 Investment Landscape of Vietnam: 2020 Chart 22 FDI intensity: 2019 Chart 23 Foreign Direct Investment Inflows and Outflows in Vietnam: 2014-2019 Chart 24 Gross Fixed Capital Formation in Vietnam: 2010-2020


Chart 25 Government Budget Landscape of Vietnam: 2020 Chart 26 Public Debt: 2020 Chart 27 Government Revenue: 2020 Chart 28 Government Expenditure: 2020 Chart 29 Government Expenditure by Economic Type in Vietnam: 2020 Chart 30 Government Expenditure by Function in Vietnam: 2020


Chart 31 Top 2 Biggest Global Risks vs. Baseline Scenario: Vietnam

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