Income and Expenditure: Ethiopia

October 2023

Ethiopia's consumer income is forecast to grow by nearly one-fifth over 2022-2027, yet still ranking among the world's lowest. Consumer market expansion will face challenges due to soaring inflation, averaging 32% in 2023, as well as severe income inequality. Discretionary spending is set to remain limited due to the predominance of the lowest income class. By 2027, those aged 45-49 are anticipated to have the highest disposable income, with the 40-44 age group dominating the top income bracket.

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Overview:

The Country Briefings series examine market potential, economic and consumer trends impacting each country and how they are set to change.

Each Country Briefing covers one of these topics:

Economy, Finance and Trade: Understanding the structure, health and potential risks of an economy are important for decision-making within an existing operating environment as well as for expansion strategies. Real GDP growth, inflation and exchange rate fluctuations will directly impact consumer market potential. Import and export trade profiles help gauge how open an economy is to trade and investment, while analysis of government finances can be used to explore macroeconomic stability and susceptibility to economic shocks.

Income and Expenditure: Insights into income, wealth and expenditure of consumers are vital in helping businesses make strategic decisions with regards to which country (or even which region within a country) to enter, which consumer segment to target, which products or services to market, and at which price point. Other factors such as the size and expansion of the middle class and income inequality are also important in helping companies gauge the potential of a country market.

Households: Global shifts in gender, ageing, migration and housing are transforming the size, location,  general make-up as well as income and expenditure of households around the globe, with diverse implications for governments and companies. Households insights can help identify the decision-making processes and consumption tastes of different household groups and types within a country, and assess household appliance and digital readiness that is key for formulating market technology and internet strategies.

Business Dynamics: A stable and competitive business environment is vital to operate efficiently and attract inward investment. Businesses can assess these factors alongside challenges such as corruption, political instability and terrorism, also gain insight into business operating environment and make strategic investment decisions. Transport infrastructure, ICT readiness and labour force dynamics will also identify potential issues with a supply chain and the level of workforce skills.

Commodities: Insights on key sectors directly related to the environmental commodities of a country such as energy, water, pollution, environmental resilience, forest and biodiversity and food and agriculture help businesses to make strategic decisions in relation to environmental and commodities trends, improve brand reputation and ensure long-term operations while ultimately growing the bottom line.

The briefings cover 103 countries and identify topics of crucial interest to planners, marketers and researchers.

Income and Expenditure: Ethiopia

HEADLINES

International support to improve incomes among agricultural workers
Income inequality to remain extremely high in global standards
Drought, COVID-19, and the Tigray conflict drive up inflation
Luxury market to remain limited, worsened by government ban on luxury imports
Chart 1 Annual Gross Income Distribution by Age in Ethiopia: 2022
Chart 2 Distribution of Income in Ethiopia: Key Metrics 2022-2027
Chart 3 Gross Income Growth Index in Ethiopia 2022-2027
Chart 4 Average Gross Income by Age in Ethiopia 2022-2027
Chart 5 Population by Income Brackets in 2027
Chart 6 Gini Index 2022/2027
Chart 7 Households by Disposable Income (PPP) 2022-2027
Chart 8 Overview of Ethiopia’s Social Classes 2027
Chart 9 Social Class E by Age: 2022/2027
Chart 10 Consumer Market and Spending in Ethiopia: Key Metrics 2022-2027
Chart 11 Consumer Expenditure in Top Regions: Size in 2027 and Growth over 2017-2027
Chart 12 Urban/Rural Consumer Expenditure in 2027
Chart 13 Households Expenditure in 2022
Chart 14 Consumer Spending by Category in Ethiopia 2022-2027: USD per Household
Chart 15 Index of Consumer Prices in Ethiopia over 2017-2022
Chart 16 Households Expenditure by Category in Ethiopia: 2027
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