El Niño's Potential Impact on Latin American Consumer Goods
A very strong El Niño event, very likely to occur in late 2026 and/or early 2027, could affect agriculture, food prices, energy demand and supply chains across Latin America. Heavy rains can disrupt crops and logistics, reduced harvests can increase food prices, heat can lift cooling needs, and damage to transport routes or production lines can affect product availability. The last major El Niño event, in 2023-2024, brought record global heat, severe droughts, wildfires and extreme rainfall, generating economic and food security impacts.