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Country Report

Tobacco in Mexico

Sep 2011

Price: $1,900

About this Report

About this Report

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Mexico with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Mexico, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Mexico for free:

The Tobacco in Mexico market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Mexico?
  • What are the major brands in Mexico?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Mexico?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Mexico?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Mexico?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Mexico in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Mexico?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Trend towards reducing tobacco consumption keeps gaining strength

Over the last 10 years, volume sales of cigarettes have experienced a continuous decline in Mexico. This has been mainly due to a higher awareness of tobacco consumption health-related risks, not only to smokers, but to non-smokers as well. This has in turn led to a fall in social acceptance of the habit of smoking, making it more difficult for smokers to smoke and increasing civic organisational activities against smoking. These two circumstances, less acceptance and more awareness, have also boosted government action in reducing the population’s health risks through tougher legislation and higher taxes, which in turn reinforce the original trend.

Taxes severely increase cigarette prices by the end of 2010

In 2010, taxes on tobacco products were severely increased. The government has argued that the latest tax increases have been motivated by the high costs the government faces when treating tobacco and tobacco ailment-related illnesses, which far surpass the income collected from taxes imposed on tobacco products. The new tax takes the form of an excise tax of Mx$0.35 per stick of 0.75g of tobacco in the case of cigarettes or for every 0.75g of tobacco contained in any other machine-made tobacco product and is to be applied after VAT (value-added tax) and IEPS taxes (special tax on production and services). This would raise taxes by more than Mx$15 billion.

Philip Morris and British American Tobacco remain the most relevant players

Cigarette sales account for the vast majority of tobacco sales overall and given the small size of the other tobacco categories Philip Morris de Mexico and British American Tobacco represent the dominant players of the tobacco industry. The strong position of these companies leaves little room for new players who may want to get into the market. Their volume shares have kept similar proportions for some years and are not likely to change in the foreseeable future for two different reasons. First: consumer brand loyalty prevents major shifts between brands and thus would help companies keep their current market position. Second: given the power these companies have within the market, if any new player would enter the market, it would take some time for it to first, consolidate and second gain presence within the market. However, it is unlikely that new players will try to enter a decaying and highly regulated market.

Convenience stores likely to keep gaining participation as distribution channel

Convenience stores has seen high and sustained growth in Mexico over recent years, making it a distribution channel of growing importance for different types of products, including cigarettes and mid-priced cigars (although not every store sells cigars, as it depends on the demand each one faces). Oxxo is a clear example of the aforementioned growth, since this chain store currently opens an average of three new stores per day and now has over 8,000 units all over the country. Although independent small grocers still remains the most important distribution channel, since over 400,000 currently are present in the Mexican market, this channel keeps losing ground to convenience stores.

Volume sales expected to continue declining whilst value sales keep growing mostly as taxes increase

As a consequence of the trend to reduce consumption, volume is expected to keep declining in the forecast period. Nonetheless, given the fact that tobacco regulation is already pretty stiff, raising taxes is the most likely option government may take to keep curbing consumption; hence, prices are expected to keep rising and so, comparatively, would value sales.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Mexico - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Trend towards reducing tobacco consumption keeps gaining strength

Taxes severely increase cigarette prices by the end of 2010

Philip Morris and British American Tobacco remain the most relevant players

Convenience stores likely to keep gaining participation as distribution channel

Volume sales expected to continue declining whilst value sales keep growing mostly as taxes increase

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific Legislation:

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2005-2010
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2005-2010

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising and Sponsorship

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Litigation

Death by Cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2005-2010

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty-paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2005-2010

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

  • Table 6 Production/Imports/Exports 2005-2010
  • Table 7 Trade Statistics – Tobacco Leaf 2006-2010

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 8 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2005-2010

MARKET DATA

  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 12 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 16 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

DEFINITIONS

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Mexico - Company Profiles

British American Tobacco Plc in Tobacco (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 BAT Mexico SA de CV: Competitive Position 2010

Cigarros La Tabacalera Mexicana SA de CV (CIGATAM) in Tobacco (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Cigarros La Tabacalera Mexicana SA de CV (CIGATAM): Competitive Position 2010

Puros Santa Clara SA de CV in Tobacco (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Puros Santa Clara SA de CV: Competitive Position 2010

Tabacalera Alberto Turrent SA de CV in Tobacco (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 13 Tabacalera Alberto Turrent SA de CV: Production Statistics by Factory

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 14 Tabacalera Alberto Turrent SA de CV: Competitive Position 2010

Cigarettes in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2010 a new excise tax of Mx$0.1 per cigarette of 0.75g came into effect, which led to an Mx$2 increase in the cigarette pack. The legislation demanding the printing of graphic images on cigarette packs also finally came into effect. Nonetheless, as of February 2011, the use of some words such as “light”, “bajo en alquitran”, “ligero”, “mild”, “smooth”, “extra”, “ultra”, “soft” and “suave” (in other words, any words in English or Spanish that could conceivably induce consumers to think that these products may be less harmful) were still in use, in spite of the regulations approved by the Mexican Congress in 2009.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The cigarette industry in Mexico is a well-defined monopoly integrated by two international giants: British American Tobacco and Phillip Morris International, with its correspondent subsidiaries: British American Tobacco Mexico and Cigarros La Tabacalera Mexicana. Between both companies account for 98% of the market, with small companies like Ciroomex (a small Mexican manufacturer primarily focused in exports), Cohiba, Romeo y Julieta (Cuban cigarettes), Seneca (Canadian) or Davidoff accounting for the remaining 2% of volume sales.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 15 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • During the forecast period volume is expected decrease at a CAGR of -3% whilst constant value sales are expected to increase at an average annual pace of 4%. The difference in CAGRs is due mainly to the fact that in 2011 a new excise tax came into effect which increased the cigarette pack price by nearly 27%. Besides, more tax increases are expected over the forthcoming years, which would account for the rest of the increase in value sales. On the volume side, the expectation is that per-capita consumption will continue its downtrend over the analysis period since it is expected that in the coming years, more smokers will either reduce their consumption or definitely quit. This is a trend that has become more pronounced in recent years, since social perception of smoking has changed and people now perceive it as a habit that endangers their health, which combined with further legal restrictions has contributed to promoting quitting amidst smokers.

SECTOR BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price Bands

  • Summary 16 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Slims/superslims vs regular

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 25 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2010
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 29 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Company Shares 2006-2010
  • Table 31 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2007-2010
  • Table 32 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 33 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015
  • Table 46 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2010-2015

Cigars in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In Mexico, cigar/cigarillos smoking has not had a large tradition, since these sorts of products are often regarded by most consumers as luxury products to be consumed on a special occasion; otherwise, there is no culture of smoking cigars and smokers sometimes find it unpleasant to consume them, either by the bitter taste, or the fact that the large amount of smoke makes cigars/cigarillos more difficult to smoke for the average consumer.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured 2006-2010

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In terms of cigars (excluding cigarillos) there are two main players, Tabacalera Alberto Turrent, which accounted for 46% of all cigars (excluding cigarillos) sales and Puros Santa Clara, which accounted for 33% of cigars volume sales in 2010. Tabacalera Alberto Turrent has the very successful Te-Amo brand, which is a mass-market brand that is distributed through a variety of stores, like Sanborns, along with the less successful Matacan brand. It also holds premium cigar brands such as Andrea’s and A. Turrent. Puros Santa Clara has a more limited product offering, holding mostly mid-priced and premium brands like Santa Clara Ejecutivos, Santa Clara 1830 and Aromas de San Andres, but does not have mass-market brands other than San Andres, which fits more into the mid-priced segment.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Cigars and cigarillos are expected to show a negative volume CAGR of 2% over the forecast period, whilst constant value sales are expected to observe a positive CAGR of 2%, with cigars excluding cigarillos expected to have a constant value CAGR of 3% and cigarillos expected to have a CAGR of nearly -1%. Two main reasons account for the expected decline in volume sales: the reinforcement of the trend to reduce tobacco consumption and the higher taxes that the government is expected to impose on smoking. Although the restrictions by themselves may not be enough to restrict the consumption of cigars, the feeling the consumers experience of having less pocket money in combination with higher prices and higher health concerns could upset the demand for these products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine Manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2005-2010
  • Table 53 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 54 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 55 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2006-2010
  • Table 56 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2010
  • Table 57 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smokeless Tobacco in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In Mexico the tradition for smokeless tobacco is virtually non-existent and consumption of this product is not as appealing to consumers given the lack of knowledge on how to use it.

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • As previously noted, there is only one detected product in this category – a US-Style moist snuff brand distributed by Lieb International, a tobacco importer. Since there are no other products or companies in the market, there is no competition within smokeless tobacco.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Smokeless tobacco is expected to observe a volume CAGR of 5% over the review period after a steep decline suffered in 2009. The snuff volume is expected to hit 1.1 tonnes by 2015. Although demand used to be considerably higher before 2009, according to interviews with sales clerks and to data obtained from the Ministry of Economy, sales have been slow, even leading some retailers to reduce their orders and some stores to no longer or yet again distribute the product. This, in addition to the decreasing trend in consumption and the higher priced Kayak charges would explain the slow and erratic performance observed.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 62 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 63 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 64 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 65 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 66 Company Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 67 Brand Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 68 Sales of Smokless Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Smoking Tobacco in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Tradition for RYO and pipe smoking tobacco is even smaller than that for cigars and only a very few people in Mexico consume it. Pipe smokers are seen as people who actually know about tobacco: its characteristics, the process of selecting, mixing and preparing it, the diverse types of pipe etc, so, pipe smokers are considered more educated smokers. However, since it is a lot harder to inhale the pipe’s smoke, and since the taste tends to more bitter and the smoke denser, most cigarette consumers tend not to enjoy smoking a pipe. In the case of RYO, consumers usually have a low demand for this kind of product since it is a lot more work to smoke a cigarette, given the fact that they themselves have to roll it. Besides, waste tends to be high, the cigarette seldom is as well made and cost advantages are not significant given the relatively low price that is still paid in Mexico for machine-made cigarettes.

The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • There are four main players in smoking tobacco: HBI International, Tabacos San Andrés, Comercializadora Cadena and Tabacos Industriales. The first two compete in RYO tobacco, whilst the remaining two participate in pipe tobacco. However, pipe tobacco accounts for nearly 96% of all volume sales of smoking tobacco, and as a result the latter two companies account for 81% of sales smoking tobacco as a whole.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Volume sales of smoking tobacco are expected to observe a negative CAGR of -3% whilst value sales are expected to grow at current annual average rate of 2% and constant value sales are expected to decrease at a CAGR of -1%. The decrease expected is, as with the other categories, due to the trend of reducing consumption or quitting smoking; however, the higher prices these products charge make them more susceptible to slower growth since consumers are more prone to reduce their spending on higher-priced products. On the other side, as higher taxes are expected, the price increase would reinforce such a circle.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 73 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2005-2010
  • Table 74 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2005-2010
  • Table 75 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 76 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2005-2010
  • Table 77 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 78 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 79 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2006-2010
  • Table 80 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2010
  • Table 81 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2005-2010
  • Table 82 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2010-2015
  • Table 83 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2010-2015
  • Table 84 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2010-2015
  • Table 85 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2010-2015

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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