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Country Report

Tobacco in Mexico

Oct 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Mexicans are more aware of health-risks asociated with tobacco consumption

Smoking related diseases are generating high costs for the health system in Mexico. As a result, the government, along with other independent institutions, pharmaceutical companies, etc, have been fighting to develop awareness of health-related risks, not only to smokers, but to non-smokers as well. Thus, over the last 10 years, volume sales of cigarettes have experienced a continuous decline in Mexico. This has in turn led to a fall in social acceptance of the habit of smoking, making it more difficult for smokers to smoke and increasing civic organisational activities against smoking. The situation has become more upfront since September 2010 when very explicit pictograms were included in packs, and in 2011 new more severe pictograms were enforced.

Cigarette tax increase pushes illegal sales growth in 2011

In 2010, taxes on tobacco products were severely increased. The new tax takes the form of an excise tax of Mx$0.35 per stick of 0.75g of tobacco in the case of cigarettes or for every 0.75g of tobacco contained in any other machine-made tobacco product and is to be applied after VAT (value-added tax) and IEPS taxes (special tax on production and services). This price increase caused the illicit market for cigarettes to skyrocket, while volume sales in the legal cigarette market experienced the steepest decline in more than ten years.

Price hikes drive diversification in packaging and presentation

Price increases due to higher taxation, combined with a 2011 difficult economy due to dollar fluctuation, pushed tobacco manufacturers to launch more affordable versions of their main brands in packs of 14. They also launched value versions in packs of longer cigarettes (100’s size) at the price of a regular size. This trend was observed in the premium and mid-price segments. This strategy was aimed at generating loyalty to consumers’ usual brands, and avoiding trading down to a lower price segment or even to the illegal market.

Cigar industry heading to crisis due to tax increase

During 2011, cigar consumption was very affected by the IEPS taxes increase. This category was more affected than cigarettes as Mexican cigars tend to be hand-crafted and thus expensive to produce. However, due to cigars’ low market penetration, this tax increase does not generate much revenue for the government. As a consequence of taxing pressure, the main manufacturers have been reducing their employee numbers.

Volume sales expected to continue declining while illegal sales increase

As a consequence of the trend toward reduced consumption, spurred both by increasing prices and the declining social acceptability of smoking, volume sales are expected to keep declining in the forecast period. Increased taxes have caused legal sales to drop and, to compensate their sales goals, tobacco companies had increased the price of each pack by Mx$2.00 by late January 2012. Whenever the price of cigarettes increases, volume sales of illicit cigarettes increase as well. Therefore, illicit cigarette sales are expected to continue to climb through the forecast period.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Mexico with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Mexico, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Mexico for free:

The Tobacco in Mexico market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Mexico?
  • What are the major brands in Mexico?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Mexico?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Mexico?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Mexico?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Mexico in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Mexico?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Mexico - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Mexicans are more aware of health-risks asociated with tobacco consumption

Cigarette tax increase pushes illegal sales growth in 2011

Price hikes drive diversification in packaging and presentation

Cigar industry heading to crisis due to tax increase

Volume sales expected to continue declining while illegal sales increase

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislative overview/ FCTC ratification

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation:

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2006-2011

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising and sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low ignition propensity (LIP) regulation

‘Reduced harm’

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2007-2011

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2006-2011

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples
  • Table 6 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 7 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Mexico - Company Profiles

British American Tobacco México SA de CV in Tobacco (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 British American Tobacco Mexico SA de CV: Competitive Position 2011

Cigarros La Tabacalera Mexicana SA de CV (CIGATAM) in Tobacco (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 7 Cigarros La Tabacalera Mexicana SA de CV (CIGATAM): Competitive Position 2011

Puros Santa Clara SA de CV in Tobacco (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 9 Puros Santa Clara SA de CV: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Puros Santa Clara SA de CV: Competitive Position 2011

Tabacalera Alberto Turrent SA de CV in Tobacco (Mexico)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 13 Tabacalera Alberto Turrent SA de CV: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 14 Tabacalera Alberto Turrent SA de CV: Competitive Position 2011

Cigarettes in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In 2011, a new excise tax of Mx$7 per package of 20 cigarettes came into effect. This action drove up illicit sales from 6.2 billion sticks in 2010 to 9.1 billion sticks in 2011, an increase of 46%. Trying to keep their price-oriented consumers, manufacturers have focused their main launches on changes in package size. This includes launches of smaller pack sizes with only 14 cigarettes from such brands as Benson & Hedges and Marlboro, as well as extra-large packs sold at lower unit prices than the traditional 20 cigarette packs from such brands as Camel, Pall Mall and Montana.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • The cigarette industry in Mexico is a well-defined duopoly dominated by two international giants: British American Tobacco and Phillip Morris International, with their correspondent subsidiaries: British American Tobacco Mexico and Cigarros La Tabacalera Mexicana (the local distributor of Phillip Morris brands). Sales from the two companies account for 99% of the market, with small companies like Ciroomex (a small Mexican manufacturer primarily focused in exports), Cohiba, Romeo y Julieta (Cuban cigarettes), Seneca (Canadian) or Davidoff accounting for the remaining volume sales.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 15 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • The future of the cigarette market in Mexico will be heavily influenced by any future legislation and tax increases. While there is no word of any further tax increases in 2012, it is likely that during the forecast period additional taxes may be levied and/or authorities will crack down more on illicit cigarette sales.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: Price bands

  • Summary 16 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: Menthol/standard

Flavour threads and capsule filters:

Cigarettes: Filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: Carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: Filter length

Cigarettes: Regular vs slims vs superslims

Cigarettes: Pack size

Cigarettes: Pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Cigarettes Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 31 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016

Cigars in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In Mexico, cigar/cigarillos smoking does not have a strong tradition, since these sorts of products are often regarded by most consumers as luxury items to be consumed on a special occasion or for certain groups, such as bullfight fans or young adults that want to look sophisticated. Otherwise, there is no culture of smoking cigars and smokers sometimes find it unpleasant to consume them, either because of the bitter taste, or the fact that the large amount of smoke makes cigars/cigarillos more difficult to smoke for the average consumer. However, cigar lovers have knowledge of brands, flavours, sizes and for them a whole culture surrounds cigar smoking. This group does not consider cigarillos a real cigar.

HANDMADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-made: % Volume/Value Breakdown 2007-2011

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • In terms of cigars (excluding cigarillos) there are two main players: Puros Santa Clara and Tabacalera Alberto Turrent, which both accounted for around 39% of all cigars (excluding cigarillos) volume sales in 2011. Tabacalera Alberto Turrent has the very successful Te-Amo brand, which is a mass-market brand that is distributed through a variety of stores, like Sanborns, along with the less successful Matacan brand. It also holds premium cigar brands such as Andrea’s and A Turrent. Puros Santa Clara has a more limited product offering but with very good quality and the acceptance of cigar aficionados. The company holds mostly mid-priced and premium brands like Santa Clara Ejecutivos, Santa Clara 1830 and Aromas de San Andres, but does not have mass-market brands other than San Andres, which fits more into the mid-priced segment. Separately, Latinoamericana de Comercio SA de CV distributes all Cuban cigars, such as Romeo y Julieta and Hoyo de Monterrey. Lieb International SA de CV also has a good assortment of exclusive products, such as Swisher Sweets.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 17 Cigars - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Due to the tax pressure, from a total of around 25 manufacturing facilities, only 5 are expected to remain at the end of 2012. This is because the smaller, independent manufacturers are unable to compete with the more established brands in the face of dramatically increasing unit prices and are expected to go out of business. The largest domestic companies, such as Tabacalera Alberto Turrent and Puros Santa Clara will remain but are expected expand their sales abroad as the main Mexican cigars have a strong reputation around the world.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 54 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 55 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 56 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 57 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smokeless Tobacco in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • In Mexico the tradition for smokeless tobacco is virtually non-existent and consumption of this product is not very appealing to consumers – few are even familiar with how to use it.

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • As previously noted, there is only one significant product in this category – a US-style moist snuff brand distributed by Lieb International, a tobacco importer. Since there are no other products or companies in the market, there is no competition within smokeless tobacco. Given the unpopularity of this category, as well as the issues with import licences, no further players are expected to enter during the forecast period, though it is entirely possible that Kayak will leave the market entirely, causing this category to disappear in Mexico.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Due to an extremely turbulent review period, smokeless tobacco is expected to observe a volume CAGR of 33% between 2012 and 2016, due to the near disappearance of the market in 2011. The market is expected to recover in 2012 (causing a nearly 300% growth rate in 2012, followed by stabilisation and slight declines thereafter. This is, of course, assuming that Kayak’s imports in fact resume in 2012 and previous consumers return to the products.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 62 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 66 Company Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 67 Brand Shares of Smokeless Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 68 Sales of Smokless Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smokeless Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smoking Tobacco in Mexico - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Traditions of smoking RYO and pipe tobacco in Mexico are even weaker than that for smoking cigars. Pipe smokers are seen as people who actually know about tobacco. Pipe tobacco’s characteristics, the process of selecting, mixing and preparing it, the diverse types of pipe etc., are all fairly complicated, so pipe smokers are considered more educated smokers. However, since it is a lot harder to inhale the pipe’s smoke, and since the taste tends to be more bitter and the smoke denser, most cigarette consumers tend not to enjoy smoking a pipe. Pipe smokers tend to be mature adults and the overall number of pipe smokers is getting smaller. In the case of RYO, consumers usually have a low demand for this kind of product since it is a lot more work to smoke a cigarette, given the fact that they themselves have to roll it. Besides, waste tends to be high, the cigarette seldom is as well made and cost advantages are not significant given the relatively low price that is still paid in Mexico for machine-made cigarettes.

THE ROLE AND EFFECT OF CANNABIS/MARIJUANA

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • There are four main players in smoking tobacco: HBI International, Tabacos San Andrés, Comercializadora Cadena and Tabacos Industriales. The first two compete in RYO tobacco, while the remaining two participate in pipe tobacco. However, pipe tobacco accounts for nearly 96% of all volume sales of smoking tobacco, and as a result the latter two companies account for 77% of volume sales of smoking tobacco as a whole. Tabacos Industriales is far and away the market leader, accounting for 57% of pipe tobacco sales and 55% of all smoking tobacco sales.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • The key factors that will shape the smoking tobacco market in the forecast period are the declining acceptance of tobacco products, particularly amongst educated Mexicans, who are the target demographic for smoking tobacco.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 73 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 74 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 75 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 76 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 77 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 78 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 79 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 80 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 81 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 82 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 83 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 84 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 85 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim/superslim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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