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Country Report

Tobacco in Malaysia

Jan 2013

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Uncertain tobacco environment sees encouragement in 2011

Malaysia’s tough tax regime and inescapable illegal trade have created a bleak business environment for tobacco manufacturers and retailers. This pushed manufacturers, especially the top few companies, to bring in innovations in an effort to encourage consumers to purchase legal cigarettes and reduce the impact of illegal sales. Another encouraging effect for tobacco was the unchanged tax announced in October 2011 during Budget 2012.

Illicit trade witnesses slight slowdown in growth

Growth of smoking populations was discouraged by strong taxes and higher prices for cigarettes, which have contributed to illicit trade growth. Illicit trade is an inevitable threat to legal tobacco sales. In 2011, illicit trade sales witnessed a marginal slowdown in growth compared to 2010. Partly, the many efforts of manufacturers, such as Reloc packaging and capsule filters, as well as other filter innovations, helped to keep consumers away from illegal products. In addition, the tax announcement provided an injection of positivity into the local tobacco environment.

Major cigarette players utilise product and packaging innovations

Besides the Reloc packaging of British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad, major tobacco companies introduced capsule filters into their cigarettes. British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad has Dunhill Menthol Boost, convertible Dunhill Switch and Pall Mall Mint. The Marlboro Ice Blast and L&M brands of Philip Morris (Malaysia) Sdn Bhd also incorporated capsule innovations in their cigarettes. Mild Seven elevated its popularity in charcoal filter with the latest Wrapped Re-functional Charcoal (WRC) filter technology in new Mild Seven Menthol. Altogether, brands are trying to lure consumers with greater functions and packaging attractions with the aim of locking consumers into premium products. The innovations are also meant to prevent downtrading and deter consumers from purchasing illegal cigarettes, sending messages of value-for-money and the higher prestige attached to the premium products.

Cigars still undeveloped and reliant on niche consumers

Unlike developed Western countries or Hong Kong and China, Malaysia has a relatively small number of affluent, upmarket consumers that like to relish cigar smoking for various occasions. As a result, the number of cigar enthusiasts in Malaysia was low by comparison. There were no strong driving forces to encourage new consumers to be attracted to cigar smoking. Compared to those Asian countries with significant numbers of high-end consumers smoking cigars on business occasions or at home, Malaysia still lacks such a conspicuous cigar culture. The market lacks the circumstances to generate a widespread cigar-smoking trend, hence the slow growth in the category.

Relatively promising prospects for tobacco

Compared to the review period, tobacco is expected to perform better over the forecast period. One of the initial boosts will be the unchanged tax policy announced for Budget 2012. The government’s moderate approach towards tax will reduce the atmosphere of governmental pressure and regain players’ confidence slightly, despite the erratic movement of illicit trade. More positively, cigarette innovations and their effects are likely to carry over to 2012. Besides consumers’ migration towards recently introduced products, more innovative technologies and ideas are expected to evolve in cigarette products.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Malaysia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Malaysia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Malaysia for free:

The Tobacco in Malaysia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Malaysia?
  • What are the major brands in Malaysia?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Malaysia?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Malaysia?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Malaysia?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Malaysia in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Malaysia?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Malaysia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Uncertain tobacco environment sees encouragement in 2011

Illicit trade witnesses slight slowdown in growth

Major cigarette players utilise product and packaging innovations

Cigars still undeveloped and reliant on niche consumers

Relatively promising prospects for tobacco

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

LEGISLATION

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Country-specific legislation:

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2006-2011

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising and sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low ignition propensity (LIP) regulation

‘Reduced harm’

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2007-2011

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Taxation and Duty Levies 2006-2011

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 6 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown : Brand Examples

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 7 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 15 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Malaysia - Company Profiles

British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad in Tobacco (Malaysia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad: Competitive Position 2011

JT International Tobacco (M) Sdn Bhd in Tobacco (Malaysia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 JT International Tobacco (M) Sdn Bhd: Competitive Position 2011

Philip Morris (Malaysia) Sdn Bhd in Tobacco (Malaysia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 10 Philip Morris (Malaysia) Sdn Bhd: Competitive Position 2011

Cigarettes in Malaysia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • With the heavy restrictions on advertising and other marketing activity, tobacco companies are left with limited or no direct communications to push sales to target consumers. Major cigarette manufacturers were active in rolling out product innovations and packaging development in 2011.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Malaysian cigarette sales were very much controlled by the big three tobacco companies, British American Tobacco (Malaysia) Berhad, JT International Tobacco (M) Sdn Bhd and Philip Morris (Malaysia) Sdn Bhd in 2011. The combined volume share of the top three companies was 96% in 2011.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 11 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Cigarettes will continue to face risks that were already prevalent in the review period. Despite no change in tax tabled for Budget 2012, tax could be raised any time the government deems necessary. The current level of tax, even unchanged, is considered high and hence likely to remain an anxiety for cigarette manufacturers and retailers. Another major threat that will linger into the forecast period is illicit sales of cigarettes.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: price bands

  • Summary 12 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: menthol/standard

Flavour threads and capsule filters:

Cigarettes: filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: filter length

Cigarettes: regular vs slims vs superslims

Cigarettes: pack size

Cigarettes: pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 23 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 29 Cigarettes Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 30 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 31 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016

Cigars in Malaysia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Cigars in Malaysia is still very much reliant on a niche, discerning and affluent group who can afford such little luxuries. Cigars were traditionally launched with a niche target, as the available products are mostly premium cigars, which are considered to be hobby purchases of the richer consumers or smoked by business associates over discussions and at social occasions. Hence, cigars were targeted at cigar aficionados who know how to appreciate, differentiate and select the cigars they prefer. They are the niche group frequently seen in cigar lounges and smoking on various occasions.

HANDMADE VERSUS MACHINE-MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-made: % Volume/Value Breakdown 2007-2011

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Swisher International Group Inc and Imperial Tobacco Group Plc remained the leading players in cigars in 2011, with volume shares of 22% and 15%, respectively. They were able to rank higher because their brands, such as Swisher Sweets, are priced in the economy range and widely available. In contrast, brands like Cohiba and Montecristo are premium cigars focused on value instead of volume. As a result, volume shares were primarily held by companies with non-premium brands.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Innovations and product developments introduced by cigarette companies are expected to continue to have an impact over the forecast period, intensifying competition for cigars. However, cigarillos will still be able to attract smokers with an eye for both cigarettes and cigarillos.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 53 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 54 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 55 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 56 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 57 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 61 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smokeless Tobacco in Malaysia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • There was no specific legal status pertaining to smokeless tobacco in Malaysia until 2011 largely due to the absence of commercial brands that required official observation. Smokeless tobacco was still largely found in rural areas where it is traditionally used by villagers who are accustomed to products such as Pan Masala and Gutkha, with some of them making their own chewing tobacco.

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Smokeless tobacco is not expected to be prominent during in forecast period due to its small consumer base. Unless new product developments are introduced which appear to be convenient and counter some of the negative perceptions of existing products, smokeless tobacco will continue to be undesirable to urban consumers.

Smoking Tobacco in Malaysia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Besides locals that roll their own tobacco in rural areas, the arrival of immigrants historically brings along their culture of smoking tobacco as well. Some examples of the traditions that are now present in limited areas include RYO tobaccos like those locally known as lukok. Penans and Ibans are among other natives that have a history of smoking tobacco consumption.

The Role and Effect of Cannabis/Marijuana

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Smoking tobacco was represented almost entirely by foreign companies. Gryson NV was the leading company in 2011 with 30% volume share of smoking tobacco sales. Gryson NV’s Domingo brand of RYO tobacco has maintained its leadership. The brand’s local distributor Goodman Classic Sdn Bhd is active in marketing to local consumers.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Smoking tobacco will remain a prevalent choice for price-conscious consumers. Smoking tobacco products in Malaysia are restrained in terms of innovations, as the main attraction of this category is its low prices. With the largest target for smoking tobacco being lower-income consumers, there is not strong motivation for companies to introduce value-adding innovations.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 62 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 66 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 67 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 68 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 69 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 70 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 74 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim/superslim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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