You are here: HomeSolutionsIndustriesTobacco
print my pages

Country Report

Tobacco in Estonia

Oct 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco retail value sales soar

Tobacco retail value sales increased strongly in 2011, with growth being fuelled by rising excise rates and a consequent increase in unit prices. Despite growing prices, consumers were not willing to change their smoking habits and volume sales remained generally the same while retail value sales soared. Therefore, manufacturers focused on new product development and launched several new premium products, thus increasing consumer interest in premium products. In cigarettes, new product development focused on innovative filters while in smoking tobacco manufacturers focused on new flavours. The majority of cigarettes sold are still economy products. Modern retail channels continued to win sales share from traditional channels. However, changes in sales share between channels remains modest.

Tobacco excise rates increase significantly in 2011

All tobacco products excise rates increased significantly at the beginning of 2011. Cigarettes excise tax increased by 14% - a lower rise than in other areas. Cigars and cigarillos excise tax increased by 20% in 2011 compared to 2010 while smoking tobacco excise increased the most (74%) as the government tried to unify cigarettes and RYO tobacco unit prices. However, RYO tobacco unit price growth remained lower because producers were reluctant to increase prices too strongly.

LIP cigarettes become mandatory

LIP (Lower ignition propensity) cigarettes were introduced in the second half of 2011 in Estonia and regular cigarettes sales were prohibited. Since 17 November 2011, all cigarettes available on the market had to be LIP compliant. To comply with the new standards, cigarettes design modifications have been made, for example by using “banded” paper. Banded paper is thicker and makes the cigarette more likely to self-extinguish. In Finland, LIP cigarettes were launched in 2010 and according to the latest statistics, the number of smoking related fire deaths in the country fell by 40% in one year.

Illegal trade remains significant problem

Illegal trade and increasing excise tax rates are causing resentment among manufacturers, retailers and law-abiding consumers who purchase their cigarettes from stores in Estonia. Companies claimed that the government should fight illicit trade instead of increasing tobacco excise. Taking control over illicit trade would enable the government to significantly increase its tax revenue from tobacco excise. However, the government has not made any efforts to reduce illegal sales of tobacco products. The Estonian Tax and Custom Board is continuing to focus on confiscating contraband cigarettes from borders. However, the issue remains most problematic in areas near the porous Russian border.

Health trends shadow future growth rates

Health trends and increasing living standards are expected to reduce smoking prevalence over the forecast period. The common view among companies surveyed was that rising living standards are resulting in consumers reducing smoking and focusing more on healthy lifestyles. However, at the same time many consumers continue to enjoy smoking and are spending more on tobacco products due to the improving economic situation and rising wages. Due to the on-going health trend, consumers are expected to trade up to lower tar content cigarettes in Estonia and the share of ultra-low tar cigarettes is expected to grow. Furthermore, the drop in the number of smokers is resulting in more intense competition between manufacturers.


Samples (FAQs about samples):

doc_pdf.png Sample Tobacco Market Research Report

doc_excel_table.png Sample Tobacco Data

Delivery: Files are delivered directly into your account within a few minutes of purchase.

Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Estonia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Estonia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Estonia for free:

The Tobacco in Estonia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Estonia?
  • What are the major brands in Estonia?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Estonia?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Estonia?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Estonia?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Estonia in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Estonia?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Estonia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco retail value sales soar

Tobacco excise rates increase significantly in 2011

LIP cigarettes become mandatory

Illegal trade remains significant problem

Health trends shadow future growth rates

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

LEGISLATION

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

COUNTRY-SPECIFIC LEGISLATION

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2006-2011

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low ignition propensity (LIP) regulation

‘Reduced harm’

Litigation

Death by cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2007-2011

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Table 4 Taxation and Duty Levies 2006-2011

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 5 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 6 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 7 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 14 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

SOURCES

  • Summary 2 Research Sources

Tobacco in Estonia - Company Profiles

Cía Colombiana de Tabaco SA (Coltabaco) in Tobacco (Estonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 5 Cía Colombiana de Tabaco SA: Competitive Position 2011

Eugesta Eesti AS in Tobacco (Estonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 8 Eugesta Eesti AS: Competitive Position 2011

Philip Morris Eesti OÜ in Tobacco (Estonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 11 Philip Morris Eesti OÜ: Competitive Position 2011

Rasa Trading Company AS in Tobacco (Estonia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

Cigarettes in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Significant rises in tobacco excise rates increased tobacco product prices and created resentment amongst producers and consumers in 2011. Rapidly increasing tobacco products prices have become part of everyday life for Estonian consumers. Manufacturers try to highlight the problem in order to convince the government to deal with illicit trade and thus help them boost their tax intake. Producers claim that increasing excise taxes basically means further tax for honest consumers. Furthermore, legislation regarding tobacco products sales is likely to become stricter. One local party even suggests that tobacco products should be available only in chemists and pharmacies like in Iceland.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Tobacco sales in Estonia are dominated by four main players which accounted for 98% of retail value sales in 2011. There were no privatisations in tobacco in Estonia in 2011 and none are expected in the area in the near future.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 14 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Cigarettes has a projected forecast period retail volume CAGR of 1%, with sales set to exceed 2 billion sticks by 2016. Constant retail value sales are projected to increase at an average annual rate of 2% over the forecast period to reach EUR253 by 2016. As a result, retail volume sales growth is expected to remain modest over the forecast period. Whilst sales will be fuelled by the gradual recovery of the economy and increasing living standards, consumers are also expected to start smoking less. The common view amongst companies surveyed is that when living standards increase in Estonia, people start to think more about leading a healthy lifestyle.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: price bands

  • Summary 15 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: menthol/standard

Flavour threads and capsule filters:

Cigarettes: filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: filter length

Cigarettes: regular vs. slims vs. superslims

Cigarettes: pack size

Cigarettes: pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 15 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 23 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Cigarettes Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 29 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 30 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016

Cigars in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Cigars are typically only purchased occasionally in Estonia and only wealthy people can afford to smoke cigars regularly in the country. In addition, the fact cigars are often purchased as presents makes cigars sales seasonal. Usually, cigars sales increase during holiday seasons like Christmas and summer solstice while Estonians celebrate Jaanipäev. Some people also consider cigars as status symbols. Furthermore, cigars tend to be perceived as being more natural than cigarettes and hence less harmful. Before the smoking ban in public areas, cigars and cigarillos were commonly smoked after a meal in restaurants. However, since 2007 this has been prohibited in Estonia.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

  • Table 45 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs. Machine-made: % Volume/Value Breakdown 2007-2011

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Henri Wintermans Cigars maintained its leading position within cigars in 2011, recording a retail volume share of 34%. Rasa Trading, the representative of Corporación Habanos SA and the manager of La Casa Del Habano cigar lounges, accounted for 74% of retail volume sales within cigars excluding cigarillos. Rasa Trading AS distributes its exclusive Cuban tobacco products, which are well-known for their high quality and reasonable prices. Cigarillos was led by Henri Wintermans Cigars, with the company accounting for 36% of retail volume sales in 2011.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 16 Cigars - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • Cigars retail volume sales are projected to increase at an average annual rate of 1% over the forecast period to reach 4.3 million units while constant retail value sales are projected to increase at an average annual rate of <1% to reach EUR4.2 million in 2016. Cigars excluding cigarillos volume sales are expected to register a slightly positive growth rates at the beginning of the forecast period and sales is expected to start declining in the second half of the forecast period. Cigars excluding cigarillos are forecasted to register marginally positive volume sales CAGR over the forecast period.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 52 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 53 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 54 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 55 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 56 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 60 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smokeless Tobacco in Estonia - Category Analysis

TRENDS

  • Smokeless tobacco is banned in Estonia under EU law and it is unlikely that this situation will change over the forecast period.

Smoking Tobacco in Estonia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Pipe and RYO tobacco are considered niche products in Estonia and enjoy a high level of consumer loyalty. RYO smoking tobacco became more popular during the recession as it offers lower unit prices and many consumers traded down to products in this area. Smoking tobacco in general has a good reputation in Estonia and is considered to offer better quality and taste than cigarettes. Male smokers account for the majority of smoking tobacco sales in Estonia. Tobacco specialists, which offer more information about the different tobacco types available, can be found in larger cities like Tallinn, Tartu, Pärnu and Narva. Therefore, continuing urbanisation gives the increasing number of smokers better access to a wider range of smoking tobacco products.

THE ROLE AND EFFECT OF CANNABIS/MARIJUANA

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Mac Baren Tobacco Co A/S continued to lead sales in 2011, recording a retail value share of 33% and was followed by Orlik Tobacco Co A/S (19%) and Johann Wilhelm Von Eicken GmbH (13%). No exclusive distribution rights agreements were signed within smoking tobacco during 2011 in Estonia.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 17 Smoking Tobacco - New Product Launches

PROSPECTS

  • Smoking tobacco retail volume sales are expected to stagnate over the forecast period while constant value sales are projected to rise at an average annual rate of 4%. Smoking tobacco retail volume sales will remain stable at 39 tonnes while constant value sales will exceed EUR5.7 million in 2016. Due to the reduced difference between RYO tobacco and cigarettes prices, consumers may trade up to cigarettes – a development that would negatively impact RYO tobacco volume sales.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 61 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 65 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 66 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 67 Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 68 Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 69 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 71 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 72 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 73 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim/superslim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

my pages

Want to find out more about this report?

If you purchase a report that is updated in the next 60 days, we will send you the new edition of the report and the data extract FREE!