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Country Report

Tobacco in Indonesia

Nov 2012

Price: US$1,900

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco sustains growth amidst high price increase

The tobacco category in Indonesia, which includes a strong share for kretek cigarettes, saw continued growth in 2011, despite substantial increases in unit price. Both the price of tobacco leaf and cloves soared during the year, with clove’s price more than doubling. Most manufacturers passed on a portion of the price increase to consumers, causing retail unit prices to rise substantially across various brands, with stronger rises for kretek cigarettes compared to standard formats. Strong unit price increases were also fuelled by annual rises in excise duties imposed by the Government in its continuous attempts to control tobacco consumption in the country. None of these factors, however, resulted in a decline in volume sales, as consumption continued to be driven by growing population, robust economic growth and the position of tobacco products as second only to food in household spending among Indonesians, particularly those in the lower-income segment.

Leading manufacturers seek benefits from economy products

Economy products are still growing positively in absolute volume. There has been an increase in the number of economy-priced new cigarette products launched. These tend to target regional areas while most standard-priced products are national brands. Seeking to benefit from lower levels of excise duty levied on smaller manufacturers (classified as class 3 in excise tax regulation, or defined as those producing less than 500 million sticks annually), the country’s cigarette giants, such as Djarum PT and HM Sampoerna Tbk PT, follow the strategy of manufacturing economy kretek cigarettes under subsidiaries with limited production capacity of less than 500 million sticks per annum. While the parent companies continue to manufacture the standard and premium brands, the subsidiaries expand the companies’ consumer base and profitability by manufacturing economy brands. The stronger rise in tax on SKT (Sigaret Kretek Tangan or hand-made kretek cigarettes), however, has also challenged the viability of small SKT manufacturers, resulting in a number ceasing to trade. The growth of economy products overall, therefore, was positive, but not as robust as compared to the mid-priced segment, which accounts for the bulk of cigarettes sales.

HM Sampoerna Tbk PT achieves best performance in 2011

Although positive volume and value growth was registered across leading cigarette manufacturers, HM Sampoerna Tbk PT achieved the best performance among them, with a one percentage point increase in cigarettes volume share in 2011. Besides the continuous popularity of the A Mild brand, with a large consumer base in the SKM-mild segment (Sigaret Kretek Mesin or machine-manufactured mild kretek cigarette segment, a relatively new segment that defines the “lighter” high tar cigarettes), the company has also been expanding into the economy segment through Vegas Mild (launched in June 2010) and Trend Mild (launched in March 2011). Each of them is manufactured by the company’s subsidiaries, Harapan Maju Sentosa PT and Persada Makmur Indonesia PT, respectively. On the other hand, Djarum PT is expanding further into the “lighter” high tar cigarettes category by launching Djarum Super Mild in 2011. Its Djarum Super brand has been long associated with high tar cigarettes, containing 32mg of tar and 1.8mg of nicotine. The launch of Djarum Super Mild is in sync with the continuous trend towards “lighter” high tar cigarettes. The company has also been rigorous in launching brands in the economy segment, especially after the success of Djarum’s Envio Mild in 2010. The company’s launch of Polo Mild in 2011, manufactured by subsidiary Muria Sigaret Industri PT, was seen as a success.

More prominent role for convenience stores

Although a large share of cigarette sales continued to be accounted for by street vendors, at 50% in volume terms, convenience stores registered the strongest rise in share in 2011. The convenience stores channel is increasingly replacing the role of warung in the country, primarily in urban areas. The robust expansion of major retailers is boosting the role of this modern channel. Besides snacks, beverages and basic personal items, convenience stores sell cigarettes as a rule; a near complete range of leading cigarette brands will be on display behind the counter. In upscale convenience stores, domestic cigars such as Dos Hermanos (Djarum PT) and Wismilak (Gelora Djaja PT) are also increasingly available, although sales in volume terms remained insignificant at end of the review period.

More restrictive environment is expected to be imposed

With pressure from the Ministry of Health, local and international anti-tobacco NGOs and YLKI (Yayasan Lembaga Konsumen Indonesia or the Consumer Protection Foundation of Indonesia) to control the tobacco industry in Indonesia, the Government is expected to impose a more restrictive business environment on the industry. As the discussion of the Rancangan Peraturan Pemerintah Mengenai Pengendalian Tembakau (or draft bill on tobacco control) has been finalised at ministerial level, the issuance of the bill is expected to occur early in the forecast period amidst continuous strong opposition from the industry. Once the legislation is imposed there will be greater restrictions on tobacco companies marketing their products, in particular through sponsorship and media. Graphic pictorial warnings on cigarette packaging are also expected, with the intention of deterring young adults from taking up smoking.


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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Indonesia with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Indonesia, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Indonesia for free:

The Tobacco in Indonesia market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Indonesia?
  • What are the major brands in Indonesia?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Indonesia?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Indonesia?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Indonesia?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Indonesia in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Indonesia?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Tobacco in Indonesia - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Tobacco sustains growth amidst high price increase

Leading manufacturers seek benefits from economy products

HM Sampoerna Tbk PT achieves best performance in 2011

More prominent role for convenience stores

More restrictive environment is expected to be imposed

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislation

  • Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance

Fatwa Haram

Minimum legal smoking age

Smoking Prevalence

  • Table 1 Smoking Prevalence in Adult Population 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Number of Smokers by Gender 2006-2011

Tar levels

Health warnings

Advertising & Sponsorship

Point-of-sale display bans

Smoking in public places

Low Ignition Propensity (LIP) regulation

Electronic cigarettes

Litigation

Death by Cause

  • Table 3 Death by Cause 2007-2011

TAXATION AND PRICING

Duty paid packet marks

Taxation rates

  • Summary 2 Excise Rates of Tobacco Products 2011
  • Summary 3 Excise Rates of Imported Tobacco Products 2011
  • Summary 4 Excise Rates of Tobacco Products 2012
  • Summary 5 Excise Rates of Imported Tobacco Products 2012

Average cigarette pack price breakdown

  • Table 4 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

Indonesian kretek

Illicit trade in cigarettes

MARKET INDICATORS

  • Table 5 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes by Volume 2006-2011

MARKET DATA

  • Table 6 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 10 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 11 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 12 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 13 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

DEFINITIONS

SOURCES

  • Summary 6 Research Sources

Tobacco in Indonesia - Company Profiles

Djarum PT in Tobacco (Indonesia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 8 Djarum PT: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 9 Djarum PT: Competitive Position 2011

Gudang Garam Tbk PT in Tobacco (Indonesia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 12 Gudang Garam Tbk PT: Competitive Position 2011

Sampoerna Tbk PT, HM in Tobacco (Indonesia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 15 HM Sampoerna Tbk PT: Competitive Position 2011

Taru Martani PT in Tobacco (Indonesia)

STRATEGIC DIRECTION

KEY FACTS

COMPANY BACKGROUND

PRODUCTION

  • Summary 17 Taru Martani PT: Production Statistics 2011

COMPETITIVE POSITIONING

  • Summary 18 Taru Martani PT: Competitive Position 2011

Cigarettes in Indonesia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Despite multiple efforts by various anti-tobacco organisations, including the Ministry of Health, the cigarette category in Indonesia continued to flourish, registering positive volume growth throughout the review period. This was particularly true for machine-manufactured cigarettes, due to the continuous decline in the number of small-medium SKT (or hand-rolled cigarettes) manufacturers in the country. Higher tax increases imposed on the economy SKT products saw companies lose profitability and prompted consumers to switch to machine-manufactured cigarettes (SKM). Rising disposable incomes and the growing population had a stronger impact than inhibiting factors such as rising prices and stricter laws regarding smoking in public spaces. As result the category expanded by 5% in volume terms in 2011, reaching 190 billion sticks.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • There were 4,793 tobacco and cigarette manufacturers in Indonesia in 2007, up from 3,217 in 2005 and 3,961 in 2006. However, a gradual decline was witnessed towards the end of the review period. In 2008, about 1,500-1,800 manufacturers ceased trading as a result of tightened monitoring from excise tax authorities. Many of the small-scale manufacturers did not meet the requirements of the regulations. In 2010, the number had declined to around 3,800 manufacturers, with 3,000 being in Eastern and Central Java. According to GAPPRI, by the end of the review period, the number fell to just 1,700 manufacturers. This is also due to the competition from large manufacturers, which started to produce economy cigarettes. Most of the minor cigarette manufacturers, however, operate on a small-scale or home industry basis and distribute locally. They are concentrated in Eastern Java, Central Java, Western Java, Northern Sumatra and West Nusa Tenggara. Many of these smaller-scale manufacturers produce hand-rolled cigarettes and therefore are not covered by Euromonitor International.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 19 Cigarettes - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • While continuous positive volume growth is expected in cigarettes between 2011 and 2016, the growth rate is expected to decline towards the end of the forecast period. Unceasing efforts by the anti-tobacco NGOs and Ministry of Health are producing restrictions on the industry, although the progress of such changes is happening relatively slowly. A continuous flow of funds from international agencies such as Bloomberg Initiatives also sustains the local projects in their efforts to curb the growth of the tobacco industry in Indonesia. Although the anticipated RPP (or draft bill) on tobacco control has yet to be issued, finalisation is becoming closer as the ministerial level discussion has been completed. Several restrictions for tobacco companies are expected to happen upon the issuance of the legislation. On the other hand, the growing economy and rising disposable incomes, in addition to the growing population of young adults and the widely available low-cost alternatives of economy cigarettes are expected to remain the major factors driving the growth of cigarettes in Indonesia over the forecast period.

CATEGORY BACKGROUND

Cigarettes: price bands

  • Summary 20 Cigarette Price Band Definitions

Cigarettes: menthol/standard

Flavour threads and capsule filters

Cigarettes: filter/non-filter

Cigarettes: carbon/standard filter

Cigarettes: filter length

Cigarettes: regular vs slims vs superslims

Cigarettes: pack size

Cigarettes: pack type

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 14 Trade Statistics – Cigarettes

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 15 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 19 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 20 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 22 Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 23 Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 24 Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 25 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2007-2011
  • Table 26 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 27 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 28 Cigarettes Company Shares 2007-2011
  • Table 29 Cigarettes Brand Shares 2008-2011
  • Table 30 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 31 Cigarettes: Production, Imports and Exports: Total Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 32 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 33 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 34 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 35 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tar Level: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 36 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 37 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 38 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Tobacco Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 39 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Filter Vs Non-filter: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 40 Forecast Sales of Filter Cigarettes by Carbon Vs Non-carbon: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Length: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016
  • Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Type: % Volume Breakdown 2011-2016

Cigars in Indonesia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • The tradition of smoking cigars was originally brought to Indonesia by the Dutch, primarily to Java Island. Ever since, cigars from Indonesia have been widely consumed by Western consumers; cigars in Indonesia are mainly consumed by expatriates. A culture for cigar smoking, however, is increasingly being adopted by local consumers, particularly within upper-income groups, as smoking a cigar has become a status symbol. For this reason, popular brand such as Cohiba, Montecristo, and Bolivar continue to be preferable than the less popular ones albeit they both carry the same quality and price tag.

HAND-MADE VERSUS MACHINE MANUFACTURED SPLITS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Four domestic players accounted for a 75% combined volume share in 2011. In order of share, they were Perkebunan Nasional X PT (36%), Taru Martani PT (22%), Djarum PT (16%) and Gelora Djaja PT (1%). While most of these players saw slower growth rates than the previous year, all four saw an increase in their volume sales in 2011, benefiting from a rise in domestic demand.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

  • Summary 21 Cigars - New Product Launches

DISTRIBUTION

PROSPECTS

  • The penetration of a cigar culture is expected to take place gradually over the forecast period as the potential consumer base of this product type remains limited to upper-income consumers. The overall cigars category is expected to rise at a 4% volume CAGR during the forecast period. Demand is expected to be boosted by growing disposable incomes, especially among more affluent consumers. Word-of-mouth recommendation among business networks and friends continues to represent a powerful marketing tool and, combined with improved distribution, will help to drive sales.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 45 Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 46 Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 47 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 48 Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 49 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Volume Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 50 Sales of Cigars by Handmade vs Machine-manufactured: % Value Breakdown 2006-2011
  • Table 51 Company Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 52 Brand Shares of Cigars Excluding Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 53 Company Shares of Cigarillos 2007-2011
  • Table 54 Brand Shares of Cigarillos 2008-2011
  • Table 55 Sales of Cigars by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 56 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 57 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 58 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 59 Forecast Sales of Cigars by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Smokeless Tobacco in Indonesia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • Branded chewing tobacco and snuff continued to be non-existent in Indonesia in 2011 as the concept remains unfamiliar to the majority of tobacco consumers. Among those who are educated about the concept, chewing tobacco is seen as a greater risk to health than cigarettes as it is placed within the mouth, in direct contact with internal body parts.

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Tobacco leaves used for chewing by older women are unbranded products prepared by small-scale home industries.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • The prospects for chewing tobacco and snuff remain limited in Indonesia as the concept remains relatively alien to most smokers. The high costs related to product introduction are expected to be a strong deterrent to international companies wishing to import chewing tobacco products into the country.

Smoking Tobacco in Indonesia - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • RYO tobacco is widely known as tingwe, a Javanese abbreviation for linting dewe. It is also popularly known as tembakau rajang or shag tobacco. Famous brands of RYO tobacco such as Mars (BAT Indonesia Tbk PT), Drum and Van Nelle (both Taru Martani PT) use the name shag tobacco to define their products, which is printed on the packaging below the brand name. Historically, shag tobacco has a long presence in Indonesia, particularly on Java Island. RYO tobacco is traditional in most rural areas due to a presence in Javanese culture long before cigarettes were widely available.

THE ROLE AND EFFECT OF CANNABIS/MARIJUANA

DISTRIBUTION

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • Taru Martani PT remained the dominant leader within the smoking tobacco category in Indonesia, accounting for a 69% volume share. The company previously marketed brands (Drum and Van Nelle) under license for Imperial Tobacco Group Plc prior to 2009. From 2010 onwards the company has been offering three brands under its own company, namely the leading brand Countryman, second-ranked Mundi Victor and fourth-ranked Violin. Both Countryman and Mundi Victor are available in a 50mg pack, while Violin is offered in a 40mg pack. Countryman is the lowest priced brand at Rp5,800 per pack while Mundi Victor and Violin are priced the same at Rp8,000 per pack.

NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENTS

PROSPECTS

  • Smoking tobacco is expected to register a constant value CAGR of 2% over the forecast period to reach Rp40 billion by 2016, driven solely by RYO tobacco. Growth will be mainly down to the rising prices of cigarettes, which will make this product type less affordable, particularly to low-income rural consumers. RYO tobacco will continue to offer a cheaper alternative to cigarettes.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 60 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2006-2011
  • Table 61 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 62 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 63 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 64 Company Shares of RYO Tobacco 2007-2011
  • Table 65 Brand Shares of RYO Tobacco 2008-2011
  • Table 66 Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Distribution Format: % Analysis 2006-2011
  • Table 67 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2011-2016
  • Table 68 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 69 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 70 Forecast Sales of Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Tobacco
    • Cigarettes
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
    • Cigars
      • Cigars Excluding Cigarillos
        • Large Cigars
        • Standard Cigars
        • Small Cigars
      • Cigarillos
    • Smoking Tobacco
      • RYO Tobacco
      • Pipe Tobacco
    • Smokeless Tobacco
      • Chewing Tobacco
        • Asian-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • US-Style Chewing Tobacco
        • Other Chewing Tobacco
      • Snuff
        • Moist Snuff
          • US-Style Moist Snuff ('Dip')
            • Loose US-Style Moist Snuff
            • Portion US-Style Moist Snuff
          • Swedish-Style Snus
            • Loose Swedish-Style Snus
            • Portion Swedish-Style Snus
          • Asian Style Creamy Snuff
        • Dry Snuff
        • Hard Snuff
    • Cigarettes Including RYO Stick Equivalent
      • High Tar Cigarettes
      • Mid Tar Cigarettes
      • Low Tar Cigarettes
      • Ultra Low Tar Cigarettes
      • RYO Cigarettes

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Company shares
  • Brand shares
  • Distribution
  • Analysis by type
  • Cigarettes by blend
  • Cigarettes by carbon filter/non-carbon filter
  • Cigarettes by filtered/unfiltered
  • Cigarettes by length
  • Cigarettes by pack size
  • Cigarettes by pack type
  • Cigarettes by price band
  • Cigarettes by regular/slim/superslim
  • Cigarettes by standard/menthol
  • Illicit trade penetration
  • Pricing
  • Products by ingredient
  • Products by ingredient
  • Smoking population - number of adult smokers
  • Smoking prevalence - % of adult population
  • Taxation
  • Trade statistics - volume

Market size details:

  • Retail volume
  • Retail volume % growth
  • Retail volume per capita
  • Retail value retail selling price % growth
  • Retail value retail selling price local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Retail value retail selling price per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Illicit trade volume
  • Illicit trade volume % growth
  • Illicit trade volume per capita
  • Retail volume (sticks)
  • Retail volume (sticks) % growth
  • Retail volume (sticks) per capita
  • Retail plus illicit trade
  • Retail plus illicit trade % growth
  • Retail plus illicit trade per capita

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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