Airline passenger numbers are anticipated to continue to rebound during 2022 and throughout the forecast period, but it is expected that passenger numbers will remain below pre-pandemic levels over the entire forecast period, while total value sales (at current 2022 prices) will recover to the 2019 level during 2025. Much of this growth is likely to be driven by regional flights, supported by the easing of intercontinental travel restrictions and expanding route networks.
Before Comair’s demise in June 2022, the capacity of domestic airlines was adequate for high season travelling, such as Easter weekend and holiday periods. However, it was too much for on a day-to-day basis in the current economic environment – as was seen by South African Airways going into business rescue at the end of 2019, the failure of SA Express at the start of 2020, and the uncertainty regarding Mango’s operations for more than a year now.
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Understand the latest market trends and future growth opportunities for the Airlines industry in South Africa with research from Euromonitor International's team of in-country analysts – experts by industry and geographic specialisation.
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Airlines covers sales made to country residents (outbound and domestic tourists) and excludes sales to incoming tourists. Please note that airlines sales made to country residents when they are travelling abroad or through foreign websites or apps are also included and will be considered under the country of residence. The total amount paid for a flight after taxes and other charges is included. The return flight leg is included as well as the total amount paid for a flight ticket. Value sales exclude all forms of transit. Euromonitor International considers airline capacity and passengers carried in terms of enplanement based on scheduled flights. A passenger whose flight stops mid-route to pick up more passengers but continues with the same aircraft/flight number would be counted as one enplanement. A passenger who switches flights to another airline or aircraft with a new flight number mid-journey would be considered as two enplanements. Enplanements are not the same as number of seats sold or seat bookings, as the latter both include all bookings and do not exclude no-shows and cancellations. Direct transit passengers are excluded, eg those who continue on the same flight. Other transit passengers are included where passengers change plane with a new flight number. Air passengers carried relate directly to air value sales, where domestic and outbound travellers are only included. As such value and volume data in both sizes and shares is aligned and exclude the inbound component.See All of Our Definitions
This report originates from Passport, our Airlines research and analysis database.
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