Airlines overall is predicted to recover to pre-pandemic levels in 2024, driven by rapid rebounds in both low cost carriers and full service carriers – both of which will surpass 2019 levels in terms of number of persons in 2024. Business air arrivals will recover in 2025, while leisure air arrivals will take longer and will reach pre-pandemic levels only in 2027.
Bookings in air travel online via direct suppliers will surpass pre-pandemic retail value levels as early as 2023, while air travel online via intermediaries will do so in 2024. Air travel offline bookings via direct suppliers is unlikely to recover by the end of the forecast period, though air travel offline via intermediaries will recover in 2023.
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Airlines covers sales made to country residents (outbound and domestic tourists) and excludes sales to incoming tourists. Please note that airlines sales made to country residents when they are travelling abroad or through foreign websites or apps are also included and will be considered under the country of residence. The total amount paid for a flight after taxes and other charges is included. The return flight leg is included as well as the total amount paid for a flight ticket. Value sales exclude all forms of transit. Euromonitor International considers airline capacity and passengers carried in terms of enplanement based on scheduled flights. A passenger whose flight stops mid-route to pick up more passengers but continues with the same aircraft/flight number would be counted as one enplanement. A passenger who switches flights to another airline or aircraft with a new flight number mid-journey would be considered as two enplanements. Enplanements are not the same as number of seats sold or seat bookings, as the latter both include all bookings and do not exclude no-shows and cancellations. Direct transit passengers are excluded, eg those who continue on the same flight. Other transit passengers are included where passengers change plane with a new flight number. Air passengers carried relate directly to air value sales, where domestic and outbound travellers are only included. As such value and volume data in both sizes and shares is aligned and exclude the inbound component.See All of Our Definitions
This report originates from Passport, our Airlines research and analysis database.
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