print my pages

Country Report

Consumer Lending in China

Price: US$1,100

About this Report

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Consumer lending growth slows down

Total consumer lending growth slowed down in China in 2012, mainly due to sluggish demand for mortgages due to the real estate downturn. The fact that the central government has strengthened tight controls over the domestic real estate market has resulted in a slump within mortgages loans, which still dominates consumer lending. In response, lenders will have to focus more on auto lending, home lending and other innovative products in order to boost consumer lending in China.

Card lending outperforms non-card lending

The number of credit cards in circulation has increased strongly in recent years and card lending recorded more vigorous current outstanding balance value growth than non-card lending throughout the review period. On the one hand, card lending is comparatively easier and more convenient than non-card lending. With a properly issued credit card, consumers can fulfil lending procedures anytime and anywhere, without the paperwork usually required for non-card lending. Furthermore, interest-free repayment periods can range from 20 to 50 days. On the other hand, the rising acceptance of instalment payments and overdrafts among especially young consumers has fuelled robust card lending growth in China.

Foreign and small banks lead innovation within consumer lending

As state-owned banks still focus on mortgages in order to avoid high risk, small and medium-sized commercial banks and foreign banks played an important role regarding product innovation within consumer lending during the review period. With the exception of non-guarantee lending and mortgages, most innovative consumer credit products provide various preferential terms to woo consumers, such as extending repayment times and lowering monthly repayments, which are generally controlled within a safe range depending on the consumer’s monthly income.

Government continues to stimulate consumer lending

The central government announced its intention to stimulate domestic consumption in its ‘Twelfth Five-Year Plan (2011-2015)’ in 2011and piloted a tax reform afterwards which included the transformation of certain business taxes into value-added taxes, first in Shanghai, then in Beijing and Tianjin and finally in another eight cities in 2012. All these stimulation policies, together with rising personal disposable incomes and a higher personal income tax threshold, have contributed to the vigorous domestic consumer credit market. In addition, more consumers applied to increase their credit limits due to rising demand for consumption over the review period.

Consumer lending in rural areas offers great potential

Consumer lending in rural areas has strong potential thanks to rapid economic growth and supportive policies for farmers as well as the change in consumer attitudes over the forecast period. Due to rising demand for better quality of life, rural consumers, particularly in such affluent provinces as Jiangsu and Zhejiang, are expected to have increasing needs for renovation loans, education lending, medical loans and other consumer credit products. Overall, consumer lending in China is expected to record steady value growth over the forecast period.

Samples (FAQs about samples):

doc_pdf.png Sample Consumer Lending Market Research Report

doc_excel_table.png Sample Consumer Lending Data

Delivery: Files are delivered directly into your account within a few minutes of purchase.

Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Consumer Lending industry in China with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Consumer Lending industry in China, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Consumer Lending in China market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Historic volumes and values
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Consumer Lending in China?
  • What are the major trends set to impact the market in China?
  • What capacity for consumer debt still exists in the market?
  • What’s the state of credit quality in the market?
  • Has the economic downturn reset the lender competitive landscape?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

Euromonitor’s industry reports, including Consumer Lending in China, originate from our database within our Consumer Finance market share and market size database, Passport, a platform which analyses Consumer Finance in 46 countries and globally.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Consumer Lending in China - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Consumer lending growth slows down

Card lending outperforms non-card lending

Foreign and small banks lead innovation within consumer lending

Government continues to stimulate consumer lending

Consumer lending in rural areas offers great potential

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Positive regulation stimulates consumer lending growth

Rigid demand contributes to buoyant mortgages/housing growth

Rural consumer lending continues to rise

Foreign and small banks gain more opportunities

Card lending grows robustly in China

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 2 Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 3 Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 4 Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 5 Consumer Lending: Non-performing Loans 2007-2012
  • Table 6 Mortgages/Housing: Non-performing Loans 2007-2012
  • Table 7 Consumer Credit: Non-performing Loans 2007-2012
  • Table 8 Card Lending: Non-performing Loans 2007-2012
  • Table 9 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 10 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 11 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 12 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2012-2017

SOURCES

  • Summary 1 Research Sources

Consumer Credit in China - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

PROSPECTS

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 13 Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 14 Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 15 Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2007-2012
  • Table 16 Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2007-2012
  • Table 17 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 18 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2012-2017
  • Table 19 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2012-2017
  • Table 20 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2012-2017

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Consumer Lending
    • Consumer Credit
      • Card Lending
      • Auto Lending
      • Durables Lending
      • Education Lending
      • Home Lending
      • Other Personal Lending
    • Mortgages/Housing

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Consumer credit by type
  • Non-performing vs others loans
  • Other personal lending by type

Market size details:

  • Outstanding balance % growth
  • Outstanding balance local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending % growth
  • Gross lending local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

print my pages

Want to find out more about this report?

If you purchase a report that is updated in the next 60 days, we will send you the new edition of the report and the data extract FREE!