Monitor the impact of inflation on discretionary and essential products across 10 countries. Visualise, compare and track changes in product price and availability. See how e-commerce data can support your business strategy. Watch a demonstration of how to use the tracker.
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Global inflationary pressures are predicted to moderate further over 2023 and 2024. Slower economic growth, stricter monetary policies of the central banks and supply chain improvements contribute to the price stabilisation. However, there are divergent inflation trends in the largest economies due to differences in the economic performance, labour and energy markets.
After decades of low inflation, companies and consumers worldwide are struggling to cope with the rising cost of living. As a result, businesses must navigate the new consumer reality, in which the focus is firmly on affordability, value, and the cost of living.
Private label products – retailers’ alternatives to brands – tend to benefit from inflation. However, despite record inflation in France, Germany and the UK, the market share of private label in the three countries remained broadly stable across FMCGs in 2022. This is changing in 2023. This briefing analyses the reasons for the lukewarm performance of private label in 2022, how 2023 is different, and outlines key steps to capitalise on the positive tailwinds to win in private label going forward.
The global economic environment has become more volatile during the last few years, with many risks clouding the outlook. Business leaders now need to focus on building resilience, improve efficiency and enhancing market foresight to prepare themselves for macroeconomic shocks and identify new growth opportunities.
As the pandemic and the war in Ukraine have placed intense stress on global supply chains, purely efficiency-based models have shown their limits in the fashion industry. Since then, luxury and fashion players have pivoted their business models to build their resilience for tomorrow, and beat the impact of inflation, while they also need to anticipate regulatory shifts in terms of sustainability to plan for the future.
Abnormal cost inflation has caused waves of pain for companies since late 2020, but our new Inflation Projection Tool launched in July 2023 strongly indicates that tools and hardware in home and garden stands out as a category where companies were harmed more than most (and brands more than retailers, so far). This sector is badly dislocated around its ability to pass on costs from production to end consumers.
As the world’s energy landscape is undergoing a significant transformation, countries around the globe are striving to secure reliable and sustainable energy supply. However, not all nations are positioned equally in this quest for energy security. Our Global Energy Vulnerability Index sheds light on the energy vulnerabilities and strengths of different economies, revealing the challenges they face and the opportunities they can seize to enhance energy security.
Geopolitical tensions, stagnation in major economies, debt distress and climate change are the key risk factors that could result in further disruptions in the global economy. Macroeconomic shocks can have a major impact on business outcomes as they affect production costs, consumer spending power and market potential. As economic uncertainty persists, companies need to judge their business stability against future shocks and be ready for a range of macroeconomic scenarios.