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Country Report

Consumer Lending in the Czech Republic

Oct 2011

Price: US$900

About this Report

About this Report

Samples (FAQs about samples):

doc_pdf.png Sample Consumer Lending Market Research Report

doc_excel_table.png Sample Consumer Lending Data

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Consumer Lending industry in Czech Republic with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Consumer Lending industry in Czech Republic, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

The Consumer Lending in Czech Republic market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Historic volumes and values
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth  
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Consumer Lending in Czech Republic?
  • What are the major trends set to impact the market in Czech Republic?
  • What capacity for consumer debt still exists in the market?
  • What’s the state of credit quality in the market?
  • Has the economic downturn reset the lender competitive landscape?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

Euromonitor’s industry reports, including Consumer Lending in Czech Republic, originate from our database within our Consumer Finance market share and market size database, Passport, a platform which analyses Consumer Finance in 46 countries and globally.

Sample Analysis

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Consumer lending starts to recover after economic downturn

Consumer lending started to register positive growth in terms of gross lending at the end of the review period, after suffering a slowdown between 2008 and 2010. As a result of improvements in the economic situation, decreasing unemployment and increases in the purchasing power of consumers, financial institutions have started to issue more loans and have relaxed their approval criteria. All categories of consumer credit have contributed to this positive growth. Mortgages/housing and home lending have also contributed strongly to growth, indicating initial signs of recovery in the property market. Demand for property has started to increase however the development of new property has stagnated.

Auto lending helps to drive the growth of consumer lending in 2011

Auto lending is the largest category of consumer credit in terms of value of gross lending and outstanding balance. Due to its size and positive performance in 2011, it has helped to drive the growth of consumer lending. The category has gained support from the process of economic recovery, as a result of which demand for new cars has increased. It has also benefited from political decisions that have been made. In 2010, consumers expected to receive a scrapping subsidy, approved by the government, but this never materialised, therefore many consumers decided to postpone purchasing a new car until 2011. Instalment loans are one of the prevalent types of financing for new cars while auto leasing for personal customers is slowly being phased out, following governmental steps to further protect consumers.

120,000 officially registered issuers of loans in Czech Republic

According to the Czech Finance Ombudsman, there are 120,000 officially registered lenders in the Czech Republic. Although this indicates a high level of fragmentation, the vast majority of them are independent agents of non-banking lending institutions that offer consumer credit through retailers. Consumer credit is fairly concentrated among the leading retail banks and several leading non-banking lending companies such as Cetelem CR as and Home Credit Finance AS. The leading retail banks are incumbent banks, which have a strong position in retail banking.

New regulations governing consumer lending impact retailers

At the beginning of 2011, new governmental regulations regarding the requirements of lenders when issuing consumer credit came into force. The most critical requirement has become the obligation to accept the return of a loan within 14 days after it has been approved. This has caused issues for retailers, which are forced to accept the return of products sold on credit within 14 days of sale. This has been abused by some consumers who purchase products to use temporarily, for example on holiday, and then to return. In fact, companies that provide personal leasing financing for cars have slowly abandoned this in the fear that consumers would start to consider their offering as a free car lending service.

Consumer lending expected to perform well over the forecast period

Consumer lending is expected to perform well over the forecast period, in line with continued economic recovery. Improvements in the economic situation are expected to enable positive constant value growth in terms of outstanding balance and gross lending in all categories of consumer lending over the forecast period as well as a decrease in the share of non-performing loans of consumer lending.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents

Consumer Lending in the Czech Republic - Industry Overview

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Consumer lending starts to recover after economic downturn

Auto lending helps to drive the growth of consumer lending in 2011

120,000 officially registered issuers of loans in Czech Republic

New regulations governing consumer lending impact retailers

Consumer lending expected to perform well over the forecast period

KEY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS

Mortgages/housing achieves positive growth for second consecutive year

Consumer credit experiences return to positive growth

The share of non-performing loans, of consumer credit, remains high

New legislation for lenders and retailers

Internet represents a new channel for offer of consumer credit

MARKET DATA

  • Table 1 Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 2 Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 3 Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 4 Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 5 Consumer Lending: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 6 Mortgages/Housing: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 7 Consumer Credit: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 8 Card Lending: Non-performing Loans 2006-2011
  • Table 9 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 10 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 11 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 12 Forecast Consumer Lending By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Sources

Consumer Credit in the Czech Republic - Category Analysis

HEADLINES

TRENDS

  • 2011 is expected to be an interesting year for consumer credit, as it is expected to register positive growth following two years of significant slowdown. This is due to economic recovery in the Czech Republic supported by growing spending in main export market - Germany, declining unemployment, the good financial condition of lending institutions, especially banks, and the low level of the base interest rate of the Czech National Bank. Financial institutions have started to compete for customers and to offering attractive lending offers to consumers, which has helped to drive demand.

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • According to the Czech Banking Ombudsman, there are approximately 120,000 lenders in the country. Almost all of them are small independent providers of consumer credit although the most important among them are retail banks and some international non-banking lenders. According to trade sources, the leading 20 lenders account for a share of 90% of loans provided. The most important providers of products in consumer credit are banking institutions such Ceska Sporitelna as and Ceskoslovenska Obchodni Banka as as well as non-banking lenders Home Credit Finance AS and Cetelem CR as among others.

PROSPECTS

  • Consumer credit is expected to register positive constant value growth in outstanding balance and gross lending over the forecast period due to continued expected economic recovery. With regard to outstanding balance, consumer credit is expected to experience lower constant value growth, at a CAGR of 3%, over the forecast period than over the review period when it grew by a CAGR of 6%. Consumer credit is already highly saturated and there is expected to be re-financing of older credit or the repeat of loans to existing customers. Approval of new loans is expected to become more complicated. On the other hand, with regard to gross lending the constant value CAGR is expected to be higher over the forecast period than it was over the review period due to recovery from a significant slowdown in growth over 2009 and 2010.

CATEGORY DATA

  • Table 13 Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 14 Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 15 Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2006-2011
  • Table 16 Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2006-2011
  • Table 17 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 18 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Outstanding Balance: % Value Growth 2011-2016
  • Table 19 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: Value 2011-2016
  • Table 20 Forecast Consumer Credit By Category: Gross Lending: % Value Growth 2011-2016

Segmentation

Segmentation

This market research report includes the following:

  • Consumer Lending

Statistics Included

Statistics Included

For each category and subcategory you will receive the following data in Excel format:

From Passport

  • Market sizes
  • Non-performing vs others loans

Market size details:

  • Outstanding balance real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Outstanding balance real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending real (constant 2008) prices % growth
  • Gross lending real (constant 2008) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending real (constant 2008) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance % growth
  • Outstanding balance local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending % growth
  • Gross lending local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Outstanding balance nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Outstanding balance nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending nominal (current) prices % growth
  • Gross lending nominal (current) prices local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY
  • Gross lending nominal (current) prices per capita local currency, USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY

Methodology

Methodology

Global insight and local knowledge

With 40 years’ experience of developed and emerging markets, Euromonitor International’s research method is built on a unique combination of specialist industry knowledge and in-country research expertise.

This approach is what enables us to achieve our goal of building a market consensus view of size, shape and trends across the full distribution universe of each category. We factor in whichever channels are relevant, from large-scale grocery to direct sellers, from discount stores to local mom-and-pop outlets.

Industry specialists

Each industry we cover is managed by an Industry Manager and team of Industry Analysts who research and report on their specialist categories all year round.

Our collaborative approach to research means that these industry teams are in constant dialogue with industry players and opinion formers. The planning of our research programmes reflects latest market trends and industry events. In completing each update project, this provides invaluable input to the testing, review and finalisation of our data.

The specialist in-house teams bring together findings from all stages of the annual research process. They work closely with in-country analysts, assess and challenge data and exercise final editorial control over the publication of new data and analysis.

Country and regional analysts

Our in-country analyst network is managed by country and regional analysts in our offices around the world. Working closely with each in-country team, the regional research management team ensures that all country researchers are well schooled in best practices, from the information collected in store checks, to the dialogue we build in trade surveys. Our country analysts ensure that national reports explain the data trends and provide clear insights into the local market’s dynamics.

In-country research network

To deliver fresh insights every year in countries all around the world, we believe the strongest approach is to use analysts on the ground. They bring fluency in local language, physical proximity to the best sources, an ability to engage directly with local industry contacts, and an awareness of how the products and services we study are advertised, sold and consumed. These are essential parts of our ability to report incisively on these markets.

Research Methodology

Our research methods

Each Euromonitor International industry report is based on a core set of research techniques:

Desk research

With industry events, corporate activity, trends and new product introductions tracked year round by our industry team, desk research provides a starting point for the in-country research programme. Our in-country researchers will access the following sources:

  • National statistics offices governmental and official sources
  • National and international trade press
  • National and international trade associations
  • Industry study groups and other semi-official sources
  • Company financials and annual reports
  • Broker reports
  • Online databases
  • The financial, business and mainstream press

Accessing sources is only the first step. The ability to interpret and reconcile often conflicting information across multiple sources is a key aspect of the added value we provide.

Store checks

Store checks are an integral part of our methods for product industries. Carried out on the ground across a relevant mix of channels, the information gained provides first-hand insights into the products we are researching, specifically:

  • Place: We track products in all relevant channels, selective and mass, store and non-store
  • Product: What are innovations in products, pack sizes and formats?
  • Price: What are brand price variations across channels, how do private label’s prices compare to those of branded goods?
  • Promotion: What are marketing and merchandising trends, offers, discounts and tie-ins?

Findings are cross-referenced with brand share data analysis. The results, combined with the findings of desk research, provide a strong basis for identifying key areas of questioning to take forward into our trade survey.

Trade survey

Interaction with global players at corporate HQ and regional levels is complemented by unique local data and insights from our in-country trade surveys around the world. Through the high profile of the Euromonitor International brand, we are able to talk directly to a wide range of sources and therefore inform our analysis with the knowledge and opinions of the leading operators in the market.

Trade surveys allow us to:

  • Fill gaps in available published data per company
  • Generate a consensus view of the size, structure and strategic direction of the category
  • Access year-in-progress data where published sources are out of date
  • Evaluate the experts’ views on current trends and market developments

In building our composite industry view, we engage with a variety of personnel in key players at all points of the supply chain: materials suppliers, manufacturers, distributors, retailers and service operators. We also interview desk research sources: industry associations; study groups; and third party observers from the trade and financial press.

Our objective is to engage in conversation with trade sources in which we exchange ideas and views on the industry, sharing our work-in-progress findings on supply/demand dynamics and potential. This dialogue enhances both parties’ understanding of the local market. The scope and reach of our trade survey also serves to eliminate bias (intentional and unintentional) from any single source.

Company analysis

At a global level, our company research combines our mix of industry interaction and use of secondary sources such as annual accounts, broker reports, financial press and databases. From a data perspective, the aim is to build “top-down” estimates of major players’ total global and regional sales.

At a country level, in line with local reporting requirements, we access annual accounts, national-specific company databases and local company websites. These are all invaluable sources as we build a view of each domestic player’s size and position within very specific categories of the industry.

Forecasts

Data projections and future performance analysis are key elements of Euromonitor International’s market intelligence. Working with historic trends of 15 years or more, a key aspect of our trade survey is to engage industry insider views of the next five years. Will volumes maintain their historic trend? Will price increases or falls of recent years continue, accelerate or slow down? Will increasing demand for one product cannibalise sales of another?

Forecasts represent many of the essential conclusions we have reached about the current state of the market, how it works and how it behaves under different macro and micro conditions. Our written analysis will state the assumptions and the trade opinion behind whether our predictions are optimistic or pessimistic, so that clients can use our statistical forecasts with confidence.

Data validation

All data is subjected to an exhaustive review process, at country, regional and global levels.

The interpretation and review of sources and data inputs forms a central part of the collaboration between industry teams and country researchers. Numbers are delivered to regional and global offices with an audit trail of sources and calculations to allow for a thorough evaluation of data sense and integrity.

Upon completion of the country review phase, data is then reviewed on a comparative basis at regional and then at a global level. Comparative checks are carried out on per capita consumption and spending levels, growth rates, patterns of category and subcategory breakdowns and distribution of sales by channel. Top-down estimates are reviewed against bottom-up regional and global market and company sales totals.

Where marked differences are seen between proximate country markets or ones at similar developmental levels, supplementary research is conducted in the relevant countries to confirm and/or amend those findings. This process ensures international comparability across the database, that consistent category and subcategory definitions have been used and that all data has been correctly tested. We make sure that possible discrepancies between different published sources have been reconciled and that our interpretation of opinion and expectation from each country’s trade sources has been applied to form a coherent international pattern.

Market analysis

Another integral part of all our research programmes is that all Euromonitor International data is accompanied by clear written analysis. From a research perspective, this explains and substantiates data findings. From a client perspective, this offers unique insights into local consumption trends, routes to market, brand preferences, channel dynamics and future trends.

Our country level analysis also provides invaluable input into the ability of our central industry specialist teams to marry local insights with strategic conclusions on the direction of the market regionally and globally.

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