Dairy Products and Alternatives in China

September 2023
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Overview:

Understand the latest market trends and future growth opportunities for the Dairy Products and Alternatives industry in China with research from Euromonitor International's team of in-country analysts – experts by industry and geographic specialisation.

Key trends are clearly and succinctly summarised alongside the most current research data available. Understand and assess competitive threats and plan corporate strategy with our qualitative analysis, insight and confident growth projections.

Data and analysis in this report provides further detailed coverage dedicated to a comprehensive range of core packaged food categories.

If you're in the Dairy Products and Alternatives industry in China, our research will help you to make informed, intelligent decisions; to recognise and profit from opportunity, or to offer resilience amidst market uncertainty.

The Dairy Products and Alternatives in China report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volume and value sizes, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Robust and transparent research methodology, conducted in-country

This report answers:

  • What is the market size of Dairy Products and Alternatives in China?
  • Which are the leading brands in Dairy Products and Alternatives in China?
  • How are products distributed in Dairy Products and Alternatives in China?
  • How is the rise of e-commerce and/or the expansion of modern grocery retail impacting traditional retail?
  • What are the key health and wellness concerns driving, or challenging, sales in Dairy Products and Alternatives?
  • How significant are vegan and vegetarian dietary requirements in determining sales growth in China?
  • How has COVID-19 impacted consumer demand? To what extent have lockdown, home seclusion and stockpiling boosted sales? Will the longer term economic repercussions of the pandemic stimulate or suppress future growth?
  • Where is future growth expected to be most dynamic?
  • How significant will values-based claims, such as sustainability and ethical labelling, be in supporting future growth and brand equity?

Dairy Products and Alternatives in China

Dairy products and alternatives in 2023: The big picture
Key trends in 2023
Competitive landscape
Channel developments
What next for dairy products and alternatives?
Table 1 Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 2 Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 3 NBO Company Shares of Dairy Products and Alternatives: % Value 2019-2023
Table 4 LBN Brand Shares of Dairy Products and Alternatives: % Value 2020-2023
Table 5 Distribution of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 6 Forecast Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 7 Forecast Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

DISCLAIMER

Summary 1 Research Sources

Baby Food in China

KEY DATA FINDINGS

Continuous decline in birth rate leads to further decline in sales of milk formula
Launch of new national standards for milk formula leads to greater market concentration
Extending penetration to lower-tier cities is key to success for milk formula brands
Brands to focus on niches such as goats’ milk formula in bid to boost growth
Further penetration for powder special baby milk formula, in line with greater education
Baby food (excluding milk formula) to see sustained growth, alongside continuous product innovation and further education
Table 8 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 9 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 10 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 11 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 12 Sales of Growing-Up Milk Formula by Age: % Value 2018-2023
Table 13 NBO Company Shares of Baby Food: % Value 2019-2023
Table 14 LBN Brand Shares of Baby Food: % Value 2020-2023
Table 15 Distribution of Baby Food by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 16 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 17 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 18 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 19 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

Butter and Spreads in China

KEY DATA FINDINGS

Lifting of pandemic-related restrictions provides boost to retail sales of butter
Margarine and spreads continue to decline in face of rising health consciousness
More organic and grass-fed butter to be introduced
High-end bakeries to make use of premium butter to maintain their premium positioning
Table 20 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 21 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 22 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 23 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 24 NBO Company Shares of Butter and Spreads: % Value 2019-2023
Table 25 LBN Brand Shares of Butter and Spreads: % Value 2020-2023
Table 26 Distribution of Butter and Spreads by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 27 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 28 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 29 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 30 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

Cheese in China

KEY DATA FINDINGS

Poor performance for cheese due to drop in sales of cheese sticks in 2023
Leading players exhibit poor sales while Bel group maintain positive growth
New national standards for processed cheese set out clear regulations regarding content
Brands invest in premium products, given the slowdown in sales of cheese sticks
Use of cream cheese in specialist tea shops will be limited, as players shift towards semifinished products, such as cheese milk cover powder
Table 31 Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 32 Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 33 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 34 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 35 Sales of Spreadable Processed Cheese by Type: % Value 2018-2023
Table 36 Sales of Soft Cheese by Type: % Value 2018-2023
Table 37 Sales of Hard Cheese by Type: % Value 2018-2023
Table 38 NBO Company Shares of Cheese: % Value 2019-2023
Table 39 LBN Brand Shares of Cheese: % Value 2020-2023
Table 40 Distribution of Cheese by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

Drinking Milk Products in China

KEY DATA FINDINGS

Return to modest growth in 2023, although weak domestic economy continues to hamper performance
Premiumisation allows manufacturers to justify higher pricing
Yili continues to lead sales, thanks to its well-established distribution network
Private label set to show continued growth
Powder milk may find growth potential in an ageing society
Buffalo milk on trend as consumers seek indulgence
Table 45 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 46 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 47 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 48 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 49 NBO Company Shares of Drinking Milk Products: % Value 2019-2023
Table 50 LBN Brand Shares of Drinking Milk Products: % Value 2020-2023
Table 51 Distribution of Drinking Milk Products by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 52 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 53 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 54 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 55 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products in China

KEY DATA FINDINGS

Yoghurt declines for the fourth consecutive year in 2023, amid health and financial concerns
Booming trend of yoghurt-based drinks from street stalls has negative impact on sales of packaged offerings
Manufacturers introduce larger-sized yoghurt packs in order to offer better value to customers
Yoghurt faces further challenges during the forecast period, with health-oriented products offering the greatest potential
Yoghurt manufacturers expand into niche categories, especially products targeting young children
Expansion of eating occasions may boost future demand for yoghurt
Table 56 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 57 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 58 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 59 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 60 Sales of Flavoured Yoghurt by Flavour: Rankings 2018-2023
Table 61 NBO Company Shares of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products: % Value 2019-2023
Table 62 LBN Brand Shares of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products: % Value 2020-2023
Table 63 Distribution of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 64 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 65 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 66 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 67 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

Other Dairy in China

KEY DATA FINDINGS

Continued growth in 2023, with cream leading the way
“Thick milk” emerges in foodservice
Foodservice poised to drive other dairy growth
Pure milk coffee whitener debuts in China
Table 68 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 69 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 70 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 71 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 72 Sales of Cream by Type: % Value 2018-2023
Table 73 NBO Company Shares of Other Dairy: % Value 2019-2023
Table 74 LBN Brand Shares of Other Dairy: % Value 2020-2023
Table 75 Distribution of Other Dairy by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 76 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2023-2028
Table 77 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 78 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2023-2028
Table 79 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028

Plant-Based Dairy in China

KEY DATA FINDINGS

Plant-based dairy products see stagnant performance in 2023
Coconut milk continues to grow in foodservice
Sluggish performance for plant-based dairy, although promising innovations lie ahead within foodservice
Potato milk brand DUG to scale up distribution in China
Table 80 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 81 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 82 Sales of Other Plant-Based Milk by Type: % Value 2020-2023
Table 83 NBO Company Shares of Plant-Based Dairy: % Value 2019-2023
Table 84 LBN Brand Shares of Plant-Based Dairy: % Value 2020-2023
Table 85 Distribution of Plant-Based Dairy by Format: % Value 2018-2023
Table 86 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Value 2023-2028
Table 87 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2023-2028
The following categories and subcategories are included:

Dairy Products and Alternatives

    • Dried Baby Food
    • Prepared Baby Food
    • Other Baby Food
        • Liquid Standard Milk Formula
        • Powder Standard Milk Formula
        • Liquid Follow-on Milk Formula
        • Powder Follow-on Milk Formula
        • Liquid Growing-Up Milk Formula
        • Powder Growing-Up Milk Formula
        • Liquid Special Baby Milk Formula
        • Powder Special Baby Milk Formula
      • Butter
      • Cooking Fats
      • Margarine and Spreads
      • Spreadable Cheese
      • Processed Cheese excl Spreadable
        • Packaged Hard Cheese
        • Unpackaged Hard Cheese
      • Soft Cheese
        • Dairy Only Flavoured Milk Drinks
        • Flavoured Milk Drinks with Fruit Juice
            • Fat-free Fresh Milk
            • Semi Skimmed Fresh Milk
            • Full Fat Fresh Milk
            • Fat-free Shelf Stable Milk
            • Semi Skimmed Shelf Stable Milk
            • Full Fat Shelf Stable Milk
        • Goat Milk
      • Powder Milk
      • Sour Milk Products
        • Drinking Yoghurt
        • Flavoured Yoghurt
        • Plain Yoghurt
        • Chilled Dairy Desserts
        • Shelf Stable Dairy Desserts
      • Chilled Snacks
      • Coffee Whiteners
          • Flavoured Condensed Milk
          • Plain Condensed Milk
        • Evaporated Milk
      • Cream
        • Flavoured Fromage Frais and Quark
        • Plain Fromage Frais and Quark
        • Savoury Fromage Frais and Quark
      • Soy Drinks
      • Other Plant-based Milk
    • Plant-based Yoghurt
    • Plant-based Cheese
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This report originates from Passport, our Dairy Products and Alternatives research and analysis database.

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