Dairy Products and Alternatives in South Africa
Dairy products and alternatives in 2022: The big picture
What next for dairy products and alternatives?
Chart 1 Dairy Products and Alternatives Value Sales Growth Scenarios: 2020-2027
Chart 2 Dairy Products and Alternatives Impact of Drivers on Value Sales: 2020-2027
Table 1 Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 2 Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 3 NBO Company Shares of Dairy Products and Alternatives: % Value 2018-2022
Table 4 LBN Brand Shares of Dairy Products and Alternatives: % Value 2019-2022
Table 5 Penetration of Private Label by Category: % Value 2017-2022
Table 6 Distribution of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 7 Forecast Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 8 Forecast Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Summary 1 Research Sources
Baby Food in South Africa
Innovation boosts baby food’s performance despite constrained household budgets
Milk formula retains largest share despite restrictions on advertising
Specialist baby stores expand presence as South African population continues to grow
Infant health expected to remain top priority regardless of income
Affordability remains focus for cash-strapped consumers
Increasing demand for snacking expected to drive growth of other baby food
Table 9 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 10 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 11 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 12 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 13 Sales of Growing-Up Milk Formula by Age: % Value 2017-2022
Table 14 NBO Company Shares of Baby Food: % Value 2018-2022
Table 15 LBN Brand Shares of Baby Food: % Value 2019-2022
Table 16 Distribution of Baby Food by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 17 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 18 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 19 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 20 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Butter and Spreads in South Africa
Consumption down as unit prices soar
Siqalo Foods retains leadership due to continuous promotions
Out-of-home consumption drives foodservice volume
Potential opportunities through affordable innovation
Lunch remains important eating occasion for margarine
Supermarkets expected to remain dominant distribution channel
Table 21 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 22 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 23 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 24 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 25 NBO Company Shares of Butter and Spreads: % Value 2018-2022
Table 26 LBN Brand Shares of Butter and Spreads: % Value 2019-2022
Table 27 Distribution of Butter and Spreads by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 28 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 29 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 30 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Cheese in South Africa
High unit prices lead to declining retail volume sales in 2022
Lactalis retains leadership despite tough competition from private label
Checkers and Pick ‘n Pay go premium with Forage and Feast, and Crafted Collection, respectively
Moderate growth expected over forecast period, driven by processed and hard cheese
Lunch remains important eating occasion for processed cheese
Out-of-home consumption to boost foodservice volumes
Table 32 Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 33 Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 34 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 35 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 36 Sales of Spreadable Processed Cheese by Type: % Value 2017-2022
Table 37 Sales of Soft Cheese by Type: % Value 2017-2022
Table 38 Sales of Hard Cheese by Type: % Value 2017-2022
Table 39 NBO Company Shares of Cheese: % Value 2018-2022
Table 40 LBN Brand Shares of Cheese: % Value 2019-2022
Table 41 Distribution of Cheese by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Drinking Milk Products in South Africa
Rising unit prices lead to falling retail volume sales of drinking milk products
Private label retains strength due to its value proposition
Cheap imports of milk continue to threaten local production capacity
Positive but undynamic retail volume growth for drinking milk products over forecast period
Private label expected to retain strength due to lingering price sensitivity
Flavoured milk drinks expected to record moderate retail volume growth
Table 46 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 47 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 48 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 49 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 50 NBO Company Shares of Drinking Milk Products: % Value 2018-2022
Table 51 LBN Brand Shares of Drinking Milk Products: % Value 2019-2022
Table 52 Distribution of Drinking Milk Products by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 53 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 54 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 55 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 56 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products in South Africa
Craving indulgence boosts demand for double cream yoghurt
Danone remains leading player despite fierce competition from private label
Supermarkets continues to dominate distribution of yoghurt and sour milk products
Affordability expected to remain a priority over forecast period
Maas remains an important protein source for many South Africans
Childhood nutrition expected to remain area of focus for manufacturers
Table 57 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 58 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 59 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 60 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 61 Sales of Flavoured Yoghurt by Flavour: Rankings 2017-2022
Table 62 NBO Company Shares of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products: % Value 2018-2022
Table 63 LBN Brand Shares of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products: % Value 2019-2022
Table 64 Distribution of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 65 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 66 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 67 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 68 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Other Dairy in South Africa
Retail volume declines for other dairy driven by high unit prices
Leading players maintain strength despite increasing competition from private label
Affordability expected to remain a priority over forecast period
Further home cooking and baking expected to sustain retail demand for other dairy
Health and wellness concerns expected to drive category innovation
Table 69 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 70 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 71 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 72 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 73 Sales of Cream by Type: % Value 2017-2022
Table 74 NBO Company Shares of Other Dairy: % Value 2018-2022
Table 75 LBN Brand Shares of Other Dairy: % Value 2019-2022
Table 76 Distribution of Other Dairy by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 77 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 78 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 79 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 80 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Plant-Based Dairy in South Africa
Private label’s growth in plant-based milk ahead of brands
Tiger Brands invests in Herbivore Earthfoods
Scrutiny increases over plant-based product labels as demand for alternatives rises
Demand for plant-based cheese expected to rise over forecast period
Table 81 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 82 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 83 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 84 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 85 Sales of Other Plant-Based Milk by Type: % Value 2019-2022
Table 86 NBO Company Shares of Plant-Based Dairy: % Value 2018-2022
Table 87 LBN Brand Shares of Plant-Based Dairy: % Value 2019-2022
Table 88 Distribution of Plant-Based Dairy by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 89 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 90 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 91 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 92 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027