Dairy Products and Alternatives in Canada
Dairy products and alternatives in 2022: The big picture
What next for dairy products and alternatives?
Chart 1 Dairy Products and Alternatives Value Sales Growth Scenarios: 2020-2027
Chart 2 Dairy Products and Alternatives Impact of Drivers on Value Sales: 2020-2027
Table 1 Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 2 Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 3 NBO Company Shares of Dairy Products and Alternatives: % Value 2018-2022
Table 4 LBN Brand Shares of Dairy Products and Alternatives: % Value 2019-2022
Table 5 Penetration of Private Label by Category: % Value 2017-2022
Table 6 Distribution of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 7 Forecast Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 8 Forecast Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Summary 1 Research Sources
Baby Food in Canada
Longer periods of time spent outside of the home boosts demand for prepared baby food and other baby food in 2022
The move towards organic products continues while milk formula is in shortage
Organic players fare well, at the expense of the leaders
Slow volume growth and faster current value growth as parents choose organic baby food
More organic and plant-based entrants expected due to the potential in this segment
A direct-to-consumer approach and e-commerce are indispensable in the post-pandemic era
Table 9 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 10 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 11 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 12 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 13 Sales of Growing-Up Milk Formula by Age: % Value 2017-2022
Table 14 NBO Company Shares of Baby Food: % Value 2018-2022
Table 15 LBN Brand Shares of Baby Food: % Value 2019-2022
Table 16 Distribution of Baby Food by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 17 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 18 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 19 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 20 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Butter and Spreads in Canada
Retail sales of butter and spreads resume pre-pandemic patterns while foodservice sales continue to recover
Butter grows due to its natural image, but plant-based products also do well
Smaller players perform well due to their speciality positioning
Rebound expected for foodservice, but retail will struggle to achieve volume growth
Butter and spreads perceived as healthier set to fare better in post-pandemic era
Demand for plant-based butter set to grow at a rapid pace as consumers eliminate dairy from their diet
Table 21 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 22 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 23 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 24 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 25 NBO Company Shares of Butter and Spreads: % Value 2018-2022
Table 26 LBN Brand Shares of Butter and Spreads: % Value 2019-2022
Table 27 Distribution of Butter and Spreads by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 28 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 29 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 30 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Cheese in Canada
Cheese sales stabilise as Canadians spend less time cooking and snacking at home in 2022
The emergence of snack-sized and goat milk cheese products
Leaders invest in product development and marketing to stay ahead
Demand for packaged hard cheese anticipated to drive current value and volume growth over the forecast period
Trade agreements will lead to new product availability and greater competition
Major players likely to follow smaller players into niches to maintain growth
Table 32 Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 33 Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 34 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 35 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 36 Sales of Spreadable Processed Cheese by Type: % Value 2017-2022
Table 37 Sales of Soft Cheese by Type: % Value 2017-2022
Table 38 Sales of Hard Cheese by Type: % Value 2017-2022
Table 39 NBO Company Shares of Cheese: % Value 2018-2022
Table 40 LBN Brand Shares of Cheese: % Value 2019-2022
Table 41 Distribution of Cheese by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Drinking Milk Products in Canada
Drinking milk products sales decline as consumers increasingly opt for plant-based alternatives
Soaring inflation negatively affects drinking milk products
The leaders’ shares suffer due to their low presence in milk alternatives
Growth is anticipated to be driven by other milk alternatives, in line with growing health awareness among consumers
Growth expected for super-premium products, poor performance for shelf-stable milk
Dairy manufacturers venture into new growth areas
Table 46 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 47 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 48 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 49 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 50 NBO Company Shares of Drinking Milk Products: % Value 2018-2022
Table 51 LBN Brand Shares of Drinking Milk Products: % Value 2019-2022
Table 52 Distribution of Drinking Milk Products by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 53 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 54 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 55 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 56 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products in Canada
Yoghurt and sour milk products sales stabilise as social conditions return to normal
Growth driven by sour milk products
Players constantly offer new launches and marketing to maintain consumers’ interest
Growth rates anticipated to stabilise as social conditions return to normal
Trade agreements will lead to new product availability and greater competition
Yoghurt still holds growth potential
Table 57 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 58 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 59 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 60 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 61 Sales of Flavoured Yoghurt by Flavour: Rankings 2017-2022
Table 62 NBO Company Shares of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products: % Value 2018-2022
Table 63 LBN Brand Shares of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products: % Value 2019-2022
Table 64 Distribution of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 65 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 66 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 67 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 68 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Other Dairy in Canada
Growth stabilises as social conditions return to normal
The Canadian love of coffee maintains the growth of cream and coffee whiteners
The leaders extend their shares due to their strength in the largest category, cream
Slow but stable retail and foodservice sales growth for other dairy
The Canadian coffee culture and plat-based products set to drive growth
Struggles expected for shelf-stable desserts as consumers have different demands
Table 69 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 70 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 71 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 72 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 73 Sales of Cream by Type: % Value 2017-2022
Table 74 NBO Company Shares of Other Dairy: % Value 2018-2022
Table 75 LBN Brand Shares of Other Dairy: % Value 2019-2022
Table 76 Distribution of Other Dairy by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 77 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 78 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 79 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 80 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
Plant-Based Dairy in Canada
Plant-based dairy continues to record robust growth, in tandem with growing health awareness among local consumers
Milk alternatives perform well as more consumers are mindful of their health
The emergence of plant-based cheese products
Plant-based dairy set to continue to record solid growth over the forecast period, in line with the health and wellness trend
A possible new direction for milk alternatives
Labelling requirements will pave a healthy growth for plant-based dairy
Table 81 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 82 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 83 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 84 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 85 Sales of Other Plant-Based Milk by Type: % Value 2019-2022
Table 86 NBO Company Shares of Plant-Based Dairy: % Value 2018-2022
Table 87 LBN Brand Shares of Plant-Based Dairy: % Value 2019-2022
Table 88 Distribution of Plant-Based Dairy by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 89 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 90 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 91 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 92 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027