Growth in retail volume sales of coffee is expected to pick up in 2023, and then continue accelerating gradually over the remainder of the forecast period. In the short-to-medium term, retail demand should be bolstered by improvements in confidence and spending power among Uzbekistanis as inflation plateaus or starts to come down and the macroeconomic outlook brightens.
Fresh coffee beans and standard fresh ground coffee look set to be most dynamic performers in retail volume growth terms over the forecast period. While growth rates will be skewed somewhat by the fact that sales are emerging from a relatively low base, both categories will also benefit as consumer tastes become more sophisticated in line with the further expansion and evolution of Uzbekistan’s coffee-drinking culture.
With many Uzbekistanis likely to remain cautious in their discretionary spending decisions for some time due to ongoing inflationary pressures and economic uncertainty, cheaper brands and product types are expected to gain ground across coffee during the early years of the forecast period. Trading down to more affordable options will be most visible in instant coffee mixes.
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This is the aggregation of fresh coffee and instant coffee. Please note that foodservice sales of coffee are volumes sold to the on-trade (foodservice) sector and not those sold to the consumer.See All of Our Definitions
This report originates from Passport, our Coffee research and analysis database.
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