Executive Summary

Jul 2019
Unfavourable conditions for cigarettes

Tobacco continued to record strong current value growth in 2018, driven by the largest category of cigarettes due to two consecutive tax increases in 2017, along with devaluation of the national currency. This led to a second year of retail volume decline for the category, although 2018 marked somewhat of a recovery after a stronger decline the previous year, with labour migration returning to the country.

UZBAT’s investment in production allows it to export to neighbouring countries

The dominant producer of cigarettes in the country, British American Tobacco Uzbekistan (UZBAT), increased its local production and number of exports in the second half of 2018, despite excise tax on cigarettes produced in the country increasing from UZS37,432 to UZS84,222 per 1,000 units. Production from its Samarkand cigarette factory was exported to neighbouring Kyrgyzstan, Kazakhstan and Mongolia.

UZBAT benefits from local production to retain dominance of cigarettes

British American Tobacco Uzbekistan (UZBAT) retained its dominant leadership of cigarettes in 2018, offering an expansive portfolio of popular brands including Pall Mall, Kent and Rothmans. Due to UZBAT’s local manufacturing facilities, the producer is able to offer the full range of price segments from economy to premium, with more accessible prices compared to imported brands.

Independent small grocers remains leading distribution channel due to convenience

Independent small grocers remained as the leading distribution channel of cigarettes in 2018, although like most of the other channels, it continued to record declining retail volume sales. Tobacco specialists was one of the exceptions to this trend, gaining retail volume share and recording positive growth.

Unit price increases and declining smoking prevalence will further impact demand for cigarettes

Tobacco is predicted to continue to record high current value growth over the forecast period due to ongoing price rises in an attempt by the Uzbekistani government to discourage purchases by making them too expensive for most local price-sensitive consumers. As a result, the largest category of cigarettes is predicted to continue declining in retail volume terms, in addition to declining smoking prevalence amongst adult smokers in the country.

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Tobacco in Uzbekistan

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Overview

Discover the latest market trends and uncover sources of future market growth for the Tobacco industry in Uzbekistan with research from Euromonitor's team of in-country analysts.

Find hidden opportunities in the most current research data available, understand competitive threats with our detailed market analysis, and plan your corporate strategy with our expert qualitative analysis and growth projections.

If you're in the Tobacco industry in Uzbekistan, our research will save you time and money while empowering you to make informed, profitable decisions.

When you purchase this report, you also get the data and the content from these category reports in Uzbekistan for free:

The Tobacco in Uzbekistan market research report includes:

  • Analysis of key supply-side and demand trends
  • Detailed segmentation of international and local products
  • Historic volumes and values, company and brand market shares
  • Five year forecasts of market trends and market growth
  • Production, imports by origin, exports by destination
  • Robust and transparent market research methodology, conducted in-country

Our market research reports answer questions such as:

  • What is the market size of Tobacco in Uzbekistan?
  • What are the major brands in Uzbekistan?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market is the largest by value sales in Uzbekistan?
  • Which sector of the tobacco products market has been growing the fastest, by volume and value, in Uzbekistan?
  • Which sector is the most heavily taxed in Uzbekistan?
  • Which companies dominate in the total tobacco market in Uzbekistan in terms of market share?
  • What is the distribution channel split for the tobacco products market in Uzbekistan?

Why buy this report?

  • Gain competitive intelligence about market leaders
  • Track key industry trends, opportunities and threats
  • Inform your marketing, brand, strategy and market development, sales and supply functions

This industry report originates from Passport, our Tobacco market research database.

Tobacco in Uzbekistan

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Unfavourable conditions for cigarettes
UZBAT’s investment in production allows it to export to neighbouring countries
UZBAT benefits from local production to retain dominance of cigarettes
Independent small grocers remains leading distribution channel due to convenience
Unit price increases and declining smoking prevalence will further impact demand for cigarettes

OPERATING ENVIRONMENT

Legislation
Legislative overview
Summary 1 Legislation Summary at a Glance
Minimum legal smoking age
Smoking prevalence
Tar levels
Health warnings
Plain packaging
Advertising and sponsorship
Point-of-sale display bans
Smoking in public places
Low ignition propensity (LIP) cigarette regulation
Flavoured tobacco product ban
Reduced harm
Vapour products

PRODUCTION/IMPORTS/EXPORTS

MARKET INDICATORS

Table 1 Number of Adult Smokers by Gender 2013-2018

MARKET DATA

Table 2 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2013-2018
Table 3 Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2013-2018
Table 4 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2013-2018
Table 5 Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2013-2018
Table 6 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 7 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 8 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 9 Forecast Sales of Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023

SOURCES

Summary 2 Research Sources

Cigarettes in Uzbekistan

HEADLINES

PROSPECTS

Price hikes to offset tax increases as well as growing health awareness influence declining demand for cigarettes in 2018
Increasing share of Virginia blend with further investment in local production
Increasingly stressful lifestyles result in some younger adults turning to cigarettes

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

UZBAT retains dominance, benefiting from local production
Rothmans offers highlight for UZBAT
Niche of flavour capsules offers growth opportunities

TAXATION AND PRICING

Taxation rates
Summary 3 Taxation and Duty Levies 2013-2018
Average cigarette pack price breakdown
Summary 4 Average Cigarette Pack Price Breakdown: Brand Examples

CATEGORY DATA

Table 10 Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2013-2018
Table 11 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2013-2018
Table 12 Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2013-2018
Table 13 Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2013-2018
Table 14 Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2013-2018
Table 15 Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2013-2018
Table 16 Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2013-2018
Table 17 Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2013-2018
Table 18 Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2013-2018
Table 19 NBO Company Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2014-2018
Table 20 LBN Brand Shares of Cigarettes: % Volume 2015-2018
Table 21 Sales of Cigarettes by Distribution Format: % Volume 2013-2018
Table 22 Illicit Trade Estimate of Cigarettes: Volume 2013-2018
Table 23 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: Volume 2018-2023
Table 24 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 25 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 26 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023
Table 27 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Blend: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 28 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Standard/Menthol/Capsule: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 29 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Regular/Slim/Superslim/Microslim: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 30 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Pack Size: % Volume 2018-2023
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Cigarettes by Price Band: % Volume 2018-2023

Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco in Uzbekistan

HEADLINES

PROSPECTS

Popularity of hookah smoking supports pipe tobacco sales
Absence of fine cut tobacco and cigars and cigarillos

COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

Leader Al-Fakher loses some ground to smaller brands
New smaller brands can add dynamism to consolidated category
Serbetli continues to gain ground with its appealing range of flavours

CATEGORY DATA

Table 32 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2013-2018
Table 33 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2013-2018
Table 34 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2013-2018
Table 35 Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2013-2018
Table 36 NBO Company Shares of Smoking Tobacco: % Volume 2014-2018
Table 37 LBN Brand Shares of Smoking Tobacco: % Volume 2015-2018
Table 38 NBO Company Shares of Pipe Tobacco: % Volume 2014-2018
Table 39 LBN Brand Shares of Pipe Tobacco: % Volume 2015-2018
Table 40 Distribution of Smoking Tobacco by Format: % Volume 2013-2018
Table 41 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Volume 2018-2023
Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: Value 2018-2023
Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Volume Growth 2018-2023
Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cigars, Cigarillos and Smoking Tobacco by Category: % Value Growth 2018-2023

Smokeless Tobacco, E-Vapour Products and Heated Tobacco in Uzbekistan

PROSPECTS