Cigarettes showed small positive growth in 2021, following a sequence of negative figure declines over the review period which dropped more sharply in 2019-2020. This decline is attributed to the rise of illicit trade during the era of the pandemic, as consumers sought out ways to economise during this uncertain time.
Many of the tobacco trends in Uzbekistan are driven by consumers’ low purchasing power, which has been further suppressed by impacts from the pandemic. As such, consumers are seeking economy products in addition to illicit trace, placing further downwards pressure on more expensive brands.
British American Tobacco Uzbekistan (UZBAT) remains the dominating brand on market with Pall Mall targeting cheaper and Kent – more expensive price segments. Basically, no changes are registered.
When it comes to the sales points of tobacco, kiosks and small shops will remain the major channels, with limited opportunities for change over the forecast period. This goes along with the general retail trend, with the major concentration of supermarkets on behalf of key retail chains.
Legal sales of cigarettes are expected to show gradual further declines over the forecast period, with growing competition from smoking tobacco products and illicit trade standing behind this trend. The government is also planning to further increase the level of excise duty on cigarettes, thus making illicit variants even more attractive to price-sensitive smokers.
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Passport Tobacco covers the seven major tobacco categories: Cigarettes, Cigars & Cigarillos, Smoking tobacco (made up of Pipe tobacco and RYO tobacco), Smokeless Tobacco (snuff and chewing tobacco), E-Vapour Products (closed and open); Heated Tobacco; and Tobacco Free Oral Nicotine. Smoking paraphernalia such as pipes, rolling papers, lighters or matches, etc., are not included, nor are nicotine replacement therapy (NRT) products, which are part of Euromonitor's Passport Consumer Healthcare database.See All of Our Definitions
This report originates from Passport, our Tobacco research and analysis database.
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