Unpackaged leavened bread will continue to dominate baked goods in Algeria over the forecast period, partly due to traditional consumption habits but also because this product type is among the basic goods subsidised by the government to keep prices at affordable levels for the lowest income citizens. While the government announced plans to begin scaling back and eliminating these subsidies towards the end of the review period, the fiscal need to do so has recently become less pressing as oil and gas revenues have increased dramatically due to the fallout of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, while the likelihood that inflation will remain high in the short-to-medium term has made this policy more difficult politically.
Packaged flat bread looks set to be the most dynamic baked goods category in retail volume growth terms over the forecast period, while packaged leavened bread, packaged cakes and packaged pastries are all projected to outperform their unpackaged counterparts in this respect. This is mainly because sales are emerging from a comparatively low base, and in the short term demand for packaged products in general will slow as high inflation continues to erode purchasing power.
While overall demand for packaged baked goods will remain quite low during the forecast period, it is expected manufacturers will continue to focus on improving quality standards and diversifying their portfolios to keep pace with increasing consumer sophistication. This is particularly the case in packaged bread, where rising health awareness – a trend that has recently been reinforced by the pandemic – should be a key impetus for innovation.
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This is the aggregation of bread, pastries, dessert mixes, frozen baked goods and cakes. Note: Baked goods from in-store bakeries are classified under unpackaged/artisanal, not packaged/industrial. While they may be finished on-site, they are often prepared, then frozen or par-baked, at other locations. Such production models are very important for supermarket in-store bakeries, which have in the past been used to drive traffic and fill stores with appetising aromas, but for which the labour resources required to run a full-service scratch bakery are not always available.See All of Our Definitions
This report originates from Passport, our Baked Goods research and analysis database.
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