Children’s Food: A Playground of Opportunity

October 2022

Baby food players face challenges ahead given the unfavourable sociodemographic conditions, which will result in reduced volume sales growth opportunities. Therefore, premiumisation strategies will be paramount, driven by greater focus on innovation, including clean label and organic propositions that will grow alongside premium niches such as goat milk and plant-based offerings. Segmentation towards older age groups will also be increasingly necessary to sustain value sales.

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Key Findings

Declines in birth rates will be partially offset by the increase in working mothers

Birth rates and the infant population aged 0-4 years are set to decline globally, which poses important challenges for the baby food industry; hence, premiumisation should be an essential part of growth strategies. On the flip side, the number of working mothers and households headed by a woman will increase, which will benefit the convenience that baby food brings.

Growing-up and special offerings: the strongest prospects in milk formula

Standard and follow-on milk formula are set to face challenges in most regions given unfavourable demographic factors and the increasing number of campaigns promoting breastfeeding, so it is essential to focus on the key pockets of growth in the category that include growing-up milk formula in the Americas and special milk formula in Asia, Europe and Latin America.

Baby snacks show a bright future ahead

Baby snacks (in other baby food) represent another important growth space in the baby food industry. Products like yoghurt melts, puffs, fruit slices and crunchies are becoming more and more popular among new mothers in markets like China. This category is also set to grow positively in Western Europe and North America, despite it being more established than in other regions.

Clean label and less sugar intake sit at the top of parents’ agenda

Meeting consumer demands will be essential to win in the baby food industry. Parents continue to prioritise clean label offerings, looking for “all natural” and “free from preservatives” claims. Limiting sugar intake is also crucial for parents globally, having grown in importance over the last couple of years. Innovation in organic and plant-based baby food will also continue to gain ground.

E-commerce appeals to the new tech-savvy parents

E-commerce accounts for 20% of retail sales globally for baby food in 2022, which is double the share in 2017. This penetration is well above the average for dairy products, where e-commerce only accounts for a 3.5% share of global retail sales in 2022. Opportunities abound in this space as home delivery has been particularly appealing to the new tech-savvy generation of parents.

 

Scope
Key Findings
Birth rate declines make premiumisation an essential tool to succeed in baby food
Africa shows the largest growth in infant population in the next five years
More women in the workforce means increased demand for convenient baby food
Strong inflationary pressures are no exception in the baby food industry
Closure of US Abbott’s factory results in serious milk formula shortages
Milk formula growth to face challenges in the years to come, driven by declines in China
Growing-up and special milk formula hold the most potential ahead
Communicating the added value of growing-up milk formula is essential for success
Milk formula for 3+ years should be targeted at higher-income parents in emerging markets
Opportunities for 3+ milk formula in China and Southeast Asia
Manufactures capitalise on the 3+ milk formula opportunity in Asia
3+ milk formula is slowly developing outside Asia
Hypoallergenic milk formula projected to perform strongly across markets
Baby snacks to deliver the strongest performance in baby food
China presents a bright future ahead in baby snacks
Exciting innovations in baby snacks hit shelves across markets
Organix reinvents itself with new recipes to boost growth in the UK
Innovation spurs on prepared baby food to cater to both premium and affordable segments
What trends are driving growth in baby food? Key opportunities
Claims around added vitamins and fibre are increasingly desired by parents
The clean label trend has only scratched the surface in the baby food industry
Slurrp Farm: Sprouted ragi succeeds in dried baby food in India
Organic offerings represent over 40% of baby food sold online in Western regions
Health and food safety continue to drive growth for organic milk formula
A2 milk formula faces challenges in China after years of stellar growth
The future remains bright for goat milk formula
Hipp enters growing goat’s milk formula in Europe
Plant-based: A growing opportunity in 1+ milk formula and baby food
Innovation to close the gap in vegan offerings for toddlers
Danone launches the first dairy plus plant-based proposition in the milk formula industry
Disruptive concepts to add value and set brands apart from their competitors
Nourishing a better, more sustainable planet should be a vital part of long-term strategies
E-commerce continues its upward trajectory in baby food
DTC models strengthen in the baby food space
Building trust in baby food through a transparent “farm-to-fork” journey
Key recommendations for baby food manufacturers
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