New Dairy Frontiers in Asia Pacific

January 2024

With the dairy market affected by price rises up to 2023, consumers in Asia Pacific, especially in more developed dairy markets, have shifted away from products perceived as premium, like yoghurt and cheese. Future opportunities lie in venturing into emerging markets and growing underserved dairy categories. Brands must consider untapped channels, localised innovations and positioning, and create new occasions and applications to drive dairy consumption in the long term.

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Key findings

A need to identify new growth markets and drivers

Dairy products experienced relatively slow growth in 2023, following volatility since 2018. The market was hard hit by price rises, as some consumers traded down to more affordable drinking milk and gave up products perceived as premium, such as yoghurt and cheese.

Major gains anticipated from venturing into markets with low dairy consumption

India and Southeast Asia are generally attractive as emerging markets with low per capita consumption of packaged dairy. Some dairy products with an indulgence positioning and refrigeration needs may require innovative formats and entry through untapped channels.

Invigorate the category through palatable products with a relatable positioning

Given that dairy is not a typical feature of Asian diets and cuisines (except for India), adjusting lifestyle habits and integrating with existing cooking habits may prove to be challenging. Localising ingredients and applications for dairy is key.

Stronger brand presence across channels and consumption occasions

Brands that gain the trust of consumers for their product quality and understanding of local consumption patterns may reap long-term rewards. Hence, it is important for brands to consider consumption occasions in and out of the home, as well as snacking between meals.

For success in new markets, consider regulations and adjacent trends

Aside from key category and local market drivers, brands must also consider local regulations, given that emerging Asia is diverse. There is also a rising focus on health and nutrition labelling requirements, trends in functional ingredients and the growing presence of non-animal bases.

Scope
Key findings
Dairy experienced volatile sales, mainly due to the Chinese market, only stabilising in 2023
Price rises, which are limiting demand, signal the need to re-strategise for longevity
As growth in developed markets slow (or decline), dairy players look to new frontiers
In sluggish markets, manufacturers derive value growth from consumers’ ability to spend
Given the challenging retail market, foodservice partnerships are not to be ignored
Asia Pacific’s retail value sales gains are set to double over 2023-2028
Increase consumption of dairy products through accessibility and experience
Expansion of ice cream brands into new markets intensifies competition
Yili’s wide portfolio leverages polarising price tiers and gains presence beyond China
Aice regularly innovated and improved accessibility in emerging markets
Recap: Three strategies earning Joyday and Aice greater brand recognition in Indonesia
Yoghurt has massive potential, with highly localised versions making the initial push
Essential to create strategies in anticipation of challenging economic conditions
In Indonesia, leading brands target urban areas, offering convenient, flavourful nutrition
Brands find ways to position nutrition and health attributes in more relatable ways
An assortment of flavours and textures provides an enriching experience to draw interest
Recap: Three strategies driving the consumption of yoghurt in Asia Pacific
Concept stores in foodservice capitalise on delivery developments and tap on on-the-go
Bakeries elevate the consumer experience with butter, cream and cheese
Flavour trends through foodservice trigger retail demand and innovation as well
Rise of quick-service restaurants with simpler menus creates growth opportunities
Foodservice opens new consumption occasions for dairy brands to leverage through retail
Local applications of dairy ingredients in diverse Asian markets require unique traits
Recap: Leveraging specialist foodservice for out-of-home occasions and retail innovation
Dairy forecast to see stronger growth over the forecast period
Roadmap to increase consumption of dairy (beyond drinking milk) in Asia Pacific
Key considerations when venturing new markets
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